Jiang Xueqin

Jiang Xueqin
江学勤
Born1976 (age 49–50)
China[1]
CitizenshipCanada[1]
EducationYale College (BA in English literature, 1999)
OccupationsEducator, writer, historian, geopolitical analyst, YouTuber
Years active2000s–present time
Known forEducation reform in China
Predictive History YouTube channel
Geopolitical forecasting lectures
Notable workCreative China (《创新中国教育》) (2014)
WebsitePredictive History

Jiang Xueqin (Chinese: 江学勤; pinyin: Jiāng Xuéqín; born 1976[2]) is a Chinese-Canadian educator, writer, historian, and geopolitical theorist based in Beijing, China. He is known for his contributions to education reform in China—particularly promoting creativity, critical thinking, and global citizenship—as well as for his YouTube channel Predictive History, where he applies structural historical analysis, game theory, and concepts inspired by Isaac Asimov's fictional psychohistory to interpret and forecast major geopolitical developments.[3]

Early life and education

Jiang holds Canadian citizenship; his family emigrated from China when he was young.[1] He graduated with distinction from Yale College in 1999, earning an undergraduate degree in English literature.[4]

Career

Jiang has worked in journalism, documentary filmmaking, international development (including positions with the United Nations), and education reform.[5]

In 2002 he was arrested in China for allegedly spying and deported.[6]

He has held senior administrative and teaching positions at several prominent Chinese secondary schools, including:

  • Deputy Principal, Shenzhen Middle School (2008–2010)[7]
  • Program Director, Peking University High School International Division (2010–2012)
  • Tsinghua University High School

Jiang advises schools across China on curriculum design that emphasizes creativity, critical thinking, and global perspectives. He is the author of Creative China (Chinese: 创新中国教育, 2014, ISBN 978-7-5117-2072-6), which documents his education reform initiatives.

He is a researcher with the Global Education Innovation Initiative at the Harvard Graduate School of Education, a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts (RSA), and has served on the selection committee for the Global Teacher Prize.[4][8]

His writing has appeared in The New York Times (Chinese edition), China Youth Daily, The Wall Street Journal, and The Chronicle of Higher Education.[5]

Predictive History

Jiang is the creator and principal lecturer of the YouTube channel Predictive History (Chinese: 预测历史), which he launched prior to 2024.[9]

The channel investigates whether a real-world version of psychohistory—the fictional mathematical science of mass human behavior described in Isaac Asimov's Foundation series—is feasible through the study of recurring historical structures, game theory, and long-term pattern recognition.

His two main series are:

  • Civilization — a sequence of more than 60 lectures tracing the narrative and ideological evolution of human societies from prehistory to the contemporary era, with particular emphasis on the unifying and mobilizing power of transcendent religious and civilizational belief systems.[10]
  • Geo-Strategy — lectures applying historical analogies to current great-power politics. Episode 8, The Iran Trap (recorded May 28–29, 2024), attracted international attention after several of its major predictions appeared to materialize in 2025, including the re-election of Donald Trump and escalating U.S. involvement toward conflict with Iran.[11][3][12]

Jiang frequently draws on classical Western narrative traditions, including the Iliad, the tragedies of Aeschylus and Euripides, the career of Alexander the Great, Virgil's Aeneid, Dante's Divine Comedy, Jewish messianic thought, and Christian eschatology.[13]

Reception

While some media outlets have described Jiang's 2024 Iran lecture as remarkably prescient (occasionally calling him "China's Nostradamus"),[14] others have criticized the predictions as relying on selective historical analogies, speculative game-theoretic reasoning, and untestable assumptions.[3]

References

  1. ^ a b c "我花四年考入耶鲁，却用了十年才走出它带来的迷茫". Sohu (in Chinese). July 21, 2021. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  2. ^ "Civilization BONUS: Meet Professor Jiang". YouTube. 12 June 2025.
  3. ^ a b c "The Professor Who Predicted Trump's Return and War With Iran". Newsweek. June 24, 2025. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  4. ^ a b "Xueqin Jiang". Global Education Innovation Initiative. Harvard Graduate School of Education. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  5. ^ a b "Who Is Jiang Xueqin? Professor's viral video from 2024 predicted Trump's return and U.S. role in Israel-Iran war". The Financial Express. June 23, 2025. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  6. ^ Xueqin, Jiang (23 November 2017). "China's media enables tyranny and corruption". CNN. {{cite news}}: |archive-url= requires |archive-date= (help)
  7. ^ Wei, Xiaohan (11 June 2022). "Bitter Lessons From a Chinese Education Reformer". Sixth Tone. Archived from the original on 14 January 2026. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
  8. ^ "Jiang Xueqin". Big Think. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  9. ^ Predictive History. YouTube. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  10. ^ Civilization #32: Rome's Rise, Fall, and Legacy. Predictive History. February 19, 2025. Retrieved 2026-01-10 – via YouTube.
  11. ^ Geo-Strategy #8: The Iran Trap. Predictive History. May 28, 2024. Retrieved 2026-01-10 – via YouTube.
  12. ^ "Chinese History professor's viral prediction of Trump re-election, Iran war stuns netizen". WION. 2025. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  13. ^ "Predictive History". YouTube. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
  14. ^ "Meet China's Nostradamus, Who Predicted 'Trump Will Attack Iran' 12 Months Ago". Times Now. June 23, 2025. Retrieved 2026-01-10.
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