Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election

Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 5 May 2005 to the election on 6 May 2010.

Graphical summaries

Immediately following the previous general election, the Labour Party held a double-digit lead in opinion polls. However, in the latter part of 2005, this lead was eroded somewhat. By December, the Conservative Party showed its first small leads in opinion polls following the controversial 90 days detention proposals and the election of David Cameron as Conservative leader.^[1]

In early 2006, opinion polls were increasingly mixed with small leads given alternately to Labour and Conservative. From the 2006 local elections in May, in which Labour suffered significant losses, the Conservatives took a small single-digit lead in opinion polls. This was the first consistent lead of the opinion polls that the Conservatives had enjoyed for 14 years.

Labour regained the lead in June 2007, following the resignation of Tony Blair as prime minister after 10 years and the selection of Gordon Brown as his successor. Brown resisted calls from his party to hold a general election, despite opinion polls suggesting that Labour was capable of being re-elected at this stage.

The Conservatives took the lead once again in November 2007. This grew wider in spring 2008, particularly in response to the onset of the great recession along with the increased unemployment that resulted from it. After a brief narrowing between Labour and the Conservatives in late 2008, the latter's lead widened again following the emergence of the MPs' expenses scandal in 2009. Though Labour slightly recovered in the latter half of 2009, the Conservatives maintained their lead through to election day. In the campaign period, the Liberal Democrats enjoyed a significant and unprecedented surge following the first televised debate of the party leaders, in which their leader Nick Clegg was widely seen as the strongest performer.

Guide to tables

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold.

National poll results

Most national opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. As mentioned prior, most of the polling companies listed are members of the BPC; however, BPIX is not a BPC member and does not publish detailed methodology and findings.

2010

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size				Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	29.7%	36.9%	23.6%	9.8%	7.2
5 May	Ipsos MORI	Evening Standard	1,216	29%	36%	27%	8%	7
4–5 May	YouGov	The Sun	6,483	28%	35%	28%	9% UKIP on 3% BNP on 2% Greens on 1% SNP on 1% PC on 1% Other on 1%	7
4–5 May	Harris Interactive	Daily Mail	4,014	29%	35%	27%	7%	6
4–5 May	Populus Archived 25 July 2018 at the Wayback Machine	The Times	2,505	28%	37%	27%	8%	9
4–5 May	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,283	24%	36%	29%	11% UKIP on 4% BNP on 2% Greens on 1% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 2%	7
4–5 May	Opinium	Daily Express	1,383	27%	35%	26%	12%	8
4–5 May	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,025	28%	37%	28%	7%	9
3–4 May	ICM	The Guardian	1,527	28%	36%	26%	10%	8
3–4 May	YouGov	The Sun	1,461	30%	35%	24%	11%	5
29 Apr – 4 May	TNS-BMRB	N/A	1,864	27%	33%	29%	11%	4
28 Apr – 4 May	Harris Interactive	The Metro	786	26%	36%	28%	10%	8
2–3 May	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,024	29%	37%	26%	8%	8
2–3 May	YouGov	The Sun	1,455	28%	35%	28%	9%	7
30 Apr – 3 May	Opinium	Daily Express	1,870	28%	33%	27%	12%	5
1–2 May	YouGov	The Sun	1,475	28%	34%	29%	9%	5
1–2 May	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,024	29%	37%	26%	8%	8
30 Apr – 2 May	ICM	The Guardian	1,026	28%	33%	28%	12%	5
30 Apr – 1 May	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,483	27%	35%	28%	10%	7
30 Apr – 1 May	ComRes	Multiple The Independent Sunday Mirror	1,019	28%	38%	25%	9%	10
30 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,412	28%	34%	28%	10%	6
30 Apr	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,019	29%	36%	27%	8%	7
29–30 Apr	Angus Reid Public Opinion	Sunday Express	1,874	23%	35%	29%	12% UKIP on 5% BNP on 3% Greens on 1% SNP on 1% PC on 1% Other on 1%	6
28–29 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,623	27%	34%	28%	11%	6
27–28 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,530	27%	34%	31%	8%	3
26–27 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,598	29%	33%	28%	10%	4
26–27 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,006	29%	36%	26%	9%	7
26–27 Apr	Populus	The Times	1,510	27%	36%	28%	8%	8
21–27 Apr	TNS-BMRB	N/A	2,078	27%	34%	30%	9%	4
25–26 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,491	28%	33%	29%	10%	4
25–26 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,005	29%	33%	29%	9%	4
23–26 Apr	Opinium	Daily Express	1,942	25%	34%	28%	13%	6
23–26 Apr	Angus Reid Public Opinion	The Economist	2,433	23%	33%	30%	14% UKIP on 5% BNP on 2% Greens on 2% SNP on 1% PC on 1% Other on 3%	3
20–26 Apr	Harris Interactive	The Metro	1,678	25%	32%	30%	13%	2
24–25 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,466	28%	34%	30%	8%	4
24–25 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,003	28%	32%	31%	9%	1
23–25 Apr	ICM	The Guardian	1,031	28%	33%	30%	8%	3
23–24 Apr	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,412	27%	35%	28%	9%	7
23–24 Apr	ComRes	Multiple The Independent on Sunday Sunday Mirror	1,006	28%	34%	29%	9%	5
23 Apr	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,020	26%	35%	31%	8%	4
23 Apr	Ipsos MOR	News of the World	1,245	30%	36%	23%	11%	6
22–23 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,381	29%	34%	29%	8%	5
21–22 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,576	29%	34%	28%	9%	5
20–21 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,545	27%	33%	31%	9%	2
19–20 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,595	26%	31%	34%	9%	3
19–20 Apr	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	1,953	23%	32%	33%	12% UKIP on 4% BNP on 3% Greens on 2% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 0%	1
19–20 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,015	25%	35%	27%	13%	8
19–20 Apr	Populus	The Times	1,501	28%	32%	31%	9%	1
18–20 Apr	Ipsos MORI	Evening Standard	1,253	28%	32%	32%	8%	Tie
14–20 Apr	TNS-BMRB	N/A	1,953	29%	34%	30%	7%	4
18–19 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,012	26%	35%	26%	13%	9
18–19 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,509	27%	33%	31%	8%	2
16–19 Apr	Opinium	Daily Express	1,957	26%	32%	29%	13%	3
16–19 Apr	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,004	24%	32%	32%	12% UKIP on 4% BNP on 2% Greens on 2% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 1%	Tie
14–19 Apr	Harris Interactive	The Metro	1,792	26%	31%	30%	13%	1
17–18 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,003	28%	32%	28%	12%	4
17–18 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,433	26%	32%	33%	8%	1
16–18 Apr	ICM	The Guardian	1,024	28%	33%	30%	9%	3
16–17 Apr	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,490	30%	33%	29%	8%	3
16–17 Apr	ComRes	Multiple The Independent on Sunday Sunday Mirror	1,006	27%	31%	29%	13%	2
15–16 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,290	28%	33%	30%	9%	3
15 Apr	The first ever televised Prime Ministerial debate is held
15 Apr	ComRes	ITV News	4,032	28%	35%	24%	13%	7
14–15 Apr	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,033	29%	34%	27%	10%	5
14–15 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,490	31%	37%	22%	10%	6
13–14 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,578	32%	41%	18%	9%	9
12–13 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,001	29%	35%	21%	15%	6
12–13 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,583	31%	39%	20%	9%	8
8–13 Apr	Harris Interactive	The Metro	1,523	27%	36%	23%	14%	9
7–13 Apr	TNS-BMRB	N/A	1,916	33%	36%	22%	9%	3
12 Apr	Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
12 Apr	Populus	The Times	1,525	33%	36%	21%	9%	3
11–12 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,002	31%	36%	19%	14%	5
11–12 Apr	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,006	28%	38%	22%	13% UKIP on 5% BNP on 3% Greens on 2% SNP on 2% PC on 1%	10
11–12 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,493	33%	39%	20%	8%	6
9–12 Apr	Opinium	Daily Express	1,825	31%	39%	17%	13%	8
10–11 Apr	ComRes	Multiple ITV News The Independent	1,004	30%	37%	20%	13%	7
10–11 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,455	31%	37%	20%	12%	6
9–11 Apr	ICM	The Guardian	1,024	31%	37%	20%	11%	6
9–10 Apr	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,431	32%	40%	18%	10%	8
9–10 Apr	ComRes-	Multiple The Independent on Sunday Sunday Mirror	1,001	32%	39%	16%	13%	7
8–9 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,527	30%	40%	20%	10%	10
7–8 Apr	Harris Interactive	Daily Mail	1,012	27%	37%	22%	14%	10
7–8 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,626	31%	40%	18%	11%	9
7 Apr	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,032	30%	38%	21%	10%	8
6–7 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,484	32%	37%	19%	12%	5
6–7 Apr	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,193	26%	37%	22%	14% UKIP on 5% BNP on 3% Greens on 2% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 1%	11
6 Apr	Populus	The Times	1,507	32%	39%	21%	8%	7
5–6 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,456	32%	40%	17%	11%	8
31 Mar – 6 Apr	Harris Interactive	The Metro	2,080	28%	37%	20%	15%	9
4–5 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,620	31%	41%	18%	11%	10
2–5 Apr	Opinium	Daily Express	1,903	29%	39%	17%	15%	10
1–3 Apr	ICM	The Guardian	1,001	33%	37%	21%	9%	4
1–2 Apr	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,503	29%	39%	20%	12%	10
31 Mar – 1 Apr	Angus Reid Public Opinion	Sunday Express	1,991	27%	38%	20%	15% UKIP on 5% BNP on 4% Greens on 3%	11
31 Mar – 1 Apr	YouGov	The Sun	1,552	31%	39%	19%	11%	8
30–31 Mar	ICM	The Guardian	1,003	29%	38%	23%	10%	9
30–31 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,615	32%	38%	19%	11%	6
30–31 Mar	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,013	28%	37%	22%	13% UKIP on 5% BNP on 3% Greens on 2% SNP on 2% PC on 0% Other on 1%	9
29–30 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,681	31%	38%	19%	12%	7
24–30 Mar	TNS-BMRB	N/A	1,819	33%	38%	19%	10%	5
28–29 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,614	32%	39%	18%	11%	7
26–29 Mar	Opinium	Daily Express	1,780	28%	38%	18%	16%	10
23–29 Mar	Harris Interactive	The Metro	1,133	27%	37%	19%	17%	10
26–28 Mar	ComRes	The Independent	1,001	30%	37%	20%	13%	7
25–26 Mar	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,533	32%	37%	19%	13%	5
24–25 Mar	ICM	News of the World	1,003	31%	39%	19%	11%	8
24–25 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,483	33%	37%	18%	12%	4
23–24 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,554	34%	36%	17%	13%	2
22–23 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,756	33%	37%	18%	12%	4
21–22 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,560	32%	36%	20%	12%	4
19–22 Mar	Ipsos MORI	Daily Mirror	1,503	30%	35%	21%	14%	5
19–22 Mar	Opinium	Daily Express	1,975	30%	37%	15%	18%	7
17–22 Mar	Harris Interactive	The Metro	2,117	28%	35%	17%	20%	7
18–19 Mar	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,547	31%	38%	19%	13%	7
17–18 Mar	ICM	News of the World	1,002	32%	38%	19%	10%	6
17–18 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,671	32%	36%	20%	12%	4
16–17 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,676	32%	36%	20%	11%	4
15–16 Mar	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,003	26%	39%	21%	15% UKIP on 5% BNP on 4% Greens on 2% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 1%	13
15–16 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,460	32%	37%	19%	12%	5
10–16 Mar	Harris Interactive	The Metro	1,934	28%	36%	18%	18%	8
14–15 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,466	32%	37%	21%	10%	5
12–15 Mar	Opinium	Daily Express	1,951	28%	39%	16%	17%	11
12–14 Mar	ICM	The Guardian	1,002	31%	40%	20%	9%	9
11–12 Mar	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,507	33%	37%	17%	12%	4
10–11 Mar	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,007	31%	38%	21%	10%	7
10–11 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,434	34%	37%	17%	12%	3
9–10 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,473	32%	37%	17%	14%	5
9–10 Mar	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,003	26%	39%	18%	17% UKIP on 6% BNP on 3% Greens on 3% SNP on 3% PC on 1% Other on 1%	13
8–9 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,524	32%	36%	20%	12%	4
7–8 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,747	34%	39%	16%	11%	5
5–8 Mar	Opinium	Daily Express	1,960	30%	37%	16%	16%	7
3–8 Mar	Harris Interactive	The Metro	1,498	29%	37%	18%	16%	8
4–5 Mar	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,558	33%	38%	17%	12%	5
3–4 Mar	ICM	News of the World	1,005	31%	40%	18%	11%	9
3–4 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,640	32%	38%	17%	13%	6
2–3 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,661	32%	38%	19%	12%	6
25 Feb – 3 Mar	TNS-BMRB	N/A	1,973	31%	39%	19%	11%	8
1–2 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,479	33%	38%	16%	13%	5
28 Feb – 1 Mar	YouGov	The Sun	1,505	32%	39%	17%	12%	7
26–28 Feb	ComRes	The Independent	1,005	32%	37%	19%	12%	5
25–26 Feb	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,436	35%	37%	17%	11%	2
24–25 Feb	YouGov	The Sun	1,472	33%	39%	16%	12%	6
23–24 Feb	YouGov	The Sun	1,473	32%	38%	19%	10%	6
18–24 Feb	TNS-BMRB	N/A	1,954	32%	36%	21%	12%	4
22–23 Feb	YouGov	The Sun	1,469	32%	38%	17%	12%	6
21–22 Feb	YouGov	The Sun	1,578	33%	39%	17%	12%	6
19–22 Feb	Ipsos MORI	The Daily Telegraph	1,533	32%	37%	19%	12%	5
16–22 Feb	Harris Interactive	The Metro	918	30%	39%	22%	9%	9
19–21 Feb	ICM	The Guardian	1,004	30%	37%	20%	13%	7
18–19 Feb	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,472	33%	39%	17%	11%	6
16–19 Feb	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	4,004	26%	38%	19%	16% UKIP on 6% BNP on 4% Greens on 3% SNP on 2% PC on 1%	12
17–18 Feb	YouGov	The Sun	1,558	32%	39%	18%	11%	7
16–17 Feb	ComRes	Theos	1,085	30%	38%	20%	11%	8
16–17 Feb	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,002	26%	40%	18%	16% UKIP on 6% BNP on 4% Greens on 2% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 1%	14
16–17 Feb	YouGov	The Sun	2,145	30%	39%	18%	13%	9
10–11 Feb	ComRes	The Independent	1,009	29%	40%	21%	10%	11
9–10 Feb	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,002	25%	38%	20%	16% UKIP on 6% BNP on 3% Greens on 3% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 1%	13
5–7 Feb	Populus	The Times	1,502	30%	40%	20%	11%	10
3–4 Feb	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,001	30%	39%	20%	11%	9
29–31 Jan	ComRes	The Independent	1,001	31%	38%	19%	12%	7
29–30 Jan	BPIX^[2]	Mail on Sunday	1,524	30%	39%	18%	13%	9
28–29 Jan	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,054	31%	38%	19%	12%	7
26–28 Jan	YouGov	The People	2,044	31%	40%	18%	11%	9
26–28 Jan	Ipsos MORI	Daily Mirror	1,001	32%	40%	16%	12%	8
26–27 Jan	Angus Reid Public Opinion	PoliticalBetting.com	2,004	24%	40%	19%	16% UKIP on 5% BNP on 4% Greens on 3% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 1%	16
22–24 Jan	ICM	The Guardian	1,000	29%	40%	21%	10%	11
20–21 Jan	ComRes	Sunday Mirror	1,004	29%	38%	19%	14%	9
14–15 Jan	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,033	31%	40%	18%	11%	9
13–14 Jan	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,005	29%	42%	19%	10%	13
9–10 Jan	Angus Reid Strategies	PoliticalBetting.com	2,010	24%	40%	20%	17%	16
8–10 Jan	Populus	The Times	1,509	28%	41%	19%	12%	13
6–7 Jan	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,003	30%	40%	18%	12%	10
6–7 Jan	YouGov	The Sun	2,832	30%	42%	16%	12%	12
5–6 Jan	YouGov	The Sun	4,167	31%	40%	17%	12%	9

2009

Date(s) Conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Date(s) Conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size				Others	Lead
29–30 Dec	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,848	30%	40%	17%	12%	10
19–20 Dec	ComRes	The Independent	1,006	29%	38%	19%	14%	9
16–18 Dec	Angus Reid Strategies	PoliticalBetting.com	2,010	24%	40%	20%	15% UKIP on 6% BNP on 3% Greens on 3% SNP on 1% PC on 1% Other on 1%	16
15–17 Dec	YouGov	The People	2,052	28%	40%	18%	14%	12
11–13 Dec	ICM	The Guardian	1,009	31%	40%	18%	11%	9
11–13 Dec	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,017	26%	43%	20%	12%	17
10–11 Dec	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,044	31%	40%	16%	13%	9
9–10 Dec	ComRes Archived 11 December 2024 at the Wayback Machine	The Independent on Sunday	1,001	24%	41%	21%	14%	17
8–10 Dec	Angus Reid Strategies	PoliticalBetting.com	2,002	23%	40%	19%	19% UKIP on 7% BNP on 4% Greens on 3% SNP on 3% PC on 1% Other on 1%	17
4–6 Dec	Populus	The Times	1,505	30%	38%	20%	12%	8
3–4 Dec	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,095	27%	40%	18%	15%	13
2–3 Dec	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,001	29%	40%	19%	12%	11
27–29 Nov	ComRes	The Independent	1,003	27%	37%	20%	16%	10
24–26 Nov	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,004	29%	39%	19%	13%	10
20–23 Nov	Angus Reid Strategies	PoliticalBetting.com	2,004	22%	39%	21%	18% UKIP on 6% BNP on 5% Greens on 3% SNP on 2% PC on 1% Other on 1%	17
13–15 Nov	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,006	31%	37%	17%	13%	6
13–15 Nov	ICM	The Guardian	1,010	29%	42%	19%	10%	13
12–13 Nov	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,026	27%	41%	18%	14%	14
12 Nov	Glasgow North East by-election (Lab gain from Spk)^[a]
11–12 Nov	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,007	25%	39%	17%	19%	14
6–8 Nov	Populus	The Times	1,504	29%	39%	18%	14%	10
4–6 Nov	Angus Reid Strategies	PoliticalBetting.com	2,000	24%	38%	20%	17%	14
4–5 Nov	YouGov	Channel 4 News	1,021	27%	41%	17%	16%	14
28–29 Oct	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,007	25%	42%	21%	13%	17
27–29 Oct	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,024	28%	41%	16%	15%	13
23–25 Oct	ComRes	The Independent	1,004	27%	40%	18%	15%	13
22–23 Oct	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,314	27%	40%	19%	14%	13
16–18 Oct	ICM	The Guardian	1,002	27%	44%	18%	11%	17
16–18 Oct	Ipsos MORI	N/A	996	26%	43%	19%	11%	17
15–16 Oct	Angus Reid Strategies	PoliticalBetting.com	2,077	23%	40%	20%	15%	17
15–16 Oct	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,025	30%	41%	17%	12%	11
14–15 Oct	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,008	28%	40%	19%	13%	12
9–11 Oct	Populus	The Times	1,509	30%	40%	18%	12%	10
8–9 Oct	YouGov	The Sun	2,161	28%	42%	18%	12%	14
8–9 Oct	YouGov	Sky News	1,064	27%	44%	17%	12%	17
7–9 Oct	ICM	News of the World	1,008	26%	45%	18%	10%	19
7–8 Oct	YouGov	Sky News	1,074	31%	40%	18%	11%	9
6–7 Oct	YouGov	Sky News	1,039	29%	43%	17%	11%	14
5–6 Oct	YouGov	Sky News	1,223	28%	41%	18%	13%	13
4–5 Oct	YouGov	Sky News	1,102	27%	40%	20%	13%	13
3 Oct	YouGov	The People	2,027	28%	40%	18%	14%	12
1–2 Oct	YouGov	Sky News	1,053	29%	41%	17%	13%	12
30 Sep – 1 Oct	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,022	28%	40%	19%	13%	12
30 Sep – 1 Oct	YouGov	Sky News	1,085	26%	40%	20%	15%	14
29–30 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,078	30%	37%	21%	12%	7
28–29 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,024	29%	40%	18%	13%	11
27–28 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,051	29%	39%	20%	13%	10
25–27 Sep	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,003	24%	36%	25%	15%	11
25–27 Sep	ComRes	The Independent	1,003	23%	38%	23%	16%	15
24–25 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,059	24%	40%	21%	14%	16
23–24 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,057	25%	38%	23%	14%	13
23–24 Sep	ICM	News of the World	1,003	26%	40%	23%	11%	14
22–24 Sep	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,026	26%	39%	20%	15%	13
22–23 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,036	28%	38%	19%	15%	10
21–22 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,062	27%	39%	20%	13%	12
20–21 Sep	YouGov	Sky News	1,081	30%	39%	17%	14%	9
18–20 Sep	ICM	The Guardian	1,001	26%	43%	19%	12%	17
11–13 Sep	Populus	The Times	1,506	27%	41%	18%	14%	14
10–11 Sep	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,009	27%	41%	17%	15%	14
4–6 Sep	ComRes	The Independent	1,005	24%	40%	21%	15%	16
4–6 Sep	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,573	27%	40%	18%	15%	13
27–28 Aug	YouGov	The Sun	1,996	28%	42%	17%	14%	14
25–27 Aug	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,199	26%	42%	18%	14%	16
21–23 Aug	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,013	26%	43%	17%	13%	17
21–23 Aug	ICM	The Guardian	1,004	25%	41%	19%	14%	16
19–20 Aug	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,013	24%	41%	18%	16%	17
13–14 Aug	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,007	28%	42%	18%	13%	14
12–13 Aug	ICM/Sunday Mirror	Sunday Mirror	1,005	26%	43%	19%	12%	17
28–30 Jul	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,334	27%	41%	18%	15%	14
24–26 Jul	ComRes	The Independent	1,008	24%	42%	18%	16%	18
23 Jul	Norwich North by-election (Con gain from Lab)
21–23 Jul	YouGov	The People	2,218	25%	40%	20%	16%	15
17–19 Jul	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,012	24%	40%	18%	18%	16
17–19 Jul	Populus	The Times	1,504	26%	38%	20%	16%	12
16–17 Jul	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,956	25%	42%	18%	15%	17
15–16 Jul	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,010	23%	38%	22%	16%	15
10–11 Jul	ICM	The Guardian	1,000	27%	41%	20%	12%	14
1–3 Jul	YouGov	Fabian Society	2,001	26%	39%	19%	17%	13
26–28 Jun	ComRes	The Independent	1,007	25%	36%	19%	20%	11
24–26 Jun	YouGov	The People	2,017	24%	40%	17%	19%	16
23–25 Jun	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,233	25%	38%	18%	19%	13
19–21 Jun	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,004	21%	38%	19%	23%	17
17–18 Jun	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,012	22%	39%	18%	21%	17
10–17 Jun	Harris Interactive	The Metro	2,081	20%	35%	16%	29%	15
12–14 Jun	Ipsos MORI	UNISON	1,252	25%	39%	19%	17%	14
12–14 Jun	ICM	The Guardian	1,006	27%	39%	18%	15%	12
11–12 Jun	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,902	24%	40%	18%	19%	16
9–10 Jun	Populus	The Times	1,001	24%	36%	19%	21%	12
5–7 Jun	ComRes	The Independent	1,001	22%	38%	20%	20%	16
4 Jun	Local elections in England; European Parliament election
2–3 Jun	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	4,014	21%	37%	19%	23%	16
29–31 May	ComRes	The Independent	1,005	22%	30%	18%	30%	8
29–31 May	Ipsos MORI		1,001	18%	40%	18%	24%	22
27–29 May	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	5,016	22%	39%	18%	21%	17
27–28 May	ICM Archived 3 March 2012 at the Wayback Machine	The Sunday Telegraph	1,013	22%	40%	25%	13%	15
27–28 May	Populus	The Times	1,001	21%	41%	15%	23%	20
19–20 May	Populus	ITV News	1,000	27%	39%	17%	18%	12
15–17 May	ICM	The Guardian	1,002	28%	39%	20%	14%	11
14–16 May	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,235	23%	39%	19%	19%	16
13–14 May	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,010	21%	40%	18%	21%	19
13–14 May	YouGov	The Sun	1,814	22%	41%	19%	18%	19
8–10 May	Populus	The Times	1,504	26%	39%	22%	13%	13
8–9 May	BPIX^[2]	Mail on Sunday	Unknown^[2]	23%	45%	17%	15%	22
7–8 May	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,209	27%	43%	18%	12%	16
24–26 Apr	ComRes	The Independent	1,003	26%	45%	17%	12%	19
23–24 Apr	YouGov/Sunday People	Sunday People	1,855	27%	45%	17%	12%	18
22–23 Apr	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,896	27%	45%	18%	10%	18
17–19 Apr	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,011	28%	41%	22%	9%	13
17–19 Apr	ICM	The Guardian	1,005	30%	40%	19%	11%	10
15–16 Apr	Marketing Sciences	The Sunday Telegraph	1,007	26%	43%	21%	10%	17
3–5 Apr	Populus	The Times	1,512	30%	43%	18%	9%	13
3–4 Apr	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,125	34%	41%	16%	10%	7
27–29 Mar	ComRes	The Independent	1,002	28%	40%	18%	14%	12
25–26 Mar	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,003	31%	44%	18%	8%	13
24–26 Mar	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,104	31%	41%	17%	11%	10
18–19 Mar	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,002	30%	41%	17%	12%	11
13–15 Mar	ICM	The Guardian	1,004	30%	42%	20%	8%	12
13–15 Mar	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,007	32%	42%	14%	11%	10
12–13 Mar	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,840	31%	41%	17%	11%	10
6–8 Mar	Populus	The Times	1,504	30%	42%	19%	9%	12
27 Feb – 1 Mar	ComRes	The Independent	1,006	28%	44%	17%	12%	16
24–26 Feb	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,063	31%	41%	15%	12%	10
20–22 Feb	ICM	The Guardian	1,004	30%	42%	18%	10%	12
13–15 Feb	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,001	28%	48%	17%	7%	20
12–13 Feb	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,711	32%	44%	14%	10%	12
11–12 Feb	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,002	25%	41%	22%	12%	16
6–8 Feb	Populus	The Times	1,504	28%	42%	18%	12%	14
4–5 Feb	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,010	28%	40%	22%	10%	12
27–29 Jan	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,338	32%	43%	16%	10%	11
23–25 Jan	ICM	The Guardian	1,003	32%	44%	16%	8%	12
21–22 Jan	ComRes	The Independent	1,012	28%	43%	16%	13%	15
16–18 Jan	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,005	30%	44%	17%	9%	14
15–16 Jan	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,077	32%	45%	14%	9%	13
14–15 Jan	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,009	32%	41%	15%	12%	9
9–11 Jan	Populus	The Times	1,500	33%	43%	15%	9%	10
7–8 Jan	YouGov	The Sun	1,835	34%	41%	15%	10%	7

2008

Date(s) Conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Date(s) Conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size				Others	Lead
19–21 Dec	ComRes	The Independent	1,000	34%	39%	16%	11%	5
16–18 Dec	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,241	35%	42%	14%	9%	7
12–14 Dec	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,000	35%	39%	15%	11%	4
12–14 Dec	ICM	The Guardian	1,003	33%	38%	19%	10%	5
11–12 Dec	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,098	35%	41%	15%	10%	6
10–11 Dec	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,003	36%	37%	14%	12%	1
10–11 Dec	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,007	36%	41%	11%	12%	5
5–7 Dec	Populus	The Times	1,505	35%	39%	17%	9%	4
28–30 Nov	ComRes	The Independent	1,005	36%	37%	17%	10%	1
27–28 Nov	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,017	32%	43%	15%	10%	11
25–26 Nov	ICM	The Guardian	1,027	30%	45%	18%	7%	15
24–25 Nov	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,556	36%	40%	14%	10%	4
19–20 Nov	ICM	Sunday Mirror	1,010	31%	42%	19%	8%	11
14–16 Nov	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,002	37%	40%	12%	11%	3
13–14 Nov	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,080	36%	41%	14%	10%	5
12–13 Nov	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,010	32%	43%	12%	13%	11
7–9 Nov	Populus	The Times	1,503	35%	41%	16%	8%	6
5–6 Nov	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,005	30%	43%	18%	9%	13
6 Nov	Glenrothes by-election (Lab hold)
2 Nov	BPIX^[2]	N/A	?	31%	45%	13%	11%	14
27–29 Oct	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,271	33%	42%	15%	10%	9
24–26 Oct	ComRes	The Independent	1,001	31%	39%	16%	14%	8
17–19 Oct	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,004	30%	45%	14%	11%	15
17–19 Oct	ICM	The Guardian	1,007	30%	42%	21%	7%	12
16–18 Oct	BPIX^[2]	N/A	2,046	30%	46%	13%	11%	16
15–17 Oct	YouGov	The Daily Mirror	2,029	34%	42%	14%	10%	8
15–16 Oct	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,005	31%	40%	16%	14%	9
9–10 Oct	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,941	33%	43%	14%	10%	10
3–5 Oct	Populus	The Times	1,503	30%	45%	15%	10%	15
1–3 Oct	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,048	31%	45%	15%	9%	14
26–28 Sep	ComRes	The Independent	1,017	29%	41%	18%	12%	12
24–26 Sep	BPIX^[2]	N/A	2,020	31%	43%	17%	9%	12
24–25 Sep	ICM	The Guardian	1,012	32%	41%	18%	9%	9
23–24 Sep	YouGov	The Sun	1,536	31%	41%	16%	12%	10
17–18 Sep	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,010	27%	39%	21%	12%	12
17–19 Sep	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,227	24%	44%	20%	12%	20
12–14 Sep	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,017	24%	52%	12%	12%	28
10–12 Sep	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,161	27%	46%	16%	11%	19
3–4 Sep	ComRes	The Independent	1,013	25%	44%	17%	14%	19
29–31 Aug	Populus	The Times	1,506	27%	43%	18%	12%	16
26–27 Aug	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,267	26%	45%	16%	13%	19
20–21 Aug	ComRes	The Independent	1,014	25%	46%	16%	13%	21
15–17 Aug	ICM	The Guardian	1,002	29%	44%	19%	8%	15
15–17 Aug	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,005	24%	48%	16%	12%	24
14–15 Aug	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,745	25%	45%	18%	12%	20
6–8 Aug	YouGov	News of the World	2,031	26%	46%	17%	11%	20
31 Jul – 2 Aug	BPIX^[2]	N/A	1,333	24%	47%	16%	13%	23
30 Jul – 1 Aug	ICM	Sunday Express	1,001	29%	45%	16%	10%	16
29–31 Jul	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,949	25%	47%	16%	12%	22
25–27 Jul	Populus	The Times	1,002	27%	43%	18%	12%	16
23–25 Jul	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,120	26%	45%	17%	12%	19
23–24 Jul	ComRes	The Independent	1,021	24%	46%	18%	12%	22
24 Jul	Glasgow East by-election (SNP gain from Lab)
18–20 Jul	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,016	27%	47%	15%	11%	20
18–20 Jul	ICM	The Guardian	1,007	28%	43%	19%	10%	15
16–17 Jul	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,016	24%	45%	16%	15%	21
10–11 Jul	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,832	25%	47%	16%	12%	22
10 Jul	Haltemprice and Howden by-election (Con hold)
4–6 Jul	Populus	The Times	1,507	28%	41%	19%	12%	13
25–26 Jun	ComRes	The Independent	1,007	25%	46%	18%	11%	21
23–25 Jun	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,163	28%	46%	15%	11%	18
26 Jun	Henley by-election (Con hold)
20–22 Jun	ICM	The Guardian	1,000	25%	45%	20%	10%	20
18–20 Jun	BPIX^[2]	N/A	2,385	26%	49%	14%	11%	23
13–15 Jun	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,012	28%	45%	16%	11%	17
11–12 Jun	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,012	26%	44%	17%	13%	18
12–13 Jun	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,769	25%	47%	18%	10%	22
6–8 Jun	Populus	The Times	1,508	25%	45%	20%	10%	20
4–5 Jun	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,023	26%	42%	21%	11%	16
30 May – 1 Jun	ComRes	The Independent	1,006	30%	44%	16%	10%	14
27–29 May	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,241	23%	47%	18%	12%	24
22 May	Crewe and Nantwich by-election (Con gain from Lab)
16–18 May	ICM	The Guardian	1,008	27%	41%	22%	10%	14
15–16 May	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,854	25%	45%	18%	12%	20
14–15 May	ComRes	The Independent on Sunday	1,004	26%	43%	19%	12%	17
7–8 May	YouGov	The Sun	1,571	23%	49%	17%	11%	26
2–4 May	Populus	The Times	1,509	29%	40%	19%	11%	11
1 May	Local elections in England and Wales
25–27 Apr	ComRes	The Independent	1,005	26%	40%	20%	14%	14
23–24 Apr	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,010	29%	39%	20%	12%	10
21–23 Apr	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,073	26%	44%	17%	13%	18
17–22 Apr	Ipsos-MORI	The Observer	1,059	31%	40%	19%	10%	9
18–20 Apr	ICM/The Gurdian	N/A	1,000	34%	39%	19%	8%	5
16–17 Apr	Populus	Sunday Mirror	1,006	30%	40%	19%	11%	10
10–11 Apr	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,755	28%	44%	17%	11%	16
8–10 Apr	Populus	The Times	1,502	33%	39%	17%	6%	6
2–3 Apr	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,010	32%	43%	18%	7%	11
28–30 Mar	ComRes	The Independent	1,004	31%	38%	17%	14%	7
25–27 Mar	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,926	29%	43%	17%	11%	14
13–18 Mar	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,983	35%	40%	18%	7%	5
14–16 Mar	ICM	The Guardian	1,003	29%	42%	21%	8%	13
13–14 Mar	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,311	27%	43%	16%	13%	16
12–13 Mar	ICM	News of the World	1,002	31%	40%	20%	9%	9
7–9 Mar	Populus	The Times	1,502	34%	37%	19%	10%	3
25–27 Feb	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,011	33%	40%	16%	11%	7
21–26 Feb	Ipsos MORI	N/A	2,063	37%	39%	16%	8%	2
22–24 Feb	ComRes	The Independent	1,010	30%	41%	17%	12%	11
18–20 Feb	YouGov/The Economist	The Economist	2,118	34%	40%	16%	11%	6
15–17 Feb	ICM	The Guardian	1,003	34%	37%	21%	8%	3
14–15 Feb	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,469	32%	41%	16%	11%	9
1–3 Feb	Populus	The Times	1,504	31%	40%	17%	12%	9
30–31 Jan	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,012	32%	37%	21%	10%	5
25–27 Jan	ComRes	The Independent	1,003	30%	38%	17%	15%	8
21–23 Jan	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,992	33%	41%	16%	10%	8
17–22 Jan	Ipsos MORI	N/A	2,045	38%	37%	16%	9%	1
18–20 Jan	ICM	The Guardian	1,009	35%	37%	20%	8%	2
10–11 Jan	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,139	33%	43%	14%	11%	10
9–10 Jan	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,011	33%	40%	18%	9%	7
9–10 Jan	Ipsos MORI	The Sun	1,006	32%	42%	15%	11%	10
4–6 Jan	Populus	The Times	1,509	33%	37%	19%	11%	4

2007

Date(s) Conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Date(s) Conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size				Others	Lead
18–19 Dec	ICM	The Guardian	1,034	34%	39%	18%	9%	5
17–19 Dec	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,060	31%	43%	16%	11%	12
18 Dec	Nick Clegg is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
14–16 Dec	ComRes	The Independent	1,004	30%	41%	16%	12%	11
13–14 Dec	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,481	32%	45%	14%	10%	13
7–9 Dec	Populus	The Times	1,506	32%	40%	16%	11%	8
29 Nov – 7 Dec	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,859	35%	42%	14%	9%	7
28–29 Nov	ICM	News of the World	1,011	30%	41%	19%	10%	11
26–29 Nov	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	4,004	32%	43%	14%	11%	11
23–27 Nov	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,933	32%	41%	17%	10%	9
23–25 Nov	ComRes	The Independent	1,009	27%	41%	18%	15%	13
21–22 Nov	ICM	The Guardian	1,005	31%	37%	21%	10%	6
21–22 Nov	YouGov	Channel 4 News	1,600	32%	41%	14%	13%	9
14–16 Nov	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,983	35%	41%	13%	11%	6
8–10 Nov	ICM	Sunday Express	1,001	35%	43%	15%	7%	8
2–4 Nov	Populus	The Times	1,503	37%	36%	16%	11%	1
31 Oct – 1 Nov	Ipsos MORI	The Sun	1,013	35%	40%	13%	12%	5
26–28 Oct	ICM	The Guardian	1,011	35%	40%	18%	7%	5
26–28 Oct	ComRes	The Independent	1,002	33%	42%	15%	10%	8
22–24 Oct	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,105	38%	41%	11%	10%	3
18–23 Oct	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,987	41%	40%	13%	6%	1
10–11 Oct	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,010	36%	43%	14%	8%	7
10 Oct	Ipsos MORI	The Sun	1,007	38%	41%	11%	10%	3
5–6 Oct	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,757	38%	41%	11%	10%	3
5–7 Oct	Populus	The Times	1,008	40%	38%	12%	10%	2
3–4 Oct	YouGov	Channel 4 News	1,741	40%	36%	13%	11%	4
3–4 Oct	ICM	The Guardian		38%	38%	16%	8%	Tie
2–3 Oct	Populus	The Times	1,000	39%	36%	15%	10%	3
26–28 Sep	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,165	43%	32%	15%	10%	11
27–28 Sep	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,000	41%	34%	16%	9%	7
26–27 Sep	Populus	The Times	1,002	41%	31%	17%	10%	10
20–26 Sep	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,964	44%	31%	15%	10%	13
24–25 Sep	YouGov	Channel 4 News	1,341	44%	33%	13%	11%	11
20–22 Sep	Ipsos MORI	The Sun	1,009	42%	34%	14%	10%	8
19–21 Sep	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,085	39%	33%	16%	12%	6
19–20 Sep	ICM	Sunday Mirror	1,029	39%	33%	19%	9%	6
13–16 Sep	ICM	The Guardian	1,005	40%	32%	20%	8%	8
13–14 Sep	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,942	39%	34%	15%	12%	5
11–12 Sep	ComRes	The Independent	1,005	37%	34%	15%	14%	3
31 Aug – 2 Sep	Populus	The Times	1,506	37%	36%	18%	9%	1
29–31 Aug	YouGov	GMTV	2,154	38%	35%	15%	12%	3
29–30 Aug	ComRes	The Independent	1,016	35%	36%	14%	14%	1
23–29 Aug	Ipsos MORI	The Sun	1,941	41%	36%	16%	7%	5
25–28 Aug	Populus	Conservative Party	530	37%	36%	16%	10%	1
24–28 Aug	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,266	41%	33%	14%	12%	8
22–23 Aug	ICM	The Guardian	1,016	39%	34%	18%	9%	5
9–10 Aug	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,966	42%	32%	14%	12%	10
8–10 Aug	ICM	Sunday Mirror	1,007	39%	33%	18%	10%	6
8–9 Aug	Ipsos MORI	The Sun	531	38%	33%	15%	14%	5
27–29 Jul	Populus	The Times	1,511	39%	33%	15%	13%	6
27–29 Jul	Communicate	The Independent	1,006	37%	34%	16%	14%	3
23–25 Jul	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,877	41%	32%	16%	11%	9
20–22 Jul	ICM	The Guardian	1,005	38%	32%	20%	10%	6
19–20 Jul	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,664	40%	33%	15%	12%	7
19 Jul	Ealing Southall by-election and Sedgefield by-election (both Lab holds)
12–17 Jul	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,919	41%	35%	15%	9%	6
4–5 Jul	ICM	Sunday Mirror	1,006	37%	35%	17%	10%	2
1 Jul	Populus	The Times	1,504	37%	34%	18%	11%	3
28–29 Jun	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	1,886	38%	35%	15%	12%	3
27–28 Jun	ICM	The Guardian	1,005	39%	35%	18%	8%	4
24–27 Jun	Gordon Brown becomes leader of the Labour Party and subsequently Prime Minister
22–24 Jun	Communicate	The Independent	1,005	32%	37%	18%	13%	5
14–20 Jun	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,970	39%	36%	15%	10%	3
14–15 Jun	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,753	35%	37%	14%	14%	2
1–3 Jun	Populus	N/A	1,503	33%	36%	17%	14%	3
30–31 May	ICM	The Sunday Telegraph	1,014	32%	37%	21%	10%	5
25–28 May	Communicate	The Independent	1,003	31%	35%	19%	15%	4
21–23 May	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,050	33%	39%	15%	13%	6
18–20 May	ICM	The Guardian	1,003	32%	34%	21%	12%	2
11–13 May	Populus	The Times	1,504	33%	37%	17%	13%	4
10–11 May	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,962	34%	38%	15%	14%	4
10 May	Tony Blair announces he will resign as leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister on 27 June
3 May	Local elections in England and Scotland
23–25 Apr	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,019	32%	37%	18%	14%	5
19–25 Apr	Ipsos MORI	The Observer	1,163	31%	38%	20%	11%	7
20–22 Apr	ICM	The Guardian	1,005	30%	37%	21%	12%	7
13–15 Apr	Populus	The Times	1,503	29%	37%	20%	14%	8
4–5 Apr	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,218	31%	39%	16%	14%	8
26–28 Mar	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,042	32%	39%	17%	13%	7
23–25 Mar	Communicate	N/A	1,002	31%	35%	20%	14%	4
21–22 Mar	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,752	31%	39%	16%	14%	8
16–18 Mar	ICM	The Guardian	1,011	31%	41%	18%	10%	10
15–16 Mar	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,897	32%	38%	16%	14%	6
9–15 Mar	Ipsos MORI	N/A	1,983	33%	41%	17%	9%	8
2–4 Mar	Populus	The Times	1,509	30%	38%	18%	14%	8
23–25 Feb	Communicate	N/A	1,001	29%	40%	17%	14%	11
19–21 Feb	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,292	32%	37%	17%	14%	5
16–18 Feb	ICM	The Guardian	1,000	31%	40%	19%	10%	9
8–9 Feb	YouGov	The Sunday Times	2,019	32%	37%	18%	14%	5
2–4 Feb	Populus	The Times	1,509	33%	36%	19%	12%	3
19–29 Jan	Ipsos MORI	N/A	949	35%	39%	19%	7%	4
26–28 Jan	Communicate	N/A	1,008	29%	34%	21%	16%	5
22–24 Jan	YouGov	The Daily Telegraph	2,245	31%	38%	18%	13%	7
19–21 Jan	ICM	The Guardian	1,004	31%	37%	23%	9%	6
5–7 Jan	Populus	The Times	1,507	32%	39%	18%	11%	7

2006

Date(s) Conducted	Polling Organisation / Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Date(s) Conducted	Polling Organisation / Client	Sample size				Others	Lead
20–22 Dec	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,918	32%	37%	15%	15%	5
18–20 Dec	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,874	33%	37%	17%	13%	4
19–20 Dec	Communicate Archived 4 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine	1,009	37%	36%	14%	14%	1
15–17 Dec	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	32%	40%	18%	10%	8
9–12 Dec	Ipsos MORI	1,938	36%	37%	18%	9%	1
8–10 Dec	Populus/The Times	1,513	33%	34%	19%	14%	1
28–30 Nov	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,979	32%	37%	16%	15%	5
29–30 Nov	ICM/News of the World	1,006	31%	39%	20%	10%	8
24–26 Nov	Communicate Archived 3 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine	1,004	36%	34%	17%	12%	2
17–19 Nov	ICM/The Guardian	1,000	32%	37%	22%	9%	5
9–14 Nov	Ipsos MORI	1,115	33%	35%	20%	12%	2
3–5 Nov	Populus/The Times	1,510	33%	36%	20%	11%	3
24–26 Oct	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,722	32%	39%	16%	13%	7
20–22 Oct	Communicate Archived 14 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine	977	32%	38%	14%	15%	6
20–22 Oct	ICM/The Guardian	1,019	29%	39%	22%	9%	10
12–16 Oct	Ipsos MORI/Financial Times	1,113	37%	35%	18%	10%	2
6–8 Oct	Populus/The Times	1,515	35%	36%	18%	11%	1
4–5 Oct	ICM/Sunday Telegraph	1,005	32%	38%	20%	10%	6
28–30 Sep	ICM/Sunday Mirror	1,029	35%	36%	19%	11%	1
27–29 Sep	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,849	36%	36%	16%	12%	Tie
21–22 Sep	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,546	33%	37%	18%	12%	4
19–22 Sep	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,733	31%	38%	18%	13%	7
19–20 Sep	ICM/The Guardian	1,066	32%	36%	22%	10%	4
13–14 Sep	ICM/Sunday Mirror	1,003	33%	37%	21%	8%	4
13–14 Sep	YouGov/The Sun	1,519	31%	38%	18%	14%	7
6–7 Sep	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,504	32%	40%	17%	11%	8
31 Aug – 6 Sep	Ipsos MORI/Sunday Times	1,186	36%	35%	19%	10%	1
1–3 Sep	Populus/The Times	1,504	32%	36%	20%	13%	4
22–24 Aug	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,757	31%	38%	18%	13%	7
18–20 Aug	ICM/The Guardian	1,007	31%	40%	22%	8%	9
24–26 Jul	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,633	33%	38%	18%	11%	5
20–24 Jul	Ipsos MORI	1,897	32%	36%	24%	8%	4
21–23 Jul	ICM/The Guardian	1,001	35%	39%	17%	9%	4
7–9 Jul	Populus/The Times	1,512	34%	36%	19%	11%	2
29 Jun	Blaenau Gwent by-election (BGPV gain from Ind) and Bromley & Chislehurst by-election (Con hold)
28–29 Jun	ICM/Sunday Telegraph	1,003	35%	36%	18%	11%	1
26–28 Jun	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,962	33%	39%	18%	10%	6
22–26 Jun	Ipsos MORI	1,931	33%	36%	21%	10%	3
21–23 Jun	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,009	32%	39%	17%	12%	7
16–18 Jun	ICM/The Guardian	1,005	32%	37%	21%	9%	5
8–12 Jun	Ipsos MORI/The Observer	1,975	34%	41%	18%	7%	7
2–4 Jun	Populus/The Times	1,505	34%	37%	18%	11%	3
25–30 May	Ipsos MORI	1,984	31%	41%	18%	10%	10
23–25 May	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,102	32%	38%	16%	14%	6
19–21 May	ICM/The Guardian	1,001	34%	38%	20%	8%	4
8–9 May	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,910	31%	37%	17%	15%	6
5–7 May	Populus/The Times	1,516	30%	38%	20%	11%	8
4 May	Local elections in England
27 Apr – 2 May	Ipsos MORI/Financial Times	1,078	32%	36%	21%	11%	4
27–28 Apr	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,930	32%	35%	18%	15%	3
21–23 Apr	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	32%	34%	24%	10%	2
20–22 Apr	Ipsos MORI/The Sun	1,006	30%	30%	25%	15%	Tie
18–20 Apr	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,075	35%	33%	17%	15%	2
31 Mar – 2 Apr	Populus/The Times	1,503	36%	34%	21%	10%	2
27–29 Mar	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,873	36%	36%	18%	10%	Tie
16–21 Mar	Ipsos MORI	1,155	39%	34%	19%	8%	5
16–18 Mar	ICM/Sunday Telegraph	1,003	37%	33%	21%	9%	4
16–17 Mar	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,811	35%	38%	19%	8%	3
10–12 Mar	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	37%	34%	21%	8%	3
3–5 Mar	Populus/The Times	1,509	35%	35%	20%	9%	Tie
2 Mar	Sir Menzies Campbell is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
21–22 Feb	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,019	36%	38%	18%	9%	2
16–20 Feb	Ipsos MORI/The Sun	1,143	38%	35%	20%	7%	3
17–19 Feb	ICM/The Guardian	1,002	34%	37%	21%	8%	3
9–10 Feb	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,617	39%	37%	15%	10%	2
9 Feb	Dunfermline and West Fife by-election (LD gain from Lab)
3–5 Feb	Populus/The Times	1,508	36%	37%	18%	9%	1
24–26 Jan	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,096	40%	39%	13%	9%	1
19–23 Jan	Ipsos MORI	1,163	38%	40%	17%	5%	2
20–22 Jan	ICM/The Guardian	1,009	36%	37%	19%	7%	1
12–17 Jan	Ipsos MORI/The Sun	541	39%	39%	15%	7%	Tie
6–8 Jan	Populus/The Times	1,509	39%	36%	16%	9%	3
7 Jan	Charles Kennedy resigns as leader of the Liberal Democrats

2005

Date(s) Conducted	Polling Organisation / Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Date(s) Conducted	Polling Organisation / Client	Sample size				Others	Lead
15–18 Dec	ICM/The Guardian	1,004	36%	37%	21%	7%	1
13–15 Dec	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,071	36%	38%	18%	8%	2
9–12 Dec	MORI/The Observer	1,000	31%	40%	20%	9%	9
9–11 Dec	Populus/The Times	1,521	38%	35%	19%	8%	3
6–8 Dec	YouGov/Sunday Times	2,089	36%	37%	18%	8%	1
7–8 Dec	ICM/The Guardian	1,003	35%	37%	21%	7%	2
6 Dec	David Cameron is elected leader of the Conservative Party
5–6 Dec	YouGov/Sky News	1,612	36%	36%	18%	10%	Tie
22–24 Nov	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,616	37%	35%	20%	8%	2
17–22 Nov	MORI	1,089	42%	32%	19%	7%	10
18–20 Nov	ICM/The Guardian	1,013	38%	33%	19%	10%	5
4–6 Nov	Populus/The Times	1,512	40%	32%	19%	9%	8
2–3 Nov	ICM/Sunday Telegraph	1,010	39%	33%	21%	7%	6
25–27 Oct	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	1,947	40%	32%	19%	9%	8
20–25 Oct	MORI	1,904	40%	34%	21%	5%	6
19–20 Oct	ICM/The Guardian	1,007	36%	33%	22%	8%	3
7–9 Oct	Populus/The Times	1,509	40%	30%	21%	9%	10
5–6 Oct	ICM/News of the World	1,015	38%	32%	22%	8%	5
29 Sep	Livingston by-election (Lab hold)
27–29 Sep	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	2,183	40%	32%	20%	9%	8
22–26 Sep	MORI	1,132	39%	29%	25%	7%	10
16–17 Sep	ICM/The Guardian	1,013	40%	31%	21%	8%	9
8–9 Sep	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,856	37%	32%	21%	10%	5
2–4 Sep	Populus/The Times	1,506	37%	35%	20%	8%	2
19–24 Aug	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	–	40%	33%	20%	7%	7
11–15 Aug	MORI	1,191	39%	31%	24%	6%	8
12–14 Aug	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	38%	31%	22%	9%	7
26–28 Jul	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	–	40%	31%	21%	8%	9
22–24 Jul	Populus/The Times	1,506	40%	28%	22%	10%	12
14–18 Jul	MORI/The Observer	1,227	41%	28%	25%	6%	13
15–17 Jul	ICM/The Guardian	1,005	39%	31%	23%	7%	8
14 Jul	Cheadle by-election (LD hold)
28–30 Jun	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	3,717	38%	33%	20%	9%	5
16–20 Jun	MORI	1,227	42%	29%	21%	8%	13
17–19 Jun	ICM/The Guardian	1,005	38%	31%	23%	8%	7
24–26 May	YouGov/Daily Telegraph	–	38%	31%	23%	8%	7
19–23 May	MORI/Financial Times	1,274	37%	30%	26%	7%	7
5 May 2005	2005 general election	–	36.2%	33.2%	22.7%	7.9%	3.0

Exit poll

An exit poll, collected by Ipsos MORI and GfK NOP for the BBC, ITN and Sky News, was published at 22:00 at the end of voting. Data was gathered from 130 polling stations across the country.^[3]

Parties		Seats	Change
	Conservative Party	307	97
	Labour Party	255	94
	Liberal Democrats	59	3
	Others^[b]	29
Hung Parliament (Conservatives 19 seats short of majority)

Initial reaction to the exit poll by various commentators was of surprise at the apparent poor prospects for the Liberal Democrats^[4] because it was odds with many opinion polls undertaken in the previous weeks. However, the actual results showed that the exit poll was a good predictor.

A later BBC forecast (05:36 BST) predicted the Conservatives on 306, 20 short of an overall majority, Labour on 262, and Liberal Democrats on 55.^[5]

Sub-national poll results

Scotland

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	LD	SNP	Con	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size					Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	42.0%	18.9%	19.9%	16.7%	2.5%	22.1
3 May 2010	YouGov^[6]	The Scotsman	1,507	37%	22%	21%	17%	3%	15
21–27 Apr 2010	TNS-BMRB^[6]	Scottish Mail on Sunday	1,029	44%	16%	23%	13%	4%	21
23–26 Apr 2010	Populus^[6]	The Times	1,000	37%	24%	19%	16%	4%	13
14–17 Apr 2010	Ipsos MORI^[6]	STV	1,005	36%	20%	26%	14%	4%	10
24–26 Mar 2010	YouGov^[7]	Scottish Mail on Sunday	1,008	37%	14%	24%	18%	7%	13
3–10 Mar 2010	YouGov^[7]	The Scottish Sun	720	39%	12%	26%	18%	5%	13
24 Feb – 3 Mar 2010	YouGov^[7]	The Scottish Sun	821	39%	14%	24%	18%	5%	15
24–26 Feb 2010	YouGov^[7]	The Scotsman	1,002	35%	15%	24%	20%	6%	11
24–26 Feb 2010	YouGov^[7]	Scottish Mail on Sunday	1,002	38%	15%	21%	20%	6%	17
17–24 Feb 2010	YouGov^[7]	The Scottish Sun	667	42%	14%	20%	19%	5%	22
18–21 Feb 2010	Ipsos MORI^[7]	–	1,006	34%	12%	32%	17%	5%	2
15–17 Feb 2010	YouGov^[7]	The Scottish Sun	562	37%	15%	21%	21%	6%	16
19–23 Nov 2009	Ipsos MORI^[7]	–	1,009	32%	12%	34%	15%	7%	2
18–20 Nov 2009	YouGov^[7]	The Daily Telegraph	1,141	39%	12%	24%	18%	7%	15
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2009	TNS-BMRB^[7]	Herald	983	39%	12%	25%	18%	6%	14
20–31 Aug 2009	Ipsos MORI^[8]	Holyrood Magazine	1,000	27%	14%	33%	18%	9% Greens on 4% BNP on 1% UKIP on 1% SSP on 1% Independent on <0.5% Others on <0.5%	6
26–28 Aug 2009	YouGov^[7]	Mail on Sunday	1,183	30%	18%	26%	20%	6%	4
24–26 Aug 2009	YouGov^[7]	Daily Mail	1,078	33%	16%	25%	19%	7%	8
2–4 Jun 2009	YouGov^[7]	Sunday Times	1,048	28%	16%	31%	17%	8%	3
22–28 Apr 2009	TNS System 3^[7]	–	986	36%	9%	19%	32%	4%	4
12–13 Mar 2009	YouGov^[7]	Sunday Times	1,380	37%	11%	27%	20%	5%	10
29–30 Jan 2009	YouGov^[7]	Sunday Times	1,498	37%	12%	27%	20%	4%	10
22–24 Oct 2008	YouGov^[7]	Sunday Times	1,266	38%	11%	29%	20%	2%	9
3–5 Sep 2008	YouGov^[7]	Sunday Times	1,355	32%	13%	34%	17%	4%	2
8–10 Jul 2008	YouGov^[7]	The Daily Telegraph	1,131	29%	14%	33%	20%	4%	4
26–29 Apr 2008	TNS System 3^[7]	–	1,086	39%	10%	31%	17%	3%	8
24–28 Apr 2008	YouGov^[7]	The Daily Telegraph	1,175	34%	14%	30%	17%	5%	4
2–4 Apr 2008	YouGov^[7]	The Sun	1,070	35%	12%	31%	17%	5%	4
3–8 Jan 2008	YouGov^[7]	Daily Express	1,343	36%	12%	30%	18%	4%	6
15–17 Aug 2007	YouGov^[7]	Sunday Times	1,118	40%	11%	31%	14%	4%	9
10–12 Jan 2007	YouGov^[7]	Sunday Times	1,005	35%	15%	28%	16%	6%	7
4–8 Jan 2007	YouGov^[7]	Channel 4	1,061	34%	15%	27%	19%	5%	7
17–22 Nov 2006	YouGov^[7]	The Daily Telegraph	1,016	36%	16%	25%	18%	5%	11
1 Apr – 30 Jun 2006	Ipsos MORI^[9]	–	520	36%	17%	24%	17%	6%	12
1 Jan – 31 Mar 2006	Ipsos MORI^[9]	–	526	44%	17%	16%	19%	4%	25
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	39.5%	22.6%	17.7%	15.8%	4.4%	16.9

Wales

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	PC	Others	Lead
Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size					Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	36.2%	26.1%	20.1%	11.3%	6.3%	10.1
1–3 May 2010	YouGov^[10]	ITV Wales	Unknown	35%	27%	23%	10%	5%	8
Late Apr 2010	R&MP^[11]	Western Mail	Unknown	37.5%	23.5%	21%	10.8%	7.2	14
16–19 Apr 2010	YouGov^[11]	ITV Wales	1,070	33%	23%	29%	9%	6%	4
Mar 2010	NAW^[11]	ITV Wales	Unknown	39%	27%	13%	13%	9%	12
Mar 2010	YouGov^[11]	ITV Wales	Unknown	37%	29%	12%	14%	7%	8
Jan 2010	YouGov^[11]	ITV Wales	Unknown	35%	32%	13%	13%	7%	3
Nov 2009	YouGov^[11]	ITV Wales	Unknown	34%	31%	14%	14%	7%	3
21–23 Oct 2009	YouGov^[10]	University of Aberystwyth	1,078	34%	31%	12%	15%	7%	3
Jul 2009	YouGov^[10]	IWP-WGC	Unknown	28%	33%	14%	14%	11%	5
Mar 2009	Beaufort^[10]	Plaid Cymru	Unknown	41%	22%	13%	17%	7%	19
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	42.7%	21.4%	18.4%	12.6%	4.9%	16.9

Individual constituency poll results

Blaenau Gwent

Blaenau Gwent maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Law (Ind)	Lab	LD	PC	Con	BGPV	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size							Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	–	52.4%	10.1%	4.1%	7.0%	19.9%	6.4%	32.5
29 Jun 2006	2006 Blaenau Gwent by-election		–	–	37.0%	5.4%	6.5%	3.7%	46.7%	1.2%	9.7
1 Jun 2006	NOP^[12]	–	?	–	47%	6%	6%	5%	35%	–	12
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	58.2%	32.3%	4.3%	2.4%	2.4%	–	0.5%	25.9

Brighton Pavilion

Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Brighton Pavilion were changed. The Green Party candidate was its leader, Caroline Lucas.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	Grn	LD	UKIP	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size						Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	28.9%	23.7%	31.3%	13.8%	1.8%	1.4%	2.4
16–21 Dec 2009	ICM^[13]	Green Party of England and Wales^[14]	533	25%	27%	35%	11%	–	2%	8
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	35.4%	23.9%	21.9%	16.5%	1.2%	1.1%	11.5

Crewe and Nantwich

Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Crewe and Nantwich were changed.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size				Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	34.0%	45.8%	15.0%	5.1%	11.8
22 May 2008	2008 Crewe and Nantwich by-election		–	30.6%	49.5%	14.6%	5.5%	18.9
15–18 May 2008	ComRes^[15]	The Independent	?	35%	48%	12%	–	13
May 2008	ICM^[15]	News of the World	?	37%	45%	14%	–	8
7–8 May 2008	ICM^[15]	Mail on Sunday	?	39%	43%	16%	–	4
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	48.8%	32.6%	18.6%	–	16.2

Glasgow East

Glasgow East maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	SNP	LD	Con	SSP	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size						Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	61.6%	24.7%	5.0%	4.5%	1.4%	2.7%	36.9
24 Jul 2008	2008 Glasgow East by-election		–	41.7%	43.1%	3.5%	6.3%	2.1%	3.4%	1.4
14–17 Jul 2008	Progressive Scottish Opinion^[15]	–	?	52%	35%	7%	3%	–	–	17
10–11 Jul 2008	ICM^[15]	Sunday Telegraph	?	47%	33%	9%	7%	–	4%	14
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	60.7%	17.0%	11.8%	6.9%	3.5%	–	43.7

Glasgow North East

Glasgow North East maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Spk	SNP	SLP	SSP	BNP	Lab	Con	LD	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size									Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	–	14.1%	0.5%	0.9%	2.7%	68.3%	5.3%	7.7%	0.6%	54.2
12 Nov 2009	2009 Glasgow North East by-election		–	–	20.0%	0.2%	0.7%	4.9%	59.4%	5.2%	2.3%	7.3%	39.4
31 May 2009	Scottish Opinion^[15]	Sunday Times	?	–	33%	–	–	–	51%	6%	3%	7%	18
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	53.3%	17.7%	14.2%	4.9%	3.2%	–	–	–	6.7%	35.6

Glenrothes

Glenrothes maintained its 2005 boundaries at the 2010 general election.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	SNP	LD	Con	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size					Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	62.3%	21.7%	7.7%	7.2%	1.0%	40.6
6 Nov 2008	2008 Glenrothes by-election		–	55.1%	36.5%	2.6%	3.8%	1.9%	18.6
17 Sep 2008	ICM^[16]	Mail on Sunday	?	43%	43%	8%	5%	1%	Tie
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	51.9%	23.4%	12.7%	7.1%	5.0%	28.5

Norwich North

Between the 2005 and 2010 general elections the boundaries of Norwich North were changed.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Grn	UKIP	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size						Others	Lead
6 May 2010	2010 general election		–	31.4%	40.6%	18.3%	2.9%	4.4%	2.4%	9.2
23 Jul 2009	2009 Norwich North by-election		–	18.2%	39.5%	14.0%	9.7%	11.8%	6.8%	21.3
19–21 Jun 2009	ICM^[16]	University of East Anglia	?	30%	34%	15%	14%	7%		4
5 May 2005	2005 general election		–	44.9%	33.2%	16.2%	2.7%	2.4%	0.7%	11.7

References

Notes

^ Michael Martin was originally elected as Labour, but resigned his party member ship upon becoming Speaker in 2000, as per Parliamentary custom.
^ This includes the 18 seats in Northern Ireland.

Citations

^ Wells, Anthony (10 December 2005). "Tories take the Lead". UKPollingReport. Archived from the original on 18 January 2012. Retrieved 15 March 2010.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h BPIX is not a member of the British Polling Council, unlike the other main pollsters such as YouGov, ComRes, Populus, Ipsos MORI, and ICM. Therefore, the full details of its polls are not subject to public disclosure.
^ "Exit poll: Tories to fall 19 short of majority". BBC. 6 May 2010. Archived from the original on 17 August 2012. Retrieved 24 December 2023.
^ "Parties surprised by exit poll". BBC News. 6 May 2010. Archived from the original on 22 August 2019. Retrieved 7 May 2010.
^ "Live coverage – General Election 2010". BBC News. 6 May 2010. Archived from the original on 13 March 2012. Retrieved 6 May 2010.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Opinion Polls 2010". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 20 February 2026.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab "Electoral Calculus". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Archived from the original on 10 April 2010. Retrieved 20 February 2026.
^ "Scottish Public Opinion Monitor August 2009 | Ipsos". www.ipsos.com. 14 September 2009. Retrieved 20 February 2026.
^ ^a ^b "Voting intentions In Scotland 2005-2006 | Ipsos". www.ipsos.com. 7 November 2006. Retrieved 20 February 2026.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Wales: UK General Election Polls" (PDF). Cardiff University. September 2014.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "YouGov / ITV Wales Survey Results" (PDF). YouGov. 20 April 2010.
^ Pack, Mark (January 2026). "PollBase Q4 2025". PollBase.
^ "Brighton Pavilion Poll - December 2009" (PDF). ICM Research. 29 December 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 7 March 2010.
^ "Brighton & Hove Green Party | Caroline Lucas only candidate able to keep out the Conservatives in Brighton Pavilion constituency". www.brightonhovegreens.org. 29 December 2009. Archived from the original on 13 January 2010. Retrieved 19 February 2026.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Pack, Mark (January 2026). "PollBase Q4 2025". PollBase.
^ ^a ^b Cite error: The named reference :02 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).

^P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.

External links

Ipsos Mori archive of all pollsters' polls
British Polling Council
Electoral Calculus
UK Polling Report Election Guide Archived 5 October 2007 at the Wayback Machine
ICM Polls
Populus Political Polls
YouGov Political Polls
ComRes Polls
Latest polling results and seat projections from Angus Reid Public Opinion

[spk-3] Michael Martin was originally elected as Labour, but resigned his party member ship upon becoming Speaker in 2000, as per Parliamentary custom.

[5] This includes the 18 seats in Northern Ireland.

[1] Wells, Anthony (10 December 2005). "Tories take the Lead". UKPollingReport. Archived from the original on 18 January 2012. Retrieved 15 March 2010.

[BPIX-2] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h BPIX is not a member of the British Polling Council, unlike the other main pollsters such as YouGov, ComRes, Populus, Ipsos MORI, and ICM. Therefore, the full details of its polls are not subject to public disclosure.

[4] "Exit poll: Tories to fall 19 short of majority". BBC. 6 May 2010. Archived from the original on 17 August 2012. Retrieved 24 December 2023.

[6] "Parties surprised by exit poll". BBC News. 6 May 2010. Archived from the original on 22 August 2019. Retrieved 7 May 2010.

[BBCLive-7] "Live coverage – General Election 2010". BBC News. 6 May 2010. Archived from the original on 13 March 2012. Retrieved 6 May 2010.

[:1-8] "Opinion Polls 2010". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 20 February 2026.

[:3-9] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w ^x ^y ^z ^aa ^ab "Electoral Calculus". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Archived from the original on 10 April 2010. Retrieved 20 February 2026.

[:4-10] "Scottish Public Opinion Monitor August 2009 | Ipsos". www.ipsos.com. 14 September 2009. Retrieved 20 February 2026.

[:2-11] "Voting intentions In Scotland 2005-2006 | Ipsos". www.ipsos.com. 7 November 2006. Retrieved 20 February 2026.

[:5-12] "Wales: UK General Election Polls" (PDF). Cardiff University. September 2014.

[:6-13] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f "YouGov / ITV Wales Survey Results" (PDF). YouGov. 20 April 2010.

[14] Pack, Mark (January 2026). "PollBase Q4 2025". PollBase.

[15] "Brighton Pavilion Poll - December 2009" (PDF). ICM Research. 29 December 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 7 March 2010.

[16] "Brighton & Hove Green Party | Caroline Lucas only candidate able to keep out the Conservatives in Brighton Pavilion constituency". www.brightonhovegreens.org. 29 December 2009. Archived from the original on 13 January 2010. Retrieved 19 February 2026.

[:0-17] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Pack, Mark (January 2026). "PollBase Q4 2025". PollBase.

[:02-18] Cite error: The named reference :02 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).

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2010 United Kingdom general election
Boundary changes Constituencies marginal seats Debates Endorsements MPs elected seniority lost their seat stood down Opinion polling Parties Post-election events Results breakdown by constituency
Incumbent prime minister: Gordon Brown (Labour) Appointed prime minister: David Cameron (Conservative)
Parties elected to the House of Commons	Conservative (David Cameron) Labour (Gordon Brown) Liberal Democrats (Nick Clegg) Democratic Unionist Party (Peter Robinson) Scottish National Party (Alex Salmond) Sinn Féin (Gerry Adams) Plaid Cymru (Ieuan Wyn Jones) Social Democratic and Labour Party (Margaret Ritchie) Green Party of England and Wales (Caroline Lucas) Alliance Party of Northern Ireland (David Ford) Independent (Sylvia Hermon)
Parties represented in Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland, London, or the EU	British National Party (Nick Griffin) Green Party Northern Ireland (Mark Bailey / Karly Greene) Progressive Unionist Party (Dawn Purvis) Scottish Greens (Eleanor Scott / Patrick Harvie) Ulster Unionist Party (Sir Reg Empey) United Kingdom Independence Party (Lord Pearson)
Results by area	England (list) East Midlands region Northern Ireland (list) Scotland (list) Wales (list)
See also	The Battle for Barking Coalition ToryBoy The Movie Power 2010 Cameron Cutie Holby City woman
2010 United Kingdom local elections