Opinion polling for the 2026 Victorian state election

In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Primary vote opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election
Primary vote opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election

Two-party preferred

Two-party preferred opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election
Two-party preferred opinion polling for the 2026 Victoria State election

Voting intention

Legislative Assembly

2026

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] 2,462 25.5% 21.5% 13.5% 26.5% 4% 9% 52% 48% N/a
52.5% N/a 47.5%
N/a 56% 44%
Jan 12 – 16 2026
& Feb 8 – 14 2026 		Resolve[3] 1,100 28% 30% 12% 11% 7% 11% N/a N/a N/a
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] 1,274 23% 29% 15% 21% N/a 12% 47% 53% N/a

2025

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] 1,021 31% 40% 12% 6% 11%[a] 50% 50%
7 Dec 2025 Resolve[8][9] 1,000 28% 39% 12% 9% 11% N/a N/a
21 – 24 Nov 2025 Freshwater[10][11] 1,220 30% 37% 15% N/a 18% 50% 50%
18 – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[12] 1,030 28% 36% 14% N/a 22% 49% 51%
18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
14 – 17 Nov 2025 Freshwater[13][14] 1,217 30% 37% 15% N/a 18% 49% 51%
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] 1,016 26% 37% 15% N/a 22% 49% 51%
8 – 14 Oct 2025 Redbridge/Accent[17] 1,501 32% 37% 13% N/a 18% 52% 48%
12 Oct 2025 Resolve[18] 1,000 30% 33% 12% 10% 15% N/a N/a
3 – 11 Sep 2025 Redbridge[19] 2,005 32% 37% 13% N/a 18% 52% 48%
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] 1,327 26% 38% 15% N/a 21% 49% 51%
17 Aug 2025 Resolve[22] 1,000 32% 33% 12% 9% 13% N/a N/a
23 – 30 Jun 2025 Newspoll[23] 1,000 35% 35% 12% N/a 18% 53% 47%
19 – 30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[24] 1,183 33% 38% 14% N/a 15% 51.5% 48.5%
24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025 Redbridge[25][26] 2,013 29% 41% 13% N/a 17% 49% 51%
30 Mar 2025 Resolve[27] 1,000 24% 41% 14% 14% 7% N/a N/a
17 – 21 Mar 2025 DemosAU[28] 1,006 25% 39% 15% N/a 21% 48% 52%
Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 Resolve[29] 1,124 22% 42% 13% 17% 6% N/a N/a

2024

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN IND OTH ALP L/NP
Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 Resolve[29] 1,124 22% 42% 13% 17% 6% N/a N/a
27 Dec 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
6 – 20 Nov 2024 Redbridge[30][31] 920 30% 43% 14% N/a 13% 49% 51%
10 Nov 2024 Resolve[32] 1,000 28% 38% 13% 14% 7% N/a N/a
26 Sep – 3 Oct 2024 Redbridge[33][34] 1,516 30% 40% 12% N/a 18% 49% 51%
18 Sep 2024 Redbridge[35] 1,500 30% 40% 12% N/a 17% 50% 50%
7 Sep 2024 Resolve[36] 1,054 27% 37% 14% 15% 7% N/a N/a
6 – 29 Aug 2024 Wolf & Smith[37][38] 2,024 28% 40% 14% 15% 3% 48% 52%
5 Aug 2024 Redbridge[39] 1,514 31% 40% 12% N/a 17% 50% 50%
14 Jul 2024 Resolve[40] 1,000 27% 37% 15% 15% 6% N/a N/a
7 Jun 2024 Redbridge[41] 1,000 35% 38% 14% N/a 13% 55% 45%
19 May 2024 Resolve[42] 1,000 28% 37% 13% 16% 6% N/a N/a
24 Mar 2024 Resolve[43] 1,100 33% 35% 13% 12% 7% 54.6% 45.4%
14 – 20 Mar 2024 Redbridge[44] 1,559 36% 38% 10% N/a 16% 54% 46%

2023

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT
2 – 12 Dec 2023 Redbridge[45][46] 2,000 37% 36% 13% N/a 14% 55.9% 44.1%
3 Dec 2023 Resolve[47] 1,100 37% 31% 11% 14% 6% N/a N/a
Sep – Oct 2023 Resolve[48] 1,100 39% 32% 12% 10% 7% N/a N/a
27 Sep 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier
31 Aug – 14 Sep 2023 Redbridge[49] 3,001 37% 34% 13% N/a 16% 56.5% 43.5%
Jul – Aug 2023 Resolve[50] 1,100 39% 28% 13% 13% 7% N/a N/a
19 – 20 Jul 2023 Roy Morgan[51] 1,046 33% 35.5% 12.5% 10.5% 8.5%[b] 53% 47%
May – Jun 2023 Resolve[52] 1,003 41% 23% 3% 15% 12% 6% N/a N/a
17 – 22 May 2023 Roy Morgan[53] 2,095 42% 28.5% 12.5% 9% 8%[c] 61.5% 38.5%
19 – 22 Apr 2023 Resolve[54] 1,609 42% 30% 10% 12% 5% N/a N/a
15 – 18 Feb 2023 Resolve[55] 825 41% 30% 13% 13% 4% N/a N/a
8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
26 Nov 2022 2022 election[56] 37.0% 34.5% 11.5% 5.5% 11.6%[d] 55% 45%

Legislative Council

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote
ALP L/NP GRN LCV DLP LBT SFF ONP FFP AJP VS OTH
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] 1,274 19% 28% 14% 5% 1% 1% 1% 20% 2% 4% 1% 4%[e]
21–27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] 1,016 21% 30% 14% 2% 2% 4% 1% 11% 5% 3% 1% 6%[f]
26 Nov 2022 2022 election 33.0% 29.4% 10.3% 4.1% 3.5% 2.6% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.4% 8.0%

Leadership polling

Preferred premier

Allan vs Wilson

Date Firm Sample
size 		Party leaders Net
Allan Wilson Don't know
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] 2,462 42.5% 51% 6.5% 8.5%
Jan – Feb 2026 Resolve[3] 1,100 20% 39% 41% 19%
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] 1,274 31% 40% 29% 9%
7 Dec 2025 Resolve[8] 1,000 24% 41% 35% 17%
21 – 24 Nov 2025 Freshwater[10][11] 1,220 31% 47% 22% 16%
18 – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[12] 1,030 33% 47% 20% 14%
18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Battin

Date Firm Sample
size 		Party leaders Net
Allan Battin Don't know
14 – 17 Nov 2025 Freshwater[13][14] 1,217 34% 45% 21% 11%
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] 1,016 32% 40% 28% 8%
12 Oct 2025 Resolve[18] 1,000 27% 33% 40% 6%
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] 1,327 32% 37% 31% 5%
23 – 30 Jun 2025 Newspoll[23] 1,000 36% 41% 23% 5%
30 Mar 2025 Resolve[27] 1,000 23% 36% 41% 13%
17 – 21 Mar 2025 DemosAU[28] 1,006 30% 43% 27% 13%
Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 Resolve[29] 1,124 27% 36% 37% 9%
27 Dec 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Pesutto

Date Firm Sample
size 		Party leaders Net
Allan Pesutto Don't know
10 Nov 2024 Resolve[32] 1,000 29% 30% 41% 1%
7 Sep 2024 Resolve[36] 1,054 30% 29% 41% 1%
14 Jul 2024 Resolve[40] 1,000 31% 28% 41% 3%
19 May 2024 Resolve[42] 1,000 31% 26% 43% 5%
24 Mar 2024 Resolve[43] 1,100 34% 25% 41% 9%
3 Dec 2023 Resolve[47] 1,100 34% 22% 44% 12%
Sep – Oct 2023 Resolve[48] 1,100 38% 19% 43% 19%
27 Sep 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier

Andrews vs Pesutto

Date Firm Sample
size 		Party leaders Net
Andrews Pesutto Don't know
Jul – Aug 2023 Resolve[50] 1,100 41% 32% 27% 9%
19 – 20 Jul 2023 Roy Morgan[51] 1,046 52.5% 47.5% N/a 5%
May – Jun 2023 Resolve[52] 1,003 49% 26% 25% 23%
17 – 22 May 2023 Roy Morgan[53] 2,095 64% 36% N/a 28%
19 – 22 Apr 2023 Resolve[54] 1,609 49% 28% 23% 21%
15 – 18 Feb 2023 Resolve[55] 825 50% 26% 24% 24%
8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Leadership approval

Date Firm Sample
size 		Allan Wilson
Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] 2,462 30.5% 67.5% 2% -37% 53% 42.5% 4.5% 10.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] 1,274 16% 53% 31% -37% 27% 24% 49% +3%
18 – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[12] 1,000 26% 68% 6% -42% 32% 31% 37% +1%
18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
Allan Battin
14 – 17 Nov 2025 Freshwater[13][14] 1,217 N/a N/a N/a -28% N/a N/a N/a +15%
23 – 30 Jun 2025 Newspoll[23] 1,000 30% 61% 9% -31% 35% 40% 25% -5%
24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025 Redbridge[25] 2,013 16% 51% 33% -35% 27% 16% 57% +11%
12 – 13 Mar 2025 JWS Research[57] N/a 21% 54% 25% -33% N/a N/a N/a N/a
27 Dec 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition
Allan Pesutto
2 – 12 Dec 2023 Redbridge[46] 2,000 24% 30% 46% -6% 16% 29% 55% -13%
27 Sep 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier
Andrews Pesutto
19 – 20 Jul 2023 Roy Morgan[51] 1,046 45% 55% N/a -10% N/a N/a N/a N/a
17 – 22 May 2023 Roy Morgan[53] 2,095 52.5% 47.5% N/a +5% 46.5% 53.5% N/a -7%
8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Sub-state results

Inner Melbourne

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 23% 28% 23% 15% N/a 11% N/a N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 30% 41% 14% N/a 7% 8%[g] 50% 50%
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 27% 31% 25% N/a N/a 17% 57% 43%
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] N/a 27% 36% 19% N/a N/a 18% 52% 48%
6 – 20 Nov 2024 Redbridge[30][31] N/a 28% 41% 17% N/a N/a 14% 49% 51%

Outer Melbourne

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 24% 32% 13% 21% N/a 10% N/a N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 34% 38% 11% N/a 6% 11%[h] 51% 49%
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 27% 40% 11% N/a N/a 22% 46% 54%
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] N/a 25% 39% 14% N/a N/a 21% 47% 53%
6 – 20 Nov 2024 Redbridge[30][31] N/a 31% 42% 15% N/a N/a 12% 50% 50%

Melbourne

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 26.5% 22% 15% 24% 8% 4.5% 54% 46% N/a
55.5% N/a 44.5%
N/a 58.5% 41.5%

Provincial

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 41% 27% 14% N/a 5% 13%[i] 60% 40%

Rural

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 23% 43% 13% N/a 6% 15%[j] 44% 56%

Regional/Rural

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 23.5% 21% 8.5% 34.5% 9.5% 3% 46% 54% N/a
44% N/a 56%
N/a 48.5% 51.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 21% 23% 9% 30% N/a 17% N/a N/a N/a
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 22% 39% 10% N/a N/a 29% 43% 57% N/a
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] N/a 28% 36% 11% N/a N/a 26% 48% 52% N/a
6 – 20 Nov 2024 Redbridge[30][31] N/a 31% 45% 8% N/a N/a 16% 46% 54% N/a

Subpopulation results

By gender

Women

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 28.5% 19.5% 16% 22% 10% 4% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
60.5% N/a 39.5%
N/a 59.5% 40.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 22% 28% 18% 21% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
7 Dec 2025 Resolve[8] N/a 28% 36% 16% N/a 10% 10% N/a N/a N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 28% 37% 14% N/a 7% 14%[k] 51% 49% N/a
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 24% 36% 19% N/a N/a 21% 50% 50% N/a
8 – 14 Oct 2025 Redbridge[17] N/a 30% 36% 14% N/a N/a 20% 52% 48% N/a
12 Oct 2025 Resolve[18] N/a 27% 32% 13% N/a 11% 17% N/a N/a N/a
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] N/a 26% 33% 19% N/a N/a 23% 52% 48% N/a
17 Aug 2025 Resolve[22] N/a 32% 28% 16% N/a 10% 14% N/a N/a N/a
6 – 20 Nov 2024 Redbridge[30][31] N/a 28% 42% 16% N/a N/a 14% 49% 51% N/a

Men

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 23% 24.5% 11% 30.5% 7% 4% 45% 55% N/a
44.5% N/a 55.5%
N/a 52.5% 47.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 25% 30% 12% 21% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
7 Dec 2025 Resolve[8] N/a 29% 43% 9% N/a 8% 11% N/a N/a N/a
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 33% 42% 11% N/a 5% 9%[l] 49% 51% N/a
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 28% 39% 11% N/a N/a 22% 47% 53% N/a
8 – 14 Oct 2025 Redbridge[17] N/a 35% 41% 11% N/a N/a 13% 51% 49% N/a
12 Oct 2025 Resolve[18] N/a 34% 34% 10% N/a 9% 13% N/a N/a N/a
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] N/a 27% 43% 11% N/a N/a 20% 44% 56% N/a
17 Aug 2025 Resolve[22] N/a 31% 39% 8% N/a 9% 13% N/a N/a N/a
6 – 20 Nov 2024 Redbridge[30][31] N/a 32% 43% 12% N/a N/a 13% 49% 51% N/a

By age

18–24

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] N/a 30% 21% 39% N/a N/a 10% 70% 30%

18–34

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 28.5% 20% 14.5% 25% 9% 3% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
55.5% N/a 44.5%
N/a 56.5% 43.5%
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 26% 21% 35% 9% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
7 Dec 2025 Resolve[8] N/a 28% 37% 20% N/a 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 30% 23% 31% N/a N/a 16% 65% 35% N/a
12 Oct 2025 Resolve[18] N/a 39% 20% 20% N/a 13% 9% N/a N/a N/a
17 Aug 2025 Resolve[22] N/a 39% 20% 25% N/a 10% 6% N/a N/a N/a
6 – 20 Nov 2024 Redbridge[30][31] N/a 31% 26% 29% N/a N/a 14% 64% 36% N/a

35–44

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
2 – 9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[20][21] N/a 33% 27% 22% N/a N/a 19% 60% 40%

35–49

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 25% 20.5% 14.5% 27% 8% 5% 51% 49% N/a
53% N/a 47%
N/a 55.5% 44.5%

35–54

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 23% 26% 14% 23% N/a 14% N/a N/a
7 Dec 2025 Resolve[8] N/a 30% 32% 13% N/a 10% 14% N/a N/a
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 27% 34% 19% N/a N/a 20% 53% 47%
12 Oct 2025 Resolve[18] N/a 30% 29% 14% N/a 11% 17% N/a N/a
17 Aug 2025 Resolve[22] N/a 35% 27% 12% N/a 10% 16% N/a N/a

50–64

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 25.5% 23% 11% 27% 9% 4.5% 50% 50% N/a
49.5% N/a 50.5%
N/a 54.5% 45.5%

55+

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
1 – 10 Feb 2026 DemosAU[4][5] N/a 21% 37% 5% 26% N/a 11% N/a N/a
7 Dec 2025 Resolve[8] N/a 27% 47% 5% N/a 11% 10% N/a N/a
21 – 27 Oct 2025 DemosAU[15][16] N/a 23% 46% 5% N/a N/a 26% 38% 62%
12 Oct 2025 Resolve[18] N/a 23% 47% 4% N/a 7% 18% N/a N/a
17 Aug 2025 Resolve[22] N/a 24% 49% 4% N/a 8% 15% N/a N/a

65+

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
13 – 16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1][2] N/a 23% 24% 12.5% 27% 9% 4.5% 49.5% 50.5% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 56% 44%

By generation

Generation Z

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 35% 20% 28% N/a 5% 12%[m] 68% 32%

Millennials

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 35% 32% 16% N/a 6% 11%[n] 58% 42%

Generation X

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 28% 38% 10% N/a 7% 17%[o] 49% 51%

Baby boomers

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent[6][7] N/a 27% 54% 4% N/a 6% 9%[p] 37% 63%

Individual seat polling

Hawthorn

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LIB ALP IND GRN FFP AJP OTH LIB ALP
14 – 16 Aug 2025 Freshwater[q][58] 1,147 41% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 45% 55%
26 Nov 2022 2022 election 42.3% 22.1% 20.0% 11.1% 1.5% 0.9% 2.1% 51.7% 48.3%

Notes

  1. ^ 4% for a "minor right-wing party", 2% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties.[6][7]
  2. ^ 1% for Legalise Cannabis, 1% for Animal Justice and 6.5% for other parties.
  3. ^ 1.5% for Legalise Cannabis, 1.5% for Animal Justice and 5% for other parties.
  4. ^ 0.3% ONP
  5. ^ 2% for Reform AU, 1% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for the Freedom Party and 0% for the New Democrats.[4][5]
  6. ^ 2% for Companions and Pets, 2% for Sustainable Australia, 1% for the Freedom Party and 1% for the New Democrats.[15][16]
  7. ^ 1% for a "minor right-wing party", 4% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties.[6][7]
  8. ^ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 7% for other parties.[6][7]
  9. ^ 8% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 4% for other parties.[6][7]
  10. ^ 8% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties.[6][7]
  11. ^ 6% for a "minor right-wing party", 3% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties.[6][7]
  12. ^ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 5% for other parties.[6][7]
  13. ^ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 3% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties.[6][7]
  14. ^ 3% for a "minor right-wing party", 2% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties.[6][7]
  15. ^ 6% for a "minor right-wing party", 5% for a "minor left-wing party" and 6% for other parties.[6][7]
  16. ^ 4% for a "minor right-wing party", 1% for a "minor left-wing party" and 4% for other parties.[6][7]
  17. ^ Commissioned by a "group of Liberal Party members opposed to the bailout of John Pesutto".[58]

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Victorian State Voting Intention: One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of ALP (25.5%) and L-NP Coalition (21.5%) on primary vote nine months before Victorian State Election". Roy Morgan Research. Archived from the original on 19 February 2026. Retrieved 19 February 2026.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Victorian State Voting Intention: One Nation (26.5%) now ahead of ALP (25.5%) and L-NP Coalition (21.5%) on primary vote nine months before Victorian State Election" (PDF). Roy Morgan Research. 19 February 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 February 2026. Retrieved 19 February 2026.
  3. ^ a b Le Grand, Chip (18 February 2026). "None of the above: Poll reveals Victorian flight from major parties". The Age. Archived from the original on 18 February 2026. Retrieved 18 February 2026.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "DemosAU/Premier National Victoria State Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 14 February 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 February 2026. Retrieved 14 February 2026.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Deery, Shannon (14 February 2026). "One Nation could hold balance of power in Victoria amid polling surge". Herald Sun. Archived from the original on 14 February 2026. Retrieved 14 February 2026.
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Ilanbey, Sumeyya (11 December 2025). "Voters see Vic politics as the deeply unpopular versus the untested". Australian Financial Review. Archived from the original on 11 December 2025. Retrieved 11 December 2025.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v "RedBridge Group and Accent Research Victorian state poll" (PDF). RedBridge Group/Accent Research. 11 December 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 1 February 2026. Retrieved 1 February 2026.
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