2026 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

2026 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota's at-large district

November 3, 2026
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Dusty Johnson
Republican



The 2026 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of South Dakota from its at-large congressional district. The election will coincide with other elections held on the same date. The primary elections will be held on June 2, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections will take place on July 28.[1]

Incumbent Republican representative Dusty Johnson was re-elected with 72.0% of the vote in 2024.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Gavin Solomon, businessman from New York[6]

Potential

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Casey Crabtree (R) $236,562 $102,693 $133,868
Marty Jackley (R) $1,026,607 $104,281 $922,326
Source: Federal Election Commission[9]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
James
Bialota
Casey
Crabtree
Marty
Jackley
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[10][A] October 16–20, 2025 502 (RV) ± 4.5% 2% 5% 57% 36%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Casey
Crabtree
Marty
Jackley
Tony
Venhuizen
Undecided
Guidant Polling[11] June 17–19, 2025 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 5% 48% 5% 42%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Scott Schlagel, former correctional officer[14]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nikki Gronli (D) $93,277 $37,737 $55,539
Billy Mawhiney (D) $28,164 $20,321 $7,842
Source: Federal Election Commission[9]

Independents

Candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid R July 10, 2025
Inside Elections[17] Solid R July 10, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Safe R July 10, 2025
Race to the WH[19] Safe R October 11, 2025

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch and the University of South Dakota

References

  1. ^ "South Dakota 2026 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 13, 2025.
  2. ^ "2024 House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved June 13, 2025.
  3. ^ "New congressional candidate: James Biolata will take down 'Big Brother' AND his little brother at the park!". SD War College. July 3, 2025. Retrieved July 4, 2025.
  4. ^ Haiar, Joshua (September 15, 2025). "State senator from Madison formally launches congressional bid, pledges to be Trump ally". South Dakota Searchlight. Retrieved September 15, 2025.
  5. ^ Dausch, Dominik (June 27, 2025). "Marty Jackley plans to run for US Rep. Dusty Johnson's job. Here's what we know". Argus Leader.
  6. ^ "Statement of Candidacy". August 22, 2025
  7. ^ a b Sneve, Joe (June 29, 2025). "What Marty Jackley's congressional run tells us about the 2026 GOP primary". Sioux Falls Live. Retrieved July 1, 2025.
  8. ^ Hill, Meredith Lee (June 27, 2025). "Rep. Dusty Johnson to announce a bid for South Dakota governor Monday". Politico. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  9. ^ a b "2026 Election United States House - South Dakota at-large". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved February 11, 2026.
  10. ^ Killough, Kevin (October 29, 2025). "House poll: Jackley leads with many undecided". South Dakota News Watch. Retrieved October 30, 2025.
  11. ^ "New poll shows Jackley leading potential candidates for U.S. House". KDLT-TV. June 27, 2025. Retrieved June 28, 2025.
  12. ^ Huber, Makenzie (September 8, 2025). "Former USDA appointee announces Democratic bid for Congress". South Dakota Searchlight. Retrieved September 8, 2025.
  13. ^ Deinken, Asher (August 28, 2025). "New candidate enters the Congressional race". KELO-TV. Retrieved August 28, 2025.
  14. ^ "Dell Rapids Democrat Scott Schlagel files paperwork to start campaign for Congress". South Dakota War College. April 7, 2025. Retrieved October 1, 2025.
  15. ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1926817". docquery.fec.gov. Retrieved November 24, 2025.
  16. ^ "2026 CPR House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 10, 2025.
  17. ^ "2026 House Ratings". Inside Elections.
  18. ^ "2026 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 10, 2025.
  19. ^ "The 2026 House Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved October 11, 2025.

Official campaign websites