Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2025 Canadian federal election leading up to the 46th Canadian federal election.

National polls

Pre-campaign period

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 46th Canadian federal election (not necessarily up to date)


Table of polls

Polling firm Last date of polling[a] Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others[b] Margin of error[c] Sample size[d] Polling method[e] Lead
Nanos Research February 13, 2026 [1] 38.1 36.5 8.3 11.1 4.4 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,018 (1/4) Telephone 1.6
Abacus Data February 10, 2026 [2] 44 37 6 8 3 1 0 ±2.0 pp 1,915 Online 7
Liaison Strategies February 7, 2026 [3] 42 35 7 9 3 2 2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 7
Nanos Research February 6, 2026 [4] 39.1 35.2 8.8 12.6 2.9 0.9 ±3.0 pp 1,049 (1/4) Telephone 3.9
Research Co. February 5, 2026 [5] 45 32 7 10 3 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,001 Online 13
Innovative Research February 2, 2026 [6] 40 38 7 10 3 N/a 2 N/a 1,666 Online 2
Mainstreet Research February 2, 2026 [7] 51 35.5 5.5 4 2.2 0.6 1.1 ±2.7 pp 1,276 IVR 15.5
Liaison Strategies January 31, 2026 [8] 43 35 7 8 3 2 2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 8
Ekos January 30, 2026 [9] 44.4 29.5 5.3 13.8 3.9 1.6 1.5 ±2.6 pp 1,453 IVR 14.9
Nanos Research January 30, 2026 [10] 38.9 35.2 9.2 12.5 2.5 1.3 ±3.0 pp 1,055 (1/4) Telephone 3.7
Abacus Data January 27, 2026 [11] 43 39 6 8 2 2 1 ±2.0 pp 2,498 Online 4
Léger January 26, 2026 [12] 47 38 6 5 2 N/a 1 ±2.44 pp 1,611 Online 9
Angus Reid January 26, 2026 [13] 41 38 7 10 2 N/a 2 ±2.6 pp 1,420 Online 3
Liaison Strategies January 24, 2026 [14] 42 34 8 10 3 2 2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 8
Nanos Research January 23, 2026 [15] 39.2 35.2 8.0 11.6 3.6 2.1 ±3.0 pp 1,053 (1/4) Telephone 4.0
Liaison Strategies January 17, 2026 [16] 40 35 8 11 3 1 2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 5
Abacus Data January 16, 2026 [17] 41 39 7 8 3 2 1 ±2.2 pp 2,008 Online 2
Nanos Research January 16, 2026 [18] 38.8 34.8 7.7 11.5 4.6 2.4 ±3.0 pp 1,084 (1/4) Telephone 4.0
Abacus Data January 14, 2026 [19] 40 40 7 8 3 1 1 ±2.28 pp 1,850 Online Tie
Pallas Data January 12, 2026 [20] 40 37 7 11 3 N/a 2 ±2.9 pp 1,120 IVR 3
Liaison Strategies January 10, 2026 [21] 39 36 8 12 3 1 2 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR 3
Nanos Research January 9, 2026 [22] 38.8 35.5 7.6 10.9 3.9 2.1 ±3.0 pp 1,054 (1/4) Telephone 3.3
Liaison Strategies January 3, 2026 [23] 38 37 7 12 3 1 2 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR 1
Nanos Research January 2, 2026 [24] 37.7 35.5 7.6 11.7 3.9 1.9 ±3.0 pp 1,059 (1/4) Telephone 2.2
Liaison Strategies December 28, 2025 [25] 39 37 7 11 3 2 1 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR 2
Nanos Research December 26, 2025 [26] 38.4 34.7 7.4 11.3 3.9 1.7 ±3.0 pp 1,054 Telephone 3.7
Liaison Strategies December 21, 2025 [27] 38 38 7 12 3 2 1 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR Tie
Nanos Research December 19, 2025 [28] 36.3 35.6 7.1 11.4 3.5 1.8 ±3.0 pp 1,059 (1/4) Telephone 0.7
Pallas Data December 15, 2025 [29] 40.9 37.7 8.2 7.9 3.6 N/a 1.7 ±3 pp 1,074 IVR 3.2
Ipsos December 15, 2025 [30] 40 37 9 9 2 2 ±3.1 pp 1,502 Online 3
Innovative Research December 14, 2025 [31] 39 39 7 10 4 N/a 2 N/a 2,159 Online Tie
Mainstreet Research December 12, 2025 [32] 41 42 7 6 1 1 1 ±3.0 pp 1,098 IVR 1
Nanos Research December 12, 2025 [33] 38.5 36.0 6.7 10.8 3.7 1.9 ±3.0 pp 1,084 (1/4) Telephone 2.5
Abacus Data December 9, 2025 [34] 41 41 6 9 2 1 0 ±2.53 pp 1,500 Online Tie
Nanos Research December 5, 2025 [35] 39.1 37.8 6.3 9.5 3.3 1.8 ±3.0 pp 1,042 Telephone 1.3
Innovative Research December 1, 2025 [36] 39 38 8 9 4 N/a 2 N/a 1,846 Online 1
Abacus Data December 1, 2025 [37] 41 41 7 7 2 1 1 ±2.3 pp 1,802 Online Tie
Angus Reid December 1, 2025 [38] 40 37 9 10 3 N/a N/a ±1.5 pp 4,025 Online 3
Léger November 30, 2025 [12] 43 36 9 8 4 N/a 1 ±2.47 pp 1,579 Online 7
Liaison Strategies November 30, 2025 [39] 41 36 5 12 2 2 1 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR 5
Nanos Research November 28, 2025 [40] 41.9 38.2 7.3 8.4 2.7 1.2 0.3 ±3.0 pp 1,084 (1/4) Telephone 3.7
Abacus Data November 27, 2025 [41] 41 40 7 8 2 1 1 ±2 pp 2,421 Online 1
Nanos Research November 21, 2025 [42] 41.9 37.2 7.0 9.1 2.7 1.6 0.5 ±3.0 pp 1,053 (1/4) Telephone 4.7
Kolosowski Strategies November 18, 2025 [43] 44 44 6 3 1 1 0 ±3.2 pp 890 Online Tie
Nanos Research November 14, 2025 [44] 40.2 38.2 7.4 10.1 2.2 1.3 0.8 ±3.0 pp 1,060 (1/4) Telephone 2.0
Ekos November 11, 2025 [45] 44.1 33.2 5.4 10.7 3.3 1.8 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,191 IVR 10.9
Mainstreet Research November 8, 2025 [46] 44 40 6 5 2 2 2 ±3.0 pp 1,084 IVR 4
Liaison Strategies November 8, 2025 [47] 44 36 6 10 2 1 1 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR 8
Angus Reid November 7, 2025 [48] 40 38 8 9 3 N/a N/a ±1.5 pp 2,038 Online 2
Nanos Research November 7, 2025 [49] 40.0 36.8 7.5 11.4 2.3 1.2 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,122 (1/4) Telephone 3.2
Abacus Data November 6, 2025 [50] 40 41 7 8 2 1 0 ±2.23 pp 1,916 Online 1
Ekos November 4, 2025 [51] 43.4 35.5 5.8 8.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 ±2.8 pp 1,199 IVR 7.9
Liaison Strategies November 4, 2025 [52] 42 38 5 11 2 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 4
Léger November 3, 2025 [53] 43 38 7 7 4 N/a 1 ±2.5 pp 1,585 Online 5
Nanos Research October 31, 2025 [54] 39.3 37.1 6.6 12.5 1.7 1.5 0 ±3.0 pp 924 (1/4) Telephone 2.2
Abacus Data October 29, 2025 [55] 40 42 6 8 3 1 1 ±1.8 pp 2,922 Online 2
Nanos Research October 24, 2025 [56] 39.4 37.0 7.0 12.7 1.6 1.2 0 ±3.0 pp 1,060 (1/4) Telephone 2.4
Ekos October 24, 2025 [57] 43.5 32.4 5.7 12.4 3.0 2.0 1.0 ±2.8 pp 1,199 Online 11.1
Nanos Research October 17, 2025 [58] 39.3 36.6 6.8 12.1 2.8 1.3 1.1 ±3.1 pp 1,021 (1/4) Telephone 2.7
Abacus Data October 15, 2025 [59] 40 41 7 8 3 1 1 ±1.5 pp 4,501 Online 1
Pallas Data October 15, 2025 [60] 41 37 6 11 2 2 0 ±2.8 pp 1,206 Online 4
Nanos Research October 10, 2025 [61] 38.5 36.8 6.5 12.2 3.9 1.4 0.7 ±3.1 pp 1,002 (1/4) Telephone 1.7
Léger October 5, 2025 [62] 44 38 7 6 3 N/a 2 ±2.5 pp 1,562 Online 6
Nanos Research October 3, 2025 [63] 39.1 37.9 6.2 11.5 4.0 0.9 0.4 ±3.1 pp 1,027 (1/4) Telephone 1.2
Abacus Data October 1, 2025 [64] 40 41 7 7 3 2 1 ±2.5 pp 1,504 Online 1
Nanos Research September 26, 2025 [65] 40.7 36.6 4.8 11.9 4.3 1.2 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,030 (1/4) Telephone 4.1
Angus Reid September 22, 2025 [66] 38 41 8 10 2 1 1 ±2 pp 1,570 Online 3
Liaison Strategies September 21, 2025 [67] 43 37 5 10 2 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 6
Nanos Research September 19, 2025 [68] 40.6 35.7 5.5 11.6 3.2 2.2 1.2 ±3.0 pp 1,056 (1/4) Telephone 4.9
Abacus Data September 17, 2025 [69] 40 40 7 8 3 1 1 ±2.1 pp 2,230 Online Tie
Research Co. September 12, 2025 [70] 43 38 6 8 2 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,003 Telephone 5
Nanos Research September 12, 2025 [71] 41.8 34.5 5.5 12.8 2.5 1.9 1.0 ±3.0 pp 1,049 (1/4) Telephone 7.3
Ekos September 12, 2025 [72] 42.0 34.0 5.2 12.6 3.0 2.0 1.0 ±2.4 pp 1,614 Online 8.0
Ipsos September 8, 2025 [73] 43 39 7 7 1 2 0 ±3.8 pp 1,001 Online 4
Léger September 7, 2025 [74] 47 38 6 6 2 N/a 1 ±2.5 pp 1,592 Online 9
Nanos Research September 5, 2025 [75] 42.7 32.9 5.2 12.8 3.5 1.6 1.3 ±3.1 pp 1,002 (1/4) Telephone 9.8
Angus Reid September 4, 2025 [76] 38 40 8 10 2 1 2 ±1.5 pp 3,656 Online 2
Abacus Data September 2, 2025 [77] 43 40 7 6 2 1 1 ±2.5 pp 1,500 Online 3
Mainstreet Research September 1, 2025 [78] 42.3 40.4 5.0 8.4 1.2 1.6 1.3 ±3.1 pp 1,008 IVR 1.9
Nanos Research August 29, 2025 [79] 43.3 32.4 6.2 12.7 2.9 1.6 0.9 ±3.1 pp 1,009 (1/4) Telephone 10.9
Liaison Strategies August 27, 2025 [80] 44 35 5 10 2 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 9
Nanos Research August 22, 2025 [81] 43.7 34.2 5.5 10.7 3.3 1.6 0.8 ±3.0 pp 1,045 (1/4) Telephone 9.5
August 19, 2025 Elizabeth May announces her intention to resign as leader of the Green Party.
Abacus Data August 19, 2025 [82] 39 41 7 7 2 2 N/a ±2.2 pp 1,915 Online 2
August 18, 2025 A federal by-election was held in Battle River—Crowfoot. Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre held the seat for the CPC.
Nanos Research August 15, 2025 [83] 44.4 32.4 4.9 11.6 3.2 2.8 0.7 ±3.0 pp 1,050 (1/4) Telephone 12.0
Nanos Research August 8, 2025 [84] 44.8 31.9 6.1 11.5 2.6 2.5 0.6 ±3.0 pp 1,094 (1/4) Telephone 12.9
Liaison Strategies August 8, 2025 [85] 44 35 6 11 3 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 IVR 9
Abacus Data August 7, 2025 [86] 43 40 6 8 1.5 1.5 N/a ±2.4 pp 1,686 Online 3
Léger August 4, 2025 [87] 46 36 7 6 3 N/a 1 ±2.4 pp 1,617 Online 10
Pallas Data August 1, 2025 [88] 43.2 37.6 6.3 7.5 2.2 N/a 3.2 ±2.7 pp 1,301 IVR 5.6
Nanos Research August 1, 2025 [89] 43.7 32.5 5.3 12.0 2.5 3.0 1.0 ±3.0 pp 1,096 (1/4) Telephone 11.2
Innovative Research July 28, 2025 [90] 41 39 7 9 4 N/a 2 N/a 3,732 Online 2
Liaison Strategies July 25, 2025 [85] 43 36 6 10 3 1 1 N/a N/a IVR 7
Nanos Research July 25, 2025 [91] 43.6 33.5 5.9 12.1 2.3 1.8 0.8 ±3.1 pp 1,027 (1/4) Telephone 10.1
Nanos Research July 18, 2025 [92] 44.3 34.0 6.6 10.3 2.3 2.0 0.5 ±3.1 pp 1,026 (1/4) Telephone 10.3
Abacus Data July 15, 2025 [93] 43 40 6 7 3 1 1 ±2.2 pp 1,915 Online 3
Ekos July 14, 2025 [94] 43.2 30.5 5.5 13.0 3.5 3.6 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,817 Online 12.7
Nanos Research July 11, 2025 [95] 44.5 33.8 5.9 11.1 2.1 1.9 0.7 ±3.0 pp 1,047 (1/4) Telephone 10.7
Léger July 6, 2025 [96] 48 35 6 7 3 N/a 1 ±2.5 pp 1,546 Online 13
Liaison Strategies July 4, 2025 [85] 46 35 6 9 2 1 1 N/a N/a IVR 11
Nanos Research July 4, 2025 [97] 45.1 32.6 6.2 11.5 1.8 1.8 1.0 ±3.0 pp 1,056 (1/4) Telephone 12.5
Research Co. July 2, 2025 [98] 47 37 6 6 2 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,001 Online 10
Abacus Data July 2, 2025 [99] 41 40 7 9 2 2 0 ±2.5 pp 1,500 Online 1
Innovative Research June 30, 2025 [100] 43 38 6 8 3 N/a 2 N/a 4,029 Online 5
Nanos Research June 27, 2025 [101] 44.5 31.4 5.9 12.8 2.5 1.7 1.2 ±3.0 pp 1,076 (1/4) Telephone 13.1
Mainstreet Research June 26, 2025 [102] 47 38 3 6 3 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,168 IVR 9
Liaison Strategies June 20, 2025 [85] 42 38 6 11 3 1 1 N/a N/a IVR 4
Nanos Research June 20, 2025 [103] 45.2 30.8 6.1 12.2 2.9 1.5 1.3 ±3.0 pp 1,090 (1/4) Telephone 14.4
Abacus Data June 19, 2025 [104] 42 39 6 7 3 1 1 ±1.9 pp 1,500 Online 3
Nanos Research June 13, 2025 [105] 44.2 32.2 6.3 11.4 3.2 1.7 1.0 ±3.0 pp 1,080 (1/4) Telephone 12.0
Liaison Strategies June 6, 2025 [85] 42 39 6 9 2 1 1 N/a N/a IVR 3
Nanos Research June 6, 2025 [106] 42.6 32.8 6.5 12.0 3.9 1.3 0.9 ±3.0 pp 1,079 (1/4) Telephone 9.8
Abacus Data June 5, 2025 [107] 42 39 6 8 3 1 0 ±1.9 pp 2,585 Online 3
Ekos June 4, 2025 [108] 43.9 32.0 5.2 12.7 3.0 3.0 1.0 ±2.5 pp 1,529 Online 11.9
Spark Advocacy May 30, 2025 [109] 41 40 7 8 N/a N/a 5 N/a 3,450 Online 1
Nanos Research May 30, 2025 [110] 41.7 36.4 6.5 10.5 3.4 1.1 0.3 ±3.0 pp 1,079 (1/4) Telephone 5.3
Liaison Strategies May 23, 2025 [85] 44 39 6 8 1 1 1 N/a N/a IVR 5
Nanos Research May 23, 2025 [111] 40.4 38.6 5.9 9.8 3.7 1.3 0.3 ±3.0 pp 1,127 Telephone 1.8
Innovative Research May 22, 2025 [112] 42 39 6 8 3 N/a 2 N/a 2,517 Online 3
Abacus Data May 21, 2025 [113] 41 40 7 8 3 1 0 ±2.1 pp 2,273 Online 1
Nanos Research May 16, 2025 [114] 41.4 39.6 4.7 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.6 ±2.9 pp 1,127 Telephone 1.8
Liaison Strategies May 9, 2025 [85] 45 40 6 7 1 1 0 N/a N/a IVR 5
Nanos Research May 9, 2025 [115] 41.5 40.5 5.1 7.8 3.3 1.3 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,259 Telephone 1.0
May 5, 2025 Don Davies is named interim leader of the New Democratic Party.
Nanos Research May 2, 2025 [116] 41.8 39.2 5.8 7.9 3.2 1.3 0.8 ±2.7 pp 1,297 Telephone 2.6
April 30, 2025 Jonathan Pedneault resigns as co-leader of the Green Party.
April 29, 2025 Jagmeet Singh announces his intention to resign as leader of the New Democratic Party.
2025 election April 28, 2025 [117] 43.8 41.3 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Voting intention with different Conservative leader

Under Stephen Harper leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [118] 39 34 6 7 N/a N/a 1 ± 1.8 pp 1,310 Online 5
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Doug Ford leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [120] 34 31 7 10 N/a N/a 5 ± 1.8 pp 1,284 Online 3
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Jason Kenney leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [121] 38 30 5 10 N/a N/a 4 ± 1.8 pp 1,258 Online 8
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Caroline Mulroney leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [122] 36 29 8 9 N/a N/a 3 ± 1.8 pp 1,291 Online 7
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Michelle Rempel Garner leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [123] 39 28 6 8 N/a N/a 3 ± 1.8 pp 1,271 Online 11
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Tim Houston leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [124] 37 27 8 9 N/a N/a 4 ± 1.8 pp 1,328 Online 10
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Mark Mulroney leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [125] 36 27 7 9 N/a N/a 3 ± 1.8 pp 1,328 Online 9
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Jamil Jivani leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [126] 37 24 8 8 N/a N/a 3 ± 1.8 pp 1,330 Online 13
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Under Melissa Lantsman leadership

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Abacus Data November 8, 2025 [127] 40 23 8 9 N/a N/a 3 ± 1.8 pp 1,244 Online 17
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 43.8 41.8 6.3 6.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 N/a 19,597,674 N/a 2.5

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level. Note that this section displays results from stand-alone polls, not subsets of national polls.

Central Canada

Quebec

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Léger November 10, 2025 [128] 39 25 28 5 2 1 N/a ± 3.1 pp 1,031 Online 11
Léger September 15, 2025 [129] 42 21 30 4 3 N/a 1 ± 3.02 pp 1,053 Online 12
Léger August 18, 2025 [130] 43 22 28 5 2 N/a 0 ± 3.1 pp 977 Online 15
Léger June 22, 2025 [131] 44 23 25 5 3 N/a 0 ± 3.0 pp 1,056 Online 19
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 42.6 23.3 27.7 4.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 N/a 4,457,743 N/a 14.9

Ontario

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Léger May 25, 2025 [132] 54 37 5 3 N/a 1 ± 3.1 pp 908 Online 17
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 49.0 43.8 4.9 1.2 0.7 0.2 N/a 7,576,590 N/a 5.2

Western Canada

Alberta

Polling firm Last date
of polling 		Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[c] 		Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
Léger May 25, 2025 [133] 35 54 5 3 N/a 4 ± 3.0 pp 925 Online 19
2025 election April 28, 2025 [119] 27.9 63.5 6.3 0.4 0.9 0.8 N/a 2,262,524 N/a 35.6

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best prime minister.

Graphical summary

Updated 28 January, 2025

May 2025 – present

Polling firm Last date of polling Link Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet Don Davies Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure/none Margin of error[c] Lead
Nanos Research February 10, 2026 [4] 53.4 24.2 3.7 3.3 1.2 1.9 12 ±3.0 pp 29
Research Co. February 5, 2026 [5] 44 25 4 4 3 2 19 ±3.1 pp 19
Nanos Research February 3, 2026 [134] 54.3 24.7 3.8 4.5 1.0 1.5 10 ±3.0 pp 29
Nanos Research January 27, 2026 [135] 52.8 24.8 3.4 3.5 2.5 1.9 11 ±3.0 pp 28
Nanos Research January 16, 2026 [136] 51.3 25.3 3.7 3.0 3.6 2.2 10.9 ±3.0 pp 26
Nanos Research January 9, 2026 [137] 48.8 27.1 4.3 2.5 3.6 1.7 12.0 ±3.0 pp 22
Nanos Research December 5, 2025 [35] 50.1 27.6 6.3 3.9 1.5 0.6 10.0 ±3.0 pp 22.5
Léger November 30, 2025 [12] 40 28 N/a 4 4 N/a 24 ±2.47 pp 12
Nanos Research November 28, 2025 [40] 53.3 25.2 6.9 4.5 1.3 0.9 7.9 ±3.0 pp 28.1
Nanos Research November 21, 2025 [42] 52.6 25.9 5.4 4.3 1.8 1.1 8.9 ±3.0 pp 26.7
Nanos Research November 14, 2025 [44] 50.3 28.1 5.4 4.4 1.9 1.2 8.8 ±3.0 pp 22.2
Nanos Research November 7, 2025 [49] 51.1 27.0 5.0 4.8 2.4 1.5 8.1 ±2.9 pp 24.1
Nanos Research October 31, 2025 [54] 49.3 27.0 4.4 4.8 2.3 1.5 10.7 ±3.0 pp 22.3
Nanos Research October 24, 2025 [56] 49.4 27.4 4.2 4.6 2.3 1.3 10.9 ±3.0 pp 22.0
Nanos Research October 17, 2025 [58] 47.1 27.4 3.6 4.0 3.3 1.2 13.5 ±3.1 pp 19.7
Nanos Research October 10, 2025 [61] 46.3 27.8 2.9 3.7 3.4 1.0 15.0 ±3.1 pp 18.5
Nanos Research October 3, 2025 [63] 48.9 28.6 2.3 3.1 3.2 0.9 13.0 ±3.1 pp 20.3
Nanos Research September 26, 2025 [65] 49.6 28.5 1.8 3.1 3.3 1.1 12.6 ±3.1 pp 21.1
Nanos Research September 19, 2025 [68] 50.7 28.6 1.9 2.9 2.2 1.5 12.3 ±3.0 pp 22.1
Research Co. September 12, 2025 [70] 44 31 4 3 3 1 14 ±3.1 pp 13
Nanos Research September 12, 2025 [71] 51.2 28.2 2.0 2.6 1.8 1.6 12.5 ±3.0 pp 23.0
Nanos Research September 5, 2025 [75] 50.2 28.0 2.0 2.8 1.9 1.2 13.9 ±3.1 pp 22.2
Nanos Research August 29, 2025 [79] 51.3 27.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.0 14.2 ±3.1 pp 24.3
Nanos Research August 22, 2025 [81] 52.2 26.5 2.8 1.8 1.9 1.4 13.3 ±3.0 pp 25.7
Nanos Research August 15, 2025 [83] 51.5 24.4 3.2 2.4 2.1 2.1 14.3 ±3.0 pp 27.1
Nanos Research August 8, 2025 [84] 51.7 23.7 3.8 2.0 2.5 1.9 14.4 ±3.0 pp 28.0
Nanos Research August 1, 2025 [89] 50.6 22.9 3.5 2.1 2.7 2.7 15.5 ±3.0 pp 27.7
Innovative Research July 28, 2025 [90] 40 29 3 3 3 2 20 N/a 11
Nanos Research July 25, 2025 [91] 49.3 23.9 3.3 2.0 2.6 1.5 17.4 ±3.1 pp 25.4
Nanos Research July 18, 2025 [92] 50.8 24.5 3.3 1.4 2.1 1.4 16.5 ±3.1 pp 26.3
Nanos Research July 11, 2025 [95] 52.1 25.2 2.6 1.8 1.8 1.4 15.1 ±3.0 pp 26.9
Nanos Research July 4, 2025 [97] 52.0 24.5 2.7 2.5 1.1 1.4 15.8 ±3.0 pp 27.5
Research Co. July 2, 2025 [98] 47 31 3 4 2 1 12 ±3.1 pp 16
Innovative Research June 30, 2025 [100] 43 30 3 4 3 1 17 N/a 13
Nanos Research June 27, 2025 [102] 52.7 22.9 2.5 2.2 2.1 1.6 15.9 ±3.0 pp 29.8
Nanos Research June 20, 2025 [103] 52.1 23.2 2.3 2.8 0.9 1.4 16.1 ±3.0 pp 28.9
Nanos Research June 13, 2025 [105] 49.7 24.2 3.4 2.5 2.0 1.5 16.8 ±3.1 pp 25.5
Nanos Research June 6, 2025 [106] 50.6 26.1 3.1 3.0 2.8 1.8 12.6 ±3.0 pp 24.5
Nanos Research May 30, 2025 [110] 47.4 28.4 3.8 3.1 2.4 1.9 13.0 ±3.0 pp 19.0
Nanos Research May 23, 2025 [111] 45.8 34.1 3.9 2.2 2.5 1.7 9.8 ±3.0 pp 11.7
Innovative Research May 22, 2025 [112] 43 30 3 4 2 2 18 N/a 13
Nanos Research May 16, 2025 [114] 46.9 37.4 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.2 4.9 ±2.9 pp 9.5
Nanos Research May 9, 2025 [115] 46.9 39.3 3.1 2.8 1.8 1.1 4.9 ±2.8 pp 7.6

April 2025 – May 2025

Polling firm Last date of polling Link Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre Yves-François Blanchet Jagmeet Singh Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure/none Margin of error[c] Lead
Nanos Research May 2, 2025 [116] 46.9 40.7 3.2 3.3 1.9 1.1 8.5 ±2.7 pp 6.2

Government approval polls

Graphical summary

Approval of the 45th Canadian Parliament

Table of polls

Polling firm Last date of polling[a] Link Approve Disapprove Unsure/neither Margin of error[c] Sample size[d] Polling method[e] Net approval
Abacus Data December 9, 2025 [34] 47% 35% N/a ±1.53 pp 1,500 Online +12%
Abacus Data December 1, 2025 [37] 47% 33% N/a ±2.3 pp 1,802 Online +14%
Abacus Data November 27, 2025 [41] 48% 32% N/a ±2 pp 2,421 Online +16%
Léger November 30, 2025 [12] 49% 40% 11% ±2.47 pp 1,579 Online +9%
Abacus Data November 6, 2025 [50] 44% 34% N/a ±2.23 pp 1,916 Online +10%
Léger November 3, 2025 [53] 50% 41% 9% ±2.5 pp 1,585 Online +9%
Abacus Data October 29, 2025 [138] 47% 34% N/a ±1.8 pp 2,922 Online +13%
Abacus Data October 15, 2025 [60] 48% 32% N/a ±1.5 pp 4,501 Online +16%
Léger October 5, 2025 [62] 46% 42% 12% ±2.5 pp 1,562 Online +4%
Abacus Data October 1, 2025 [64] 46% 31% N/a ±2.1 pp 1,504 Online +15%
Abacus Data September 17, 2025 [69] 50% 30% N/a ±2.1 pp 2,230 Online +20%
Ipsos September 8, 2025 [73] 58% 42% N/a ±3.8 pp 1,001 Online +16%
Léger September 7, 2025 [74] 51% 38% 11% ±2.5 pp 1,592 Online +13%
Abacus Data September 2, 2025 [77] 48% 30% N/a ±2.5 pp 1,500 Online +18%
Abacus Data August 19, 2025 [82] 49% 30% N/a ±2.2 pp 1,915 Online +19%
Abacus Data August 7, 2025 [86] 50% 27% N/a ±2.4 pp 1,686 Online +23%
Léger August 4, 2025 [87] 54% 34% 12% ±2.4 pp 1,617 Online +20%
Innovative Research July 28, 2025 [90] 54% 40% 7% N/a 3,732 Online +14%
Abacus Data July 15, 2025 [93] 52% 27% N/a ±2.2 pp 1,915 Online +25%
Léger July 6, 2025 [96] 55% 33% 13% ±2.5 pp 1,546 Online +22%
Abacus Data July 2, 2025 [99] 52% 25% N/a ±2.5 pp 1,500 Online +27%
Innovative Research June 30, 2025 [100] 52% 42% 6% N/a 4,029 Online +10%
Abacus Data June 19, 2025 [104] 52% 25% N/a ±1.9 pp 1,500 Online +27%
Spark Advocacy June 9, 2025 [139] 67% 33% N/a N/a 2,500 Online +34%
Abacus Data June 5, 2025 [107] 53% 23% N/a ±1.9 pp 2,585 Online +30%
Spark Advocacy May 30, 2025 [109] 64% 36% N/a N/a 3,450 Online +28%
Innovative Research May 22, 2025 [112] 49% 43% 8% N/a 2,517 Online +6%
Abacus Data May 21, 2025 [113] 50% 24% N/a ±2.1 pp 2,273 Online +26%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest 37 (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
  2. ^ Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated interactive voice response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.

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