Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and contain estimations of the two-party-preferred vote.

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Two-party preferred

Voting intention

2026

Date Firm Interview
mode 		Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
13–16 Feb Roy Morgan[1] Online 526 32% 23.5% 12.5% 21.5% N/a 10.5% 55% 45% N/a
8–14 Feb Resolve[2][3][a] Telephone
& Online 		1,717 32% 23% 11% 23% 7% 5% 55% 45% N/a
13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition[4]
9–13 Feb Roy Morgan[5] Online 1,216 30.5% 20% 13% 25% N/a 11.5% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
8–12 Feb Resolve[2][3] Telephone
& Online 		1,717 31% 20% 12% 25% 8% 5% 55% 45% N/a
3–10 Feb YouGov[6][7] Online 1,561 30% 14% 1% 4% 12% 28% 5% 6% 54% 46% N/a
55% N/a 45%
8 Feb The Liberal–National Coalition is reunited[8]
5–8 Feb Newspoll[9] Online 1,234 33% 15% 3% N/a 12% 27% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
2–8 Feb Roy Morgan[10] Online 1,584 28.5% 22.5% 13.5% 24.5% N/a 11% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
26 Jan – 1 Feb Roy Morgan[11] Online 1,401 30.5% 18% 2.5% N/a 12.5% 25% N/a 11.5% 56% 44% N/a
22–29 Jan Redbridge[12][13] Online 1,003 34% 13% 2% 4% 11% 26% N/a 10% 56% 44% N/a
20–27 Jan YouGov[14] Online 1,500 31% 14% 2% 4% 12% 25% 6% 6% 55% 45% N/a
57% N/a 43%
19–25 Jan Roy Morgan[15] Online 1,933 30.5% 20% 2.5% N/a 13% 22.5% N/a 11.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
20–23 Jan Essential[16][17] Online 1,022 31% 25% 9% 22% N/a 13%[b][c] N/a N/a N/a
22 Jan The second dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13–21 Jan DemosAU[18][19] Online 1,933 30% 21% 13% 24% N/a 12% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan Freshwater[20][21][22] Online 1,050 33% 28% 11% 19% N/a 9% 53% 47% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan Roy Morgan[15][23] Online 1,630 28.5% 22% 2% N/a 13.5% 21% N/a 13% 53.5% 46.5% N/a
12–16 Jan Resolve[24] Telephone
& Online 		1,800 30% 28% 10% 18% 7% 7% 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan Newspoll[25] Online 1,224 32% 21% 12% 22% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
5–11 Jan Roy Morgan[15][26] Online 1,676 30% 28% 2.5% N/a 13.5% 15% N/a 11% 52% 48% N/a
5–6 Jan Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] Online 1,608 29% 25% 14% 21% N/a 11% 53% 47% —
56% — 44%
— 63% 37%
5–6 Jan DemosAU[29][30][d] Online 1,027 29% 23% 12% 23% N/a 13% 52% 48% N/a
50% N/a 50%

2025

Date Firm Interview
mode 		Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
23 Dec YouGov[14] Online N/a 30% 24% 13% 20% 7% 6% N/a N/a
17–20 Dec Resolve[31] Telephone
& Online 		1,010 32% 28% 12% 16% 8% 4% 54% 46%
8–14 Dec Roy Morgan[32] Online 1,574 30.5% 27.5% 13% 17% N/a 12% 54.5% 45.5%
5–12 Dec Redbridge[33][34] Online 1,012 35% 26% 13% 17% N/a 9% 56% 44%
8 Dec Barnaby Joyce joins One Nation
3–8 Dec Essential[35][36] Online 1,300 34% 26% 10% 17% N/a 12%[e] 52.1% 47.9%
2–7 Dec Resolve[37] Telephone
& Online 		1,800 35% 26% 11% 14% 8% 6% 55% 45%
2 Dec YouGov[14] Online N/a 32% 24% 13% 19% 6% 6% N/a N/a
27 Nov Barnaby Joyce resigns from the Nationals to sit as an independent
7–26 Nov Redbridge[38] Online 4,775 35% 26% 10% 18% N/a 11% 54% 46%
19–24 Nov Essential[39][40] Online 1,020 36% 27% 11% 15% N/a 13%[b] 53.2% 46.8%
17–20 Nov Newspoll[41] Online 1,245 36% 24% 13% 15% N/a 12% 58% 42%
12–17 Nov YouGov (MRP)[42][43] Online 3,530 34% 26% 12% 18% 5% 5% N/a N/a
4–17 Nov Spectre Strategy[44][45] Online 1,007 33% 25% 12.5% 17.5% N/a 12% 53% 47%
20 Oct – 16 Nov Roy Morgan[46] Online 5,248 33% 27% 12.5% 14% N/a 13.5% 56.5% 43.5%
7–13 Nov Redbridge[47] Online 1,011 38% 24%[f] 9% 18% N/a 11% 56% 44%
5 Oct – 11 Nov DemosAU (MRP)[48] Online 6,928 33% 24% 13% 17% N/a 13% 56% 44%
4–8 Nov Resolve[49] Telephone
& Online 		1,804 33% 29% 12% 12% 7% 6% 53% 47%
27–30 Oct Newspoll[50] Online 1,265 36% 24% 11% 15% N/a 14% 57% 43%
23–30 Oct YouGov[51][52] Online 4,578 33% 27% 12% 13% 7% 8% 56% 44%
22–27 Oct Essential[53][54] Online 1,041 36% 26% 9% 15% N/a 14%[b] 53.2% 46.8%
15–20 Oct Freshwater[55][56][57] Online 1,530 33% 31% 14% 10% N/a 11% 55% 45%
22 Sep – 19 Oct Roy Morgan[58] Online 4,908 35% 27% 13% 12% N/a 13% 57% 43%
7–12 Oct Resolve[59] Telephone
& Online 		1,800 34% 28% 11% 12% 9% 7% 55% 45%
25 Sep – 7 Oct Redbridge[60][61][62] Online 1,997 34% 29% 11% 14% N/a 12% 54% 46%
29 Sep – 2 Oct Newspoll[63] Online 1,264 37% 28% 12% 11% N/a 12% 57% 43%
25–30 Sep YouGov[64] Online 1,329 34% 27% 12% 12% 8% 14%[g] 56% 44%
24–29 Sep Essential[65] Online 1,001 35% 27% 11% 13% N/a 14%[b] 53.5% 46.5%
25 Aug – 21 Sep Roy Morgan[66] Online 5,084 34% 30% 12% 9.5% N/a 14.5% 55.5% 44.5%
9–13 Sep Resolve[67] Telephone
& Online 		1,800 35% 27% 11% 12% 9% 6% 55% 45%
8–11 Sep Newspoll[68] Online 1,283 36% 27% 13% 10% N/a 14% 58% 42%
19 Aug – 8 Sep Redbridge[69][70] Online 5,326 35% 30% 11% 11% N/a 13% 53.5% 46.5%
28 Jul – 24 Aug Roy Morgan[71] Online 5,001 34% 30% 12% 9% N/a 15% 56.5% 43.5%
9–16 Aug Resolve[72] Telephone
& Online 		1,800 37% 29% 12% 9% 8% 6% 59% 41%
11–14 Aug Newspoll[73] Online 1,283 36% 30% 12% 9% N/a 13% 56% 44%
18–30 Jul Wolf & Smith[74][75] Online 5,000 36% 30% N/a N/a N/a N/a 57% 43%
30 Jun – 27 Jul Roy Morgan[76] Online 5,159 36.5% 31% 12% 7% N/a 13.5% 57% 43%
13–18 Jul Resolve[77] Telephone
& Online 		2,311 35% 29% 12% 8% 8% 8% 56% 44%
14–17 Jul Newspoll[78][79] Online 1,264 36% 29% 12% 8% N/a 15% 57% 43%
5–6 Jul DemosAU[80] Online 1,199 36% 26% 14% 9% N/a 15% 59% 41%
27 Jun – 1 Jul Spectre Strategy[81] Online 1,001 35.9% 31% 12.8% 7.9% N/a 12.3% 56.5% 43.5%
19–30 Jun Redbridge[82] Online 4,036 37% 31% 11% 9% N/a 12% 55.5% 44.5%
23–29 Jun Roy Morgan[83] Online 1,522 36.5% 30.5% 12% 8.5% N/a 12.5% 57.5% 42.5%
2–22 Jun Roy Morgan[84] Online 3,957 37.5% 31% 12% 6% N/a 13.5% 58% 42%
5 May – 1 Jun Roy Morgan[85] Online 5,128 37% 31% 11.5% 6% N/a 14.5% 58.5% 41.5%
20–28 May The first dissolution of the Liberal–National Coalition
13 May Sussan Ley elected as Leader of the Liberal Party and the Opposition, replacing Peter Dutton
3 May Election[86] 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.6% 55.2% 44.8%

Voting consideration

Some polling is conducted for voting consideration, with respondents able to select multiple options that they would consider voting for. Because of this, percentages do not add up to 100%.

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] 3,783 40% 30% 17% 21% N/a 16%
10–29 Jul 2025 YouGov (MRP)[87][88] 5,007 42% 33% 17% 12% 14% 4%

Approval polling

Preferred prime minister

2026

Date Firm Sample
size 		Party leaders Net
Albanese Taylor Hanson[h] Don't know
13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition[4]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Party leaders Net
Albanese Ley Hanson[h] Don't know
8–12 Feb Resolve[2] 1,800 38% 22% N/a 40% 16%
3–10 Feb YouGov[6][7] 1,561 47% 25% N/a 27% 22%
5–8 Feb Newspoll[9] 1,234 49% 30% N/a 21% 19%
22–29 Jan Redbridge[12][13] 1,003 37% 9% N/a 54%[i] 28%
20–27 Jan YouGov[14] 1,500 47% 29% N/a 24% 18%
13–21 Jan DemosAU[18][19] 1,933 39% 16% 26% 19% 13%
12–16 Jan Resolve[24] 1,800 33% 29% N/a 38% 4%
12–16 Jan Newspoll[25] 1,224 51% 31% N/a 18% 20%
5–6 Jan Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] 1,608 39% 31% N/a 30% 8%
5–6 Jan DemosAU[29][30] 1,027 42% 29% N/a 29% 13%

2025

Date Firm Sample
size 		Party leaders Net
Albanese Ley Don't know
17–20 Dec Resolve[31] 1,010 38% 30% 32% 8%
5–12 Dec Redbridge[33] 1,012 41% 12% 47%[j] 29%
2–7 Dec Resolve[37] 1,800 41% 26% 33% 15%
17–20 Nov Newspoll[41] 1,245 54% 27% 19% 27%
7–13 Nov Redbridge[47] 1,011 40% 10% 50%[k] 30%
4–8 Nov Resolve[49] 1,804 39% 25% 36% 14%
27–30 Oct Newspoll[50] 1,265 54% 27% 19% 27%
23–30 Oct YouGov[52] 4,578 51% 26% 23% 25%
15–20 Oct Freshwater[55][56][57] 1,530 48% 31% 22% 17%
7–12 Oct Resolve[59] 1,800 40% 23% 37% 17%
29 Sep – 2 Oct Newspoll[63] 1,264 52% 30% 18% 22%
25–30 Sep YouGov[64] 1,329 50% 28% 22% 22%
9–13 Sep Resolve[67] 1,800 38% 26% 36% 12%
8–11 Sep Newspoll[68] 1,283 51% 31% 18% 20%
9–16 Aug Resolve[72] 1,800 41% 26% 33% 15%
11–14 Aug Newspoll[73] 1,264 51% 31% 18% 20%
18–30 Jul Wolf & Smith[74][75] 5,000 45% 35% 20% 10%
13–18 Jul Resolve[77] 2,311 40% 25% 35% 15%
14–17 Jul Newspoll[78][79] 1,264 52% 32% 16% 20%
27 Jun – 1 Jul Spectre Strategy[81] 1,001 46% 27% 27% 19%

Leadership approval

Date Firm Sample
size 		Albanese Taylor
Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net
13 Feb 2026 Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition[4]
Date Firm Sample
size 		Albanese Ley
Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[6][7] 1,561 38% 56% 6% -18% 22% 62% 16% -40%
5–8 Feb 2026 Newspoll[9] 1,234 N/a N/a N/a -10% 23% 62% 15% -39%
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[12][13] 1,003 34% 44% 22% -10% 10% 42% 48% -32%
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] 1,500 39% 55% 6% -16% 26% 57% 17% -31%
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[16][17] 1,022 39% 53% 9% -14% 30% 47% 23% -17%
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19] 1,933 27% 41% 32% -14% 15% 33% 52% -18%
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[24] 1,800 35% 56% 9% -21% 35% 42% 23% -7%
12–16 Jan 2026 Newspoll[25] 1,224 42% 53% 5% -11% 28% 56% 16% -28%
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] 1,608 33% 48% 19% -15% 19% 32% 49% -13%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[29][30] 1,027 29% 41% 30% -12% 17% 28% 55% -11%
≤14 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] 1,606 N/a N/a N/a +9% N/a N/a N/a +8%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[31] 1,010 40% 49% 11% -9% 36% 40% 24% -4%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33] 1,012 39% 38% 23% +1% 14% 34% 52% -20%
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[37] 1,800 48% 43% 9% +5% 39% 37% 24% +2%
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[39] 1,020 47% 43% 10% +4% 31% 44% 25% -19%
17–20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[41] 1,245 47% 47% 6% 0% 26% 55% 19% -29%
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[47] 1,011 37% 39% 24% -2% 13% 34% 53% -21%
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[49] 1,804 44% 44% 12% 0% 33% 41% 26% -8%
27–30 Oct 2025 Newspoll[50] 1,265 46% 51% 3% -5% 25% 58% 17% -33%
23–30 Oct 2025 YouGov[52] 4,578 N/a N/a N/a -3% N/a N/a N/a -22%
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[54] 1,041 45% 44% 11% +1% 32% 43% 24% -9%
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] 1,530 N/a N/a N/a -7% N/a N/a N/a -5%
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[59] 1,800 41% 47% 12% -6% 33% 38% 28% -5%
29 Sep – 2 Oct 2025 Newspoll[63] 1,264 47% 48% 5% -1% 31% 52% 17% -21%
25–30 Sep 2025 YouGov[64] 1,329 N/a N/a N/a -4% N/a N/a N/a -19%
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[90] 1,001 44% 46% 10% -2% 32% 41% 26% -9%
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[67] 1,800 44% 45% 11% -1% 41% 32% 27% +9%
8–11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[68] 1,283 45% 50% 5% -5% 32% 49% 19% -17%
20–26 Aug 2025 Essential[91] 1,034 49% 43% 9% +6% 35% 37% 28% -2%
9–16 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] 1,800 43% 45% 12% -2% 38% 29% 33% +9%
11–14 Aug 2025 Newspoll[73] 1,264 49% 46% 5% +3% 35% 44% 21% -9%
24–29 Jul 2025 Essential[92] 1,012 50% 41% 9% +9% 33% 35% 33% -2%
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[77] 2,311 45% 42% 13% +3% 38% 29% 33% +9%
14–17 Jul 2025 Newspoll[78][79] 1,264 47% 47% 6% 0% 35% 42% 23% -7%
4–10 Jul 2025 Morning Consult[93] 3,770 54% 35% 11% +19% N/a N/a N/a N/a
3–9 Jun 2025 Morning Consult[93] 3,770 53% 36% 11% +17% N/a N/a N/a N/a
7–11 May 2025 Essential[94][95] 1,137 50% 39% 11% +11% N/a N/a N/a N/a
2–8 May 2025 Morning Consult[93] 3,770 57% 33% 9% +24% N/a N/a N/a N/a

Party approval

Date Firm Sample
size 		Labor Liberal National Greens One Nation
Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net Pos. Neg. Net
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[12][13] 5,001 37% 40% -3% 24% 46% -22% 21% 38% -17% 23% 49% -26% 37% 43% -6%
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] 1,608 32% 42% -10% 28% 38% -10% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 36% 37% -1%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33][34] 1,012 42% 35% +7% 31% 44% -13% N/a N/a N/a 27% 46% -19% 31% 50% -19%
7–26 Nov 2025 Redbridge[38] 4,775 41% 38% +3% 29% 44% -15% N/a N/a N/a 23% 50% -27% 30% 48% -18%
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] 1,530 39% 38% +1% 34% 39% -5% 27% 28% -1% 28% 44% -15% N/a N/a N/a

Party leadership

Liberal

Date Firm Sample
size 		Preferred Liberal leader
Ley Hastie McIntosh T. O'Brien Price Spender[l] Taylor Tehan Wilson Other Don't know
13 Feb 2026 Liberal party room vote 33.3% — — — — — 66.7% — — — —
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[2] 1,717 (all) 19% 13% N/a 3% N/a N/a 10% N/a 4% N/a 52%
— (ONP) 10% 26% N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a N/a N/a
3–10 Feb 2026 YouGov[96] 1,561 (all) 10% 15% 2% 2% N/a N/a 8% N/a 3% N/a 60%
300 (L/NP) 12% 25% 2% 3% N/a N/a 11% N/a 2% N/a 45%
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[40] 1,020 (all) 14% 8% N/a N/a 11% 2% 5% N/a 5% 10% 45%
244 (L/NP) 21% 17% N/a N/a 12% 7% 9% N/a 3% 5% 26%
17–20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[41] 1,245 (all) 21% 15% N/a 3% N/a N/a 9% N/a 6% N/a 46%
300 (L/NP) 28% 20% N/a 2% N/a N/a 12% N/a 7% N/a 31%
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[54][97] 1,041 (all) 13% 10% N/a N/a 10% 4% 7% N/a 3% 16% 42%
236 (L/NP) 22% 20% N/a N/a 13% 4% 9% N/a 4% 5% 24%
13 May 2025 Liberal party room vote 53.7% — — — — — 46.3% — — — —
7–11 May 2025 Essential[95] 1,137 (all) 16% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% 7% N/a 20% 45%
341 (L/NP) 20% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 23% 6% N/a 12% 39%

Individual politician approval

Labor

Date Firm Sample
size 		Labor politician net favourability
Aly Bowen Butler Burke Chalmers Clare Collins Conroy Farrell Gallagher Giles Keogh C. King M. King Marles McAllister McCarthy McBain O'Neil Plibersek Rishworth Rowland Watt Wells Wong
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[2] 1,717 N/a -8% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
≤14 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] 1,606 +12% 0% +6% +7% +5% +7% +9% +6% +4% +4% +7% +7% +11% +7% +6% +7% +7% +7% +9% +9% +9% +9% +4% +6% +11%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33] 1,012 N/a -14% N/a -11% -5% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] 1,530 N/a -7% N/a N/a -2% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a -4%
9–16 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] 1,800 N/a N/a +4% N/a +1% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a +4% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a +4% N/a +4% +5%

Coalition

Date Firm Sample
size 		Coalition politician net favourability
Cash Hastie Henderson Hume T. O'Brien Price Ruston Taylor[m] Tehan Wilson Littleproud Joyce[n]
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[2] 1,717 N/a +4% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a -8% N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] 1,003 N/a 0% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a -4% N/a N/a -14% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] 1,608 N/a 0% N/a N/a N/a -6% N/a -4% N/a N/a N/a N/a
≤14 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] 1,606 +2% +6% +10% +6% +8% +3% +4% +8% +5% +11% +8% N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[98] 1,011 N/a +1% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a -6% N/a N/a N/a -23%
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[99] 1,804 N/a +8% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a -8%
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] 1,530 N/a +7% N/a N/a N/a -3% N/a 0% N/a N/a -1% -11%
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[99] 1,800 N/a +6% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[99] 1,800 N/a +4% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
9–16 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] 1,800 N/a N/a N/a N/a +6% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a

Crossbench

Date Firm Sample
size 		Crossbench politician net favourability
Waters Hanson-Young Hanson Joyce[n] Lambie Payman Katter Pocock Steggall Haines Ryan Chaney Scamps Tink Spender Thorpe
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[2] 1,717 N/a N/a +7% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] 1,003 N/a N/a -3% -19% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19]: 5  1,933 N/a N/a -5% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] 1,608 -9% N/a -3% -18% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
≤14 Dec 2025 Resolve[89] 1,606 +5% +5% +3% -4% +15% +1% +5% +15% +8% +8% +8% +7% +7% +6% +5% -12%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33] 1,012 N/a N/a -19% -27% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[47] 1,011 -7% N/a -12% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[99] 1,804 N/a N/a +8% N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a

National direction polling

Individual polls

Date Firm Right direction Wrong direction Can't say Net
26 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] 30% 56.5% 13.5% -26.5%
19–25 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[15] 29.5% 56.5% 14% -27%
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[16][17] 29% 54% 17% -25%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] 30.5% 57.5% 12% -27%
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] 19.5% 45.5% 35% -26%
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[39] 35% 47% 18% -12%
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] 35% 52% 13% -17%
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[54] 35% 46% 19% -11%
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[90] 34% 50% 16% -16%
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[66] 32.5% 53% 14.5% -20.5%
20–26 Aug 2025 Essential[91] 38% 47% 16% -9%
24–29 July 2025 Essential[92] 38% 45% 17% -7%
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] 37% 46.5% 16.5% -9.5%
23–29 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[83] 38.5% 46% 15.5% -7.5%
2–22 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[84] 43% 41.5% 15.5% +1.5%
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[100] 41% 44% 15% -3%
7–11 May 2025 Essential[101] 37% 42% 21% -5%

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[2][a] N/a 32% 21% 11% 24% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[2] N/a 29% 20% 12% 27% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 30% 17.5% 4.5% 11.5% 25.5% N/a 11% 54% 46% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 29% 14% 5% 11% 26% 8% 7% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[21][22] 308 33% 37% 5% 21% N/a 4% 48% 52% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[24] N/a 31% 26% 12% 20% 8% 4% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 29% 27% 13% 19% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 65% 35%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[31] N/a 31% 29% 9% 20% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 33.5% 25.5% 11.5% 17.5% N/a 12% 57% 43% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[37] N/a 35% 26% 11% 17% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 37% 24% 12% 14% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 33.5% 28.5% 10.5% 14.5% N/a 13% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 33% 24% 12% 17% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[49] N/a 34% 31% 11% 13% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] N/a 32% 37% 13% 10% N/a 9% 52% 48% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[59] N/a 35% 29% 9% 14% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11% N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[67] N/a 34% 28% 9% 16% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 38% 25% 13% 10% N/a 14% 60% 40% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 34% 29% 10% 12% N/a 15% 54% 46% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] N/a 37% 29% 13% 12% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[77][o] N/a 36% 31% 11% 8% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 38% 30% 9% 9% N/a 15% 54% 46% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[86] 35.2% 24.2% 7.3% 11.1% 6.0% 9.7% 6.5% 55.3% 44.7% —

Victoria

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[2][a] N/a 29% 21% 12% 25% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[2] N/a 31% 16% 12% 27% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 30.5% 25.5% 1.5% 13% 17.5% N/a 12% 53% 47% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 29% 21% 1% 15% 25% 6% 3% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[21][22] 273 32% 26% 12% 16% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
57% N/a 43%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52.5% 47.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[24] N/a 26% 33% 13% 17% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 26% 28% 18% 19% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
56% N/a 44%
N/a 66% 34%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[31] N/a 30% 30% 12% 15% 9% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 32.5% 28.5% 15.5% 10% N/a 13.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[37] N/a 31% 31% 11% 11% 10% 5% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 35% 26% 16% 11% N/a 12% 60% 40% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 33.5% 27.5% 16% 10.5% N/a 12.5% 59.5% 40.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 33% 24% 14% 16% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[49] N/a 33% 29% 13% 12% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] N/a 32% 30% 13% 8% N/a 18% 55% 45% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[59] N/a 33% 29% 12% 10% 9% 7% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 6% N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[67] N/a 32% 30% 15% 9% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 35% 30% 15% 7% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
2–9 Sep 2025 DemosAU[106] 1,327 32% 29% 13% 12% N/a 14% 55% 45% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 34% 32% 12% 9% N/a 13% 54% 46% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58% 42% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] N/a 36% 30% 12% 6% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[77][p] N/a 38% 28% 13% 8% 6% 8% N/a N/a N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 36% 31% 12% 8% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[86] 34.0% 27.6% 4.6% 13.6% 5.8% 7.6% 6.8% 56.3% 43.7% —

Queensland

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP IND OTH LNP ALP ONP
8–14 Feb 2026 Resolve[2][a] N/a 25% 30% 12% 23% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
8–12 Feb 2026 Resolve[2] N/a 22% 31% 11% 22% 9% 4% N/a N/a N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 23.5% 27.5% 14% 24% N/a 11% 49% 51% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 18% 33% 11% 28% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[21][22] 246 24% 27% 13% 24% N/a 11% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[24] N/a 30% 28% 10% 19% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54% 46% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 25% 27% 11% 25% N/a 12% 51% 49% N/a
60% N/a 40%
N/a 51% 49%
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[31] N/a 26% 34% 14% 14% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 27% 28% 12.5% 22% N/a 12% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[37] N/a 26% 36% 12% 11% 6% 9% N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 27% 33% 10% 18% N/a 12% 48% 52% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 27% 28% 12% 18% N/a 15% 49% 51% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 25% 30% 12% 20% N/a 13% 48% 52% N/a
4–8 Nov 2025 Resolve[49] N/a 26% 35% 14% 11% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] N/a 29% 30% 14% 18% N/a 10% 47% 53% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 49.5% 50.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[59] N/a 23% 35% 13% 13% 9% 8% N/a N/a N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a 11% N/a N/a 51.5% 48.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[67] N/a 27% 37% 10% 12% 10% 4% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 33% 32% 12% 10% N/a 13% 49% 51% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 32% 31% 12% 16% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] N/a 29% 39% 10% 9% 8% 5% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 46.5% 53.5% N/a
13–18 July 2025 Resolve[77][o] N/a 31% 31% 11% 10% 8% 8% 48% 51% N/a
4–9 Jul 2025 DemosAU[107][108] 1,027 35% 31% 12% 13% N/a 9% 47% 53% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 35% 32% 12% 12% N/a 9% 51% 49% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47.5% 52.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[86] 34.9% 31.0% 11.8% 7.8% 3.8% 10.7% 50.6% 49.4% —

Western Australia

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 29% 24.5% 2.5% 13% 20% N/a 11% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 29% 25% 3% 13% 18% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[21][22] 81 38% 19% 21% 10% N/a 12% 64% 36% N/a
66% N/a 34%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47% 53% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 45.5% 54.5% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 30% 24% 15.5% 17.5% N/a 13% 50.5% 49.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 37% 28% 12% 14% N/a 9% 56% 44% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 32.5% 27.5% 11% 16.5% N/a 12.5% 53% 47% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 34% 23% 12% 19% N/a 12% 56% 44% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] N/a 45% 25% 18% 7% N/a 5% 68% 32% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.5% N/a N/a 53.5% 46.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8.5% N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 39% 33% 8% 11% N/a 9% 54% 46% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 44% 28% 7% 10% N/a 11% 59% 41% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56.5% 43.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 41% 31% 11% 8% N/a 9% 57% 43% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[86] 35.6% 28.7% 2.9% 12.0% 7.6% 6.2% 7.1% 55.8% 44.2% —

South Australia

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB ONP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 33.5% 21.5% 12% 20.5% N/a 12.5%[q] 61% 39% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 35% 12% 14% 29% 5% 5% N/a N/a N/a
16–18 Jan 2026 Freshwater[21][22] 91 46% 18% 12% 14% N/a 9% 66% 34% N/a
72% N/a 28%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 50% 50% N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 35.5% 29% 12.5% 13.5% N/a 9.5% 56.5% 43.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 38% 25% 10% 15% N/a 12% 58% 42% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 37.5% 26% 15% 11.5% N/a 10% 59.5% 40.5% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 36% 21% 16% 14% N/a 13% 60% 40% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] N/a 35% 33% 18% 8% N/a 6% 56% 44% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a 13% N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 34% 29% 10% 11% N/a 16% 55% 45% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62% 38% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election[86] 38.3% 28.0% 13.4% 6.2% 3.4% 10.7% 59.2% 40.8% —

Tasmania

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 31% 20.5% 17% 15.5% N/a 16%[q] 59% 41%
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5%
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 56% 44%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 38.5% 19% 12% 12% N/a 18.5% 67% 33%
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 35.5% 26.5% 11% 9% N/a 18% 65.5% 34.5%
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 36% 18% 13% 17% N/a 16% 64% 36%
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a 10% N/a N/a 68% 32%
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a 5.5% N/a N/a 68.5% 31.5%
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 63.5% 36.5%
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39%
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 70.5% 29.5%
3 May 2025 Election[86] 36.6% 24.5% 11.1% 6.1% 18.1% 3.6% 63.3% 36.7%

ACT

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN ONP IND OTH ALP LIB
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 46% 20% 16% 6% N/a 12% 71% 29%
3 May 2025 Election[86] 47.5% 21.2% 15.1% — 12.8% 3.4% 72.5% 27.5%

Northern Territory

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP CLP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 34% 25% 12% 19% N/a 10% 54% 46%
3 May 2025 Election[86] 37.9% 33.8% 10.2% 7.7% 7.7% 2.5% 54.3% 45.7%

Electorate projections

Date Firm Projection
type 		Sample
size 		Seat tally Majority
ALP L/NP GRN ONP CA KAP IND
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU[48] MRP 6,928 98 29 0 12 1 1 9 ALP 23
3 May 2025 Election[86] 94 43 1 0 1 1 10 ALP 19

Individual seat polling

Main article: Electorate opinion polling and projections for the next Australian federal election

By electorate classification

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) classifies electorates as inner metropolitan, outer metropolitan, provincial and rural.[109]

Inner metropolitan

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 43% 16% 2% 13% 16% N/a 10% 64% 36%
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 37% 17% 2% 15% 15% 10% 4% N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19] N/a 38% 19% 17% 17% N/a 9% N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[29][30] N/a 37% 26% 15% 16% N/a 6% N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33][34] N/a 39% 23% 17% 12% N/a 9% 62% 38%
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 40% 24% 17% 9% 7% 3% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 38% 23% 17% 10% N/a 12% 62% 38%
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 39% 29% 13% 9% N/a 10% 58% 42%
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 42% 29% 11% N/a N/a 17% 60% 40%

Outer metropolitan

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 31% 16% 3% 9% 33% N/a 8% 52% 48%
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 30% 16% 4% 13% 27% 4% 6% N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19] N/a 27% 23% 14% 25% N/a 11% N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[29][30] N/a 26% 23% 11% 24% N/a 16% N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33][34] N/a 40% 22% 12% 18% N/a 8% 60% 40%
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 35% 24% 12% 21% 3% 5% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 35% 23% 12% 17% N/a 13% 57% 43%
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 36% 27% 13% 13% N/a 11% 56% 44%
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 39% 30% 12% N/a N/a 19% 57% 43%

Provincial

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 35% 6% 1% 6% 12% 33% N/a 8% 60% 40%
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 34% 10% 2% 10% 9% 25% 3% 7% N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33][34] N/a 26% 33% 11% 23% N/a 7% 46% 54%
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 33% 27% 10% 21% 5% 4% N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 33% 31% 10% 15% N/a 11% 51% 49%
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 34% 33% 11% N/a N/a 22% 52% 48%

Rural

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 26% 10% 6% 6% 9% 31% N/a 12% 49% 51%
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 23% 11% 7% 2% 9% 35% 6% 7% N/a N/a
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33][34] N/a 32% 29% 10% 17% N/a 12% 52% 48%
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 26% 30% 9% 23% 6% 6% N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 29% 30% 6% 20% N/a 11% 48% 52%
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 32% 32% 8% N/a N/a 28% 50% 50%

Regional/rural

Some polls combine provincial and rural electorates as "regional/rural".

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19] N/a 24% 20% 8% 32% N/a 16% N/a N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[29][30] N/a 25% 20% 11% 32% N/a 12% N/a N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 24% 26% 9% 24% N/a 17% 47% 53%

Subpopulation results

By gender

Women

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote[r]
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62% 38% N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 30% 22% 3% N/a 15.5% 17.5% N/a 12% 56% 44% N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 36% 15% 1% 3% 13% 23% N/a 9% 58% 42% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 26% 15% 2% 4% 15% 25% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[16][17] 599 29% 20% 11% 23% N/a 8% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19] N/a 29% 20% 14% 24% N/a 13% 54.5% 45.5% N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[24] N/a 28% 27% 12% 18% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 57.5% 42.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 27% 23% 20% 19% N/a 11% 55% 45% N/a
58% N/a 42%
N/a 65% 35%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[29][30] N/a 24% 22% 17% 23% N/a 14% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[31] N/a 28% 28% 12% 17% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 31.5% 26% 17.5% 13% N/a 12% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[35][36] 558 33% 25% 12% 16% N/a 6%[s] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[37] N/a 31% 24% 16% 15% 8% 6% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[39][40] 490 35% 23% 14% 14% N/a 6%[s] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 35% 24% 15% 13% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 32% 25% 14% 18% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 34% 26% 15% 11.5% N/a 13.5% 60% 40% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 33% 22% 16% 16% N/a 13% 58% 42% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[53] 595 32% 26% 13% 14% N/a 7% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] N/a 30% 30% 17% 11% N/a 12% 55% 45% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[59] N/a 32% 26% 12% 14% 7% 8% N/a N/a N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[65] 517 35% 24% 14% 14% N/a 4% 55.5% 44.5% N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 32% 30% 13% 13% N/a 12% 53% 47% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 7% N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[67] N/a 31% 27% 13% 13% 10% 6% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 34% 29% 14% 9% N/a 14% 57% 43% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge[69][70] N/a 33% 29% 14% 11% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] N/a 38% 25% 13% 9% 8% 6% 60% 40% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 59.5% 40.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[77][p] N/a 36% 27% 14% 7% 9% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[80] N/a 36% 25% 15% 15% N/a 10% 60% 40% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 36% 30% 13% N/a N/a 21% 56% 44% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[110] 36% 28% 18% — — 18% — — —

Men

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote[r]
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[1] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47.5% 52.5% N/a
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 30% 20.5% 2.5% N/a 9.5% 26% N/a 11.5% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 32% 11% 2% 6% 8% 30% N/a 11% 53% 47% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 35% 15% 2% 3% 9% 25% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[16][17] 423 32% 31% 7% 21% N/a 6% [s] N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19] N/a 31% 22% 12% 25% N/a 10% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[24] N/a 32% 29% 9% 18% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 46.5% 53.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 31% 27% 9% 23% N/a 10% 50% 50% N/a
53% N/a 47%
N/a 61% 39%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[29][30] N/a 34% 24% 7% 24% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[31] N/a 36% 28% 11% 14% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 32.5% 27.5% 9% 18% N/a 13% 52.5% 47.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[35][36] 472 35% 27% 7% 19% N/a 9%[s] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[37] N/a 39% 28% 12% 7% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[39][40] 530 37% 30% 7% 15% N/a 8%[s] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 38% 26% 10% 14% N/a 12% 57% 43% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 37% 26% 10% 18% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 31.5% 28.5% 10% 16.5% N/a 13.5% 53% 47% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 33% 25% 10% 18% N/a 14% 54% 46% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Esential[53] 446 39% 27% 6% 16% N/a 9% [s] 53% 47% N/a
15–20 Oct 2025 Freshwater[55][56][57] N/a 36% 32% 11% 10% N/a 11% 56% 44% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15% N/a N/a 53.5% 46.5% N/a
7–12 Oct 2025 Resolve[59] N/a 35% 30% 9% 10% 10% 5% N/a N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 37% 28% 8% 15% N/a 12% 54% 46% N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[65] 484 36% 30% 9% 11% N/a 11%[t] 52.5% 47.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.5% N/a N/a 51.5% 48.5% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[67] N/a 39% 27% 9% 12% 7% 6% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 38% 29% 10% 9% N/a 14% 57% 43% N/a
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 RedBridge[69][70] N/a 37% 32% 7% 12% N/a 12% 52% 48% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 52% 48% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] N/a 36% 32% 10% 10% 7% 5% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 54.5% 45.5% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[77][p] N/a 34% 31% 11% 9% 8% 8% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[80] N/a 36% 28% 12% 9% N/a 15% 57% 43% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 39% 32% 8% N/a N/a 21% 54% 46% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55.5% 44.5% N/a
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[110] 31% 37% 8% 25% — — —

By age

18–34

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 27.5% 16.5% 1% N/a 25.5% 15% N/a 14.5% 65.5% 34.5% N/a
20–23 Jan 2026 Essential[16][17] 302 31% 28% 17% 12% N/a 6% N/a N/a N/a
13–21 Jan 2026 DemosAU[18][19] N/a 33% 16% 29% 13% N/a 9% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 67.5% 32.5% N/a
12–16 Jan 2026 Resolve[24] N/a 36% 22% 23% 8% 3% 7% N/a N/a N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 67% 33% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 27% 18% 29% 14% N/a 12% 62% 38% N/a
65% N/a 35%
N/a 68% 32%
5–6 Jan 2026 DemosAU[29][30] N/a 32% 19% 26% 12% N/a 11% N/a N/a N/a
17–20 Dec 2025 Resolve[31] N/a 32% 22% 21% 11% 9% 5% N/a N/a N/a
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 32.5% 17% 26.5% 10% N/a 14% 69.5% 30.5% N/a
3–8 Dec 2025 Essential[35][36] 472 38% 22% 19% 10% N/a 5%[s] N/a N/a N/a
2–7 Dec 2025 Resolve[37] N/a 37% 21% 23% 8% 8% 3% N/a N/a N/a
19–24 Nov 2025 Essential[39][40] 316 36% 21% 21% 9% N/a 5%[t] N/a N/a N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 36% 19% 26% 8% N/a 11% 67% 33% N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 31.5% 19.5% 25% 8% N/a 16% 67% 33% N/a
5 Oct – 11 Nov 2025 DemosAU (MRP)[48] N/a 32% 19% 26% 11% N/a 12% 64% 36% N/a
22–27 Oct 2025 Essential[53] 299 39% 21% 18% 7% N/a 5% 60% 40% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a 7% N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
24–29 Sep 2025 Essential[65] 305 36% 20% 25% 7% N/a 5% 64.5% 35.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a 8% N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve[67] N/a 40% 18% 22% 11% 6% 3% N/a N/a N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 36% 18% 26% 7% N/a 13% 67% 33% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 71% 29% N/a
11–15 Aug 2025 Resolve[72] N/a 39% 24% 22% 6% 8% 2% N/a N/a N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 69% 31% N/a
13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve[77] N/a 37% 18% 28% 5% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
5–6 Jul 2025 DemosAU[80] N/a 39% 16% 31% 4% N/a 10% 73% 27% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 40% 19% 24% N/a N/a 17% 68% 32% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 70% 30% N/a

35–49

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 31.5% 19% 2.5% N/a 13.5% 20% N/a 13.5% 58% 42% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 33% 16% 2% 4% 12% 19% 7% 7% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 55% 45% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 32% 24% 14% 19% N/a 11% 54% 46% N/a
58% N/a 42%
N/a 64% 36%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 32.5% 23.5% 15.5% 15% N/a 13.5% 58.5% 41.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 37% 25% 13% 13% N/a 12% 58% 42% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 36% 24% 13% 16% 6% 5% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 32% 24% 14.5% 14% N/a 15.5% 60% 40% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12.5% N/a N/a 60.5% 39.5% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9% N/a N/a 59% 41% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 38% 26% 14% 9% N/a 13% 60% 40% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 61% 39% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 58% 42% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 37% 25% 11% N/a N/a 27% 57% 43% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 62.5% 37.5% N/a

50–64

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 31% 20.5% 3.5% N/a 8% 27% N/a 10% 51.5% 48.5% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 33% 9% 1% 4% 6% 35% 6% 6% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 28% 23% 10% 28% N/a 11% 50% 50% N/a
51% N/a 49%
N/a 57% 43%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 30.5% 29% 8% 20.5% N/a 12% 49.5% 50.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 39% 27% 6% 15% N/a 13% 55% 45% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 32% 30% 7% 21% 7% 3% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 33.5% 26% 7.5% 18.5% N/a 14.5% 54% 46% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 16% N/a N/a 51% 49% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 10% N/a N/a 50.5% 49.5% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 36% 31% 5% 10% N/a 18% 53% 47% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 49.5% 50.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 37% 34% 5% N/a N/a 24% 50% 50% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 53% 47% N/a

65+

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP ONP
LIB NAT LNP
5 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan[11] N/a 30% 28% 4% N/a 4% 24.5% N/a 9.5% 42% 58% N/a
20–27 Jan 2026 YouGov[14] N/a 23% 23% 4% 6% 1% 34% 5% 4% N/a N/a N/a
12–18 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[23] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 44.5% 55.5% N/a
5–11 Jan 2026 Roy Morgan[26] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 44.5% 55.5% N/a
5–6 Jan 2026 Fox & Hedgehog[27][28] N/a 28% 35% 4% 24% N/a 9% 42% 58% N/a
47% N/a 53%
N/a 63% 37%
17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 Roy Morgan[32] N/a 33% 37% 4.5% 16% N/a 9.5% 45.5% 54.5% N/a
29 Sep – 20 Nov 2025 Newspoll[102][103] N/a 33% 33% 2% 18% N/a 14% 48% 52% N/a
12–17 Nov 2025 YouGov (MRP)[42] N/a 31% 36% 3% 23% 5% 2% N/a N/a N/a
20 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 Roy Morgan[46] N/a 34% 39% 3.5% 15% N/a 8.5% 46% 54% N/a
22 Sep – 19 Oct 2025 Roy Morgan[58] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12% N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
25 Aug – 21 Sep 2025 Roy Morgan[58][66] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8.5% N/a N/a 44% 56% N/a
14 Jul – 11 Sep 2025 Newspoll[104][105] N/a 34% 40% 3% 11% N/a 12% 46% 54% N/a
28 Jul – 24 Aug 2025 Roy Morgan[71] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 43.5% 56.5% N/a
30 Jun – 27 Jul 2025 Roy Morgan[76] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48% 52% N/a
19–30 Jun 2025 Redbridge[82] N/a 36% 44% 2% N/a N/a 18% 45% 55% N/a
5 May – 1 Jun 2025 Roy Morgan[85] N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 48.5% 51.5% N/a

By generation

Generation Z

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote[r]
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 34% 11% 0% 4% 26% 11% N/a 14% 67% 33%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33] N/a 30% 26% 33% 5% N/a 6% 64% 36%
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[47] N/a 51% 10% 24% 5% N/a 10% N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 37% 16% 29% 6% N/a 12% 69% 31%
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 33.5% 17.5% 30.5% 5% N/a 13.5% 68% 32%
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[110][111] 40.3% 27.2% 26.3% — — 6.1% — —

Millennials

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote[r]
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 33% 18% 2% 3% 17% 18% N/a 9% 58% 42%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33] N/a 36% 18% 17% 16% N/a 13% 62% 38%
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[47] N/a 34% 23% 11% 18% N/a 14% N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 37% 24% 13% 13% N/a 13% 58% 42%
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 38% 26.5% 13.5% 9% N/a 13% 59% 41%
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[110][111] 37.4% 20.8% 19.2% — — 22.5% — —

Generation X

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote[r]
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 33% 6% 2% 4% 8% 35% N/a 12% 55% 45%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33] N/a 41% 26% 8% 19% N/a 6% 56% 44%
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[47][112] N/a 38% 22% 4% N/a 6% 20% N/a 10% N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 36% 31% 7% 15% N/a 11% 51% 49%
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 34% 32% 6.5% 14.5% N/a 13% 49.5% 50.5%
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[110][111] 33.7% 31.1% 6.4% — — 28.8% — —

Baby boomers

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote[r]
ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
LIB NAT LNP
22–29 Jan 2026 Redbridge[13] N/a 35% 14% 2% 5% 1% 35% N/a 8% 49% 51%
5–12 Dec 2025 Redbridge[33] N/a 33% 32% 3% 22% N/a 10% 46.5% 53.5%
7–13 Nov 2025 Redbridge[47] N/a 34% 30% 3% 24% N/a 9% N/a N/a
25 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 Redbridge[60][61][62] N/a 31% 37% 4% 17% N/a 11% 45% 55%
19 Aug – 8 Sep 2025 Redbridge[69][70] N/a 34% 38% 1.5% 14% N/a 12.5% 45.5% 54.5%
3 May 2025 Election (estimate)[110][111] 30.2% 44.5% 3.9% — — 21.3% — —

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d Respondents were asked: "If the Liberal Party did vote to change their leader from Sussan Ley to Angus Taylor this week, who would then receive your first preference if an election were held with Angus Taylor as the new Liberal leader?"[2]
  2. ^ a b c d 6% undecided
  3. ^ Reported 0% support for Trumpet of Patriots.
  4. ^ DemosAU produced an estimated ALP/ONP TPP using the following assumptions:[30]
    • L/NP preferences would flow 82.9% to ONP and 17.1% ALP (as in the 2025 election for the Division of Hunter).
    • GRN preferences would flow 88.2% to ALP and 11.8% ONP (as in the 2025 federal election between the ALP and L/NP, but replacing L/NP with ONP).
    • All other preferences split evenly between ALP and ONP.
  5. ^ 5% undecided
  6. ^ 20% for the Liberal Party and 4% for the National Party (with the Liberal National Party of Queensland vote distributed between both).[47]
  7. ^ 7% undecided
  8. ^ a b By convention, the Prime Minister must be a member of the House of Representatives (see Prime Minister of Australia § Selection and constitutional basis). Hanson currently holds office as a Senator.
  9. ^ Includes 8% "about the same", 34% "neither", and 12% "unsure".
  10. ^ 25% responded "neither", 9% responded "about the same".
  11. ^ 28% responded "neither", 9% responded "about the same".
  12. ^ Not a member of the party
  13. ^ Taylor's approval rating is listed under § Leadership approval following his election as opposition leader on 13 February 2026.
  14. ^ a b Barnaby Joyce resigned from the National Party of Australia to sit as an independent on 27 November 2025, and joined One Nation on 8 December 2025.
  15. ^ a b Primary and 2PP vote sum is less than 100 due to rounding.
  16. ^ a b c Primary and 2PP vote sum is greater than 100 due to rounding.
  17. ^ a b Including 0.5% for the National Party.
  18. ^ a b c d e f Some 2PP results calculated based on preference flows at the 2025 Australian federal election.
  19. ^ a b c d e f g Including 1% for Trumpet of Patriots
  20. ^ a b Including 2% for Trumpet of Patriots

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