Opinion polling for the next German federal election
In the run-up to the next German federal election following the 23 February 2025 election, which needs to take place before 26 March 2029, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed below.
Electoral threshold of 5%
Seats in the Bundestag are allocated to parties that either receive at least 5 percent of proportional votes (called "second votes" in Germany as the option appears second on the ballot, after the constituency or "first vote"), or win at least three constituencies. In the 2021 German federal election, Die Linke (The Left) won 3 constituencies and thus received proportional representation despite receiving just 4.9% of second votes. In 2022, this three constituency provision was abolished but was later reinstated by the Federal Constitutional Court. In addition to Die Linke, this also benefits the Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CSU), which competes only in Bavaria, and therefore has often been close to missing the 5% nationwide despite regularly winning all constituencies in the state. As the CDU does not run in Bavaria, only a few polls show the CDU and CSU as separate parties, with most combining the CDU/CSU as the Union. The two parties always coalition together in the federal level and agree on the vast majority of issues.
In the 2025 German federal election, both the Free Democratic Party (FDP) and Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) narrowly failed to meet the 5% electoral threshold to gain parliamentary representation. Both of these parties are present in a few state parliaments and even in state governments, and are still regularly polled despite not being present in the 21st Bundestag. Some polls include the Free Voters (FW), a general name used by unaffiliated groups in local elections, which was adopted by a party that is present in three state parliaments (Bavaria, Rhineland-Palatinate, and Saxony) and one state government coalition (Bavaria). Other parties are categorised as "others".
Reliability of pollsters
The poll aggregator Europe Elects provides a list of past pollster accuracy and conflict of interest on its website. The organization includes Allensbach, Forsa, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, GMS, Infratest dimap, INSA, Ipsos, Verian, YouGov, pollytix, Trend research, and pmg - policy matters in its databases and highlights their reliability and transparency. All of them are part of professional pollster associations. Civey is excluded and their lack of methodological rigour referenced. Below-listed Wahlkreisprognose and America-based Democracy Institute are excluded from Europe Elects's coverage. The poll aggregator points out that they have no membership in a professional association.[1]
Poll results
Graphical summary
2026
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Union | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | BSW | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA[2] | 9–13 Feb 2026 | 1,202 | – | 25 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| Verian[3] | 4–10 Feb 2026 | 1,472 | – | 25 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| YouGov[4] | 6–9 Feb 2026 | 1,657 | – | 25 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 6–9 Feb 2026 | 2,004 | – | 25.5 | 26 | 15.5 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 3–9 Feb 2026 | 2,503 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 2–6 Feb 2026 | 1,202 | – | 25 | 26 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 3–5 Feb 2026 | 1,289 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 13 | 10 | – | – | 12 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 2–4 Feb 2026 | 1,319 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 30 Jan – 2 Feb 2026 | 2,006 | – | 26 | 26 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4 | Tie |
| Forsa[5] | 27 Jan – 2 Feb 2026 | 2,503 | – | 26 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 26–30 Jan 2026 | 1,204 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 23–26 Jan 2026 | 2,008 | – | 25 | 26 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 20–26 Jan 2026 | 2,501 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 19–23 Jan 2026 | 1,204 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 16–19 Jan 2026 | 2,004 | – | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10.5 | 4 | 4 | 4.5 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 13–19 Jan 2026 | 2,501 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Allensbach[8] | 6–19 Jan 2026 | 1,077 | – | 27 | 25 | 15 | 11.5 | 10 | – | 3.5 | 8 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 12–16 Jan 2026 | 1,202 | – | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 13–15 Jan 2026 | 1,245 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 10 | – | – | 12 | 1 |
| Verian[3] | 7–13 Jan 2026 | 1,455 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| pollytix[9] | 7–13 Jan 2026 | 1,573 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| YouGov[4] | 9–12 Jan 2026 | 1,673 | – | 25 | 25 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 9–12 Jan 2026 | 2,010 | – | 24.5 | 26 | 14.5 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 5–12 Jan 2026 | 3,004 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Ipsos[10] | 9-11 Jan 2026 | 1,000 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 5–9 Jan 2026 | 1,205 | – | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 5–7 Jan 2026 | 1,323 | – | 28 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 2–5 Jan 2026 | 2,008 | – | 25 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| GMS[11] | 23 Dec – 5 Jan 2026 | 1,027 | – | 24 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 30 Dec – 2 Jan 2026 | 1,004 | – | 25 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 17.5 | 28.5 | 20.8 | 16.4 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 5.0[a] | 4.3 | 4.6 | 7.7 |
2025
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Union | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | BSW | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA[2] | 19–22 Dec 2025 | 2,002 | – | 24.5 | 26 | 14 | 11.5 | 11 | 4 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 16–19 Dec 2025 | 2,003 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 15–19 Dec 2025 | 1,201 | – | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| YouGov[4] | 12–15 Dec 2025 | 1,743 | – | 26 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 12–15 Dec 2025 | 2,006 | – | 25 | 26 | 14 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 4 | 5.5 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 9–15 Dec 2025 | 2,503 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 8–12 Dec 2025 | 1,201 | – | 24 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 9–11 Dec 2025 | 1,295 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 11 | – | – | 12 | 1 |
| Verian[3] | 3–9 Dec 2025 | 1,443 | – | 25 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 5–8 Dec 2025 | 2,007 | – | 24.5 | 26.5 | 15 | 10.5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4.5 | 2 |
| Forsa[5] | 2–8 Dec 2025 | 2,503 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 1–5 Dec 2025 | 1,206 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Allensbach[8] | 22 Nov – 4 Dec 2025 | 1,029 | – | 27 | 25 | 14 | 12.5 | 9 | 3 | 4.5 | 5 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 1–3 Dec 2025 | 1,306 | – | 27 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| pollytix[9] | 26 Nov – 2 Dec 2025 | 3,020 | – | 26 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 28 Nov – 1 Dec 2025 | 2,002 | – | 24.5 | 27 | 14.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025 | 2,501 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Ipsos[12] | 28–30 Nov 2025 | 1,000 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 24–28 Nov 2025 | 1,198 | – | 25 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 21–24 Nov 2025 | 2,008 | – | 25.5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 10.5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 18–24 Nov 2025 | 2,501 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 17–21 Nov 2025 | 1,208 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 18–20 Nov 2025 | 1,207 | 11 | 27 | 27 | 14 | 12 | 9 | – | – | 11 | Tie |
| YouGov[4] | 14–17 Nov 2025 | 2,006 | – | 27 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 14–17 Nov 2025 | 2,006 | – | 24.5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 11–17 Nov 2025 | 2,502 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | – | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| GMS[11] | 11–17 Nov 2025 | 1,020 | – | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 10–14 Nov 2025 | 1,203 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 7–10 Nov 2025 | 2,010 | – | 25 | 26 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 3 | 4.5 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 4–10 Nov 2025 | 2,503 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Ipsos[12] | 7–9 Nov 2025 | 1,000 | – | 24 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 3–7 Nov 2025 | 1,205 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 4–6 Nov 2025 | 1,322 | 13 | 26 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | – | – | 12 | Tie |
| Allensbach[8] | 23 Oct – 6 Nov 2025 | 1,011 | – | 27 | 24 | 15.5 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 3–5 Nov 2025 | 1,300 | – | 27 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Verian[3] | 28 Oct – 4 Nov 2025 | 1,471 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025 | 2,002 | – | 25.5 | 25.5 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Tie |
| Forsa[5] | 28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025 | 2,500 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 27–30 Oct 2025 | 1,202 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 24–27 Oct 2025 | 2,004 | – | 24.5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 11.5 | 4 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 21–27 Oct 2025 | 2,502 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 20–24 Oct 2025 | 1,205 | – | 24 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 21–23 Oct 2025 | 1,272 | 12 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | – | – | 12 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 17–20 Oct 2025 | 2,006 | – | 24.5 | 27 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 4.5 | 4 | 4 | 2.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 14–20 Oct 2025 | 2,505 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 13–17 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | – | 25 | 27 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| YouGov[4] | 10–13 Oct 2025 | 1,880 | – | 27 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 10–13 Oct 2025 | 2,008 | – | 25 | 26.5 | 14 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 4 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 7–13 Oct 2025 | 2,500 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 6–10 Oct 2025 | 1,224 | – | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Allensbach[8] | 26 Sep – 10 Oct 2025 | 1,044 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Verian[3] | 30 Sep – 7 Oct 2025 | 1,478 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 2–6 Oct 2025 | 2,010 | – | 24.5 | 26.5 | 14.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 4 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2 |
| Forsa[5] | 30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025 | 2,001 | – | 24 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Ipsos[12] | 2–3 Oct 2025 | 1,000 | – | 23 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 29 Sep – 2 Oct 2025 | 1,186 | – | 24 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 29 Sep – 1 Oct 2025 | 1,306 | – | 26 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 29 Sep – 1 Oct 2025 | 1,300 | 17 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | – | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 2,006 | – | 25 | 26 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| GMS[11] | 24–29 Sep 2025 | 1,012 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 23–29 Sep 2025 | 2,502 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 22–26 Sep 2025 | 1,200 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 19–22 Sep 2025 | 2,002 | – | 24.5 | 26 | 14.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 16–22 Sep 2025 | 2,504 | – | 25 | 27 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 15–19 Sep 2025 | 1,200 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 16–18 Sep 2025 | 1,419 | 14 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| Allensbach[8] | 5–17 Sep 2025 | 1,013 | – | 27 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| YouGov[4] | 12–15 Sep 2025 | 1,649 | – | 26 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 12–15 Sep 2025 | 2,004 | – | 25.5 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | Tie |
| Forsa[5] | 9–15 Sep 2025 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 8–12 Sep 2025 | 1,204 | – | 25 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| Verian[3] | 3–9 Sep 2025 | 1,460 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 5–8 Sep 2025 | 2,006 | – | 25.5 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 11 | 10 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | Tie |
| Forsa[5] | 2–8 Sep 2025 | 2,500 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Ipsos[12] | 5–7 Sep 2025 | 1,000 | – | 24 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 1–5 Sep 2025 | 1,287 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 2–4 Sep 2025 | 1,269 | 14 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 1–2 Sep 2025 | 1,342 | – | 27 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| pollytix[9] | 26 Aug – 2 Sep 2025 | 1,533 | – | 27 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 2,004 | – | 25.5 | 25 | 14.5 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 2,502 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 25–29 Aug 2025 | 1,202 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 22–25 Aug 2025 | 2,002 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 10.5 | 11 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | Tie |
| Forsa[5] | 19–25 Aug 2025 | 2,501 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 18–22 Aug 2025 | 1,201 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| YouGov[4] | 15–18 Aug 2025 | 1,831 | – | 27 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 15–18 Aug 2025 | 2,010 | – | 26 | 25 | 14.5 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 4.5 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 12–18 Aug 2025 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 11–15 Aug 2025 | 1,206 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Allensbach[8] | 1–14 Aug 2025 | 1,051 | – | 28 | 22.5 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 11–13 Aug 2025 | 1,370 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Verian[3] | 6–12 Aug 2025 | 1,464 | – | 26 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 8–11 Aug 2025 | 2,008 | – | 27 | 25 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2 |
| Forsa[5] | 5–11 Aug 2025 | 2,505 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 3–8 Aug 2025 | 1,204 | – | 27 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 4–6 Aug 2025 | 1,321 | – | 27 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 1–4 Aug 2025 | 2,004 | – | 27.5 | 25 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 29 Jul – 4 Aug 2025 | 2,503 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| Ipsos[12] | 1–3 Aug 2025 | 1,000 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 28 Jul – 1 Aug 2025 | 1,203 | – | 27 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Verian[3] | 23–29 Jul 2025 | 1,473 | – | 27 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 2,006 | – | 27.5 | 24 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 10 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 22–28 Jul 2025 | 2,502 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 21–25 Jul 2025 | 1,203 | – | 27 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 22–24 Jul 2025 | 1,367 | 13 | 27 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 18–21 Jul 2025 | 2,005 | – | 27.5 | 24 | 14 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 15–21 Jul 2025 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 14–18 Jul 2025 | 1,205 | – | 27 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Allensbach[8] | 4–16 Jul 2025 | 1,054 | – | 29 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 3.5 | 4 | 4.5 | 6 |
| YouGov[4] | 11–14 Jul 2025 | 1,820 | – | 27 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 11–14 Jul 2025 | 2,004 | – | 27.5 | 23.5 | 15 | 11 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4 |
| Forsa[5] | 8–14 Jul 2025 | 2,503 | – | 26 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 7–11 Jul 2025 | 1,202 | – | 28 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA[2] | 4–7 Jul 2025 | 2,007 | – | 28 | 23.5 | 14.5 | 11 | 11 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 4.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 1–7 Jul 2025 | 2,503 | – | 27 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Ipsos[12] | 4–5 Jul 2025 | 1,000 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 30 Jun – 4 Jul 2025 | 1,205 | – | 28 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 30 Jun – 2 Jul 2025 | 1,312 | – | 30 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| INSA[2] | 27–30 Jun 2025 | 2,008 | – | 28 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| GMS[11] | 25–30 Jun 2025 | 1,007 | – | 29 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Forsa[5] | 24–30 Jun 2025 | 2,501 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| INSA[2] | 23–27 Jun 2025 | 1,202 | – | 28 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 24–26 Jun 2025 | 1,378 | 13 | 29 | 22 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| INSA[2] | 20–23 Jun 2025 | 2,002 | – | 27.5 | 23 | 16 | 11.5 | 10 | 4.5 | 4 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 17–20 Jun 2025 | 2,003 | 21 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| INSA[2] | 16–20 Jun 2025 | 1,205 | – | 28 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Verian[3] | 11–17 Jun 2025 | 1,462 | – | 28 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| YouGov[4] | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 1,912 | – | 28 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA[2] | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 2,006 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Forsa[5] | 10–16 Jun 2025 | 2,502 | – | 28 | 23 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| INSA[2] | 10–13 Jun 2025 | 1,203 | – | 27 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Allensbach[8] | 1–12 Jun 2025 | 1,054 | – | 29 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| INSA[2] | 6–10 Jun 2025 | 2,004 | – | 27.5 | 22.5 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4.5 | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Forsa[5] | 3–6 Jun 2025 | 2,002 | 21 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 2–6 Jun 2025 | 1,202 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 3–5 Jun 2025 | 1,247 | 13 | 27 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 2–3 Jun 2025 | 1,292 | – | 29 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| INSA[2] | 30 May – 2 Jun 2025 | 2,002 | – | 26.5 | 24.5 | 16 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| pollytix[9] | 28 May – 2 Jun 2025 | 1,561 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Forsa[5] | 27 May – 2 Jun 2025 | 2,002 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Ipsos[12] | 30 May – 1 Jun 2025 | 1,000 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| INSA[2] | 26–30 May 2025 | 2,002 | – | 26 | 24 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 23–26 May 2025 | 2,006 | – | 26 | 24.5 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 20–26 May 2025 | 2,501 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 19–23 May 2025 | 1,198 | – | 27 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 20–22 May 2025 | 1,328 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Verian[3] | 14–20 May 2025 | 1,468 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 16–19 May 2025 | 2,008 | – | 26 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| GMS[11] | 14–19 May 2025 | 1,012 | – | 26 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Forsa[5] | 13–19 May 2025 | 2,504 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 12–16 May 2025 | 1,205 | – | 26 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| pollytix[9] | 13–15 Apr 2025 | 1,514 | – | 27 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Allensbach[8] | 3–14 May 2025 | 1,032 | – | 28 | 22.5 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| YouGov[4] | 9–12 May 2025 | 1,927 | – | 27 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 9–12 May 2025 | 2,004 | – | 25 | 24.5 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3.5 | 6 | 0.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 5–12 May 2025 | 3,001 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 | Tie |
| Ipsos[12] | 9–10 May 2025 | 1,000 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 4 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 5–9 May 2025 | 1,203 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 5–6 May 2025 | 1,325 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| INSA[2] | 2–5 May 2025 | 2,003 | – | 24.5 | 24.5 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | Tie |
| Forsa[5] | 29 Apr – 2 May 2025 | 1,503 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 7 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 28 Apr – 2 May 2025 | 1,204 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 28–30 Apr 2025 | 1,297 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose[13] | 27–30 Apr 2025 | 1,000 | – | 26 | 24.5 | 16.5 | 12 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 3 | 1.5 |
| YouGov[4] | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 2,275 | – | 26 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 2,006 | – | 25 | 25 | 15.5 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6.5 | Tie |
| Forsa[5] | 22–28 Apr 2025 | 2,004 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 22–25 Apr 2025 | 1,204 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | Tie |
| INSA[2] | 17–22 Apr 2025 | 2,010 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | Tie |
| Verian[3] | 15–22 Apr 2025 | 1,469 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Forsa[5] | 15–17 Apr 2025 | 1,502 | – | 25 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 14–17 Apr 2025 | 1,205 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 2,002 | – | 25.5 | 24.5 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 8–14 Apr 2025 | 2,502 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 7–11 Apr 2025 | 1,202 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 8–10 Apr 2025 | 1,322 | 9 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Allensbach[8] | 28 Mar – 9 Apr 2025 | 1,048 | – | 27 | 23.5 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| INSA[2] | 4–7 Apr 2025 | 2,008 | – | 24.5 | 24.5 | 16 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 4 | 5.5 | Tie |
| GMS[11] | 2–7 Apr 2025 | 1,022 | – | 26 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Forsa[5] | 1–7 Apr 2025 | 2,501 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Ipsos[12] | 4–5 Apr 2025 | 1,000 | – | 24 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 31 Mar – 4 Apr 2025 | 1,206 | – | 24 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 6 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 31 Mar – 2 Apr 2025 | 1,334 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 28–31 Mar 2025 | 2,006 | – | 26.5 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 12 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 3 |
| Forsa[5] | 25–31 Mar 2025 | 2,508 | – | 25 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA[2] | 24–28 Mar 2025 | 1,204 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Verian[3] | 19–25 Mar 2025 | 1,381 | – | 27 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| YouGov[4] | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 1,890 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| INSA[2] | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 2,004 | – | 27 | 23.5 | 14.5 | 12 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 18–24 Mar 2025 | 2,502 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA[2] | 17–21 Mar 2025 | 1,202 | – | 27 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 18–20 Mar 2025 | 1,305 | 11 | 27 | 22 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| INSA[2] | 14–17 Mar 2025 | 2,008 | – | 29 | 22 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Forsa[5] | 11–17 Mar 2025 | 2,501 | – | 27 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| INSA[2] | 10–14 Mar 2025 | 1,201 | – | 28 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Allensbach[8] | 27 Feb – 11 Mar 2025 | 1,031 | – | 29 | 21 | 16 | 11.5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| INSA[2] | 7–10 Mar 2025 | 2,003 | – | 28.5 | 22 | 16.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 6.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 4–10 Mar 2025 | 2,504 | – | 28 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| INSA[2] | 3–7 Mar 2025 | 1,201 | – | 28 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[6] | 4–6 Mar 2025 | 1,249 | 8 | 28 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 4–5 Mar 2025 | 1,325 | – | 29 | 21 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| INSA[2] | 28 Feb – 3 Mar 2025 | 2,002 | – | 29.5 | 22 | 15.5 | 11 | 9.5 | 5 | 3.5 | 4 | 7.5 |
| Forsa[5] | 24 Feb – 3 Mar 2025 | 3,001 | 16 | 28 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Ipsos[12] | 28 Feb – 1 Mar 2025 | 1,000 | – | 29 | 22 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| INSA[2] | 24–28 Feb 2025 | 1,001 | – | 30 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 17.5 | 28.5 | 20.8 | 16.4 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 5.0[a] | 4.3 | 4.6 | 7.7 |
CDU and CSU
Some polls show CDU (not present in Bavaria) and CSU (only in Bavaria) separately without adding them up.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | CSU | BSW | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 6–9 Feb 2026 | 2,004 | 19.5 | 26.0 | 15.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 30 Jan – 2 Feb 2026 | 2,006 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| INSA | 23–26 Jan 2026 | 2,008 | 19.9 | 26.0 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.1 |
| INSA | 9–12 Jan 2026 | 2,010 | 18.3 | 26.0 | 14.5 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.7 |
| INSA | 2–5 Jan 2026 | 2,008 | 19.0 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 19–22 Dec 2025 | 2,002 | 18.5 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| INSA | 12–15 Dec 2025 | 2,006 | 19.4 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| INSA | 5–8 Dec 2025 | 2,007 | 18.0 | 26.5 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
| INSA | 28 Nov – 1 Dec 2025 | 2,002 | 19.1 | 27.0 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 7.9 |
| INSA | 21–24 Nov 2025 | 2,008 | 19.3 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.7 |
| INSA | 14–17 Nov 2025 | 2,006 | 19.5 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 7–10 Nov 2025 | 2,010 | 19.1 | 26.0 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 6.9 |
| INSA | 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025 | 2,002 | 20.6 | 25.5 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| INSA | 24–27 Oct 2025 | 2,004 | 19.5 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Oct 2025 | 2,006 | 19.7 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 7.3 |
| INSA | 10–13 Oct 2025 | 2,008 | 19.5 | 26.5 | 14.0 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 7.0 |
| INSA | 2–6 Oct 2025 | 2,010 | 19.0 | 26.5 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
| INSA | 26–29 Sep 2025 | 2,006 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| INSA | 19–22 Sep 2025 | 2,002 | 19.5 | 26.0 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 12–15 Sep 2025 | 2,004 | 19.5 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| INSA | 5–8 Sep 2025 | 2,006 | 19.5 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| INSA | 29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 2,004 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| INSA | 22–25 Aug 2025 | 2,002 | 18.5 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| INSA | 15–18 Aug 2025 | 2,010 | 21.5 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 8–11 Aug 2025 | 2,008 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| INSA | 1–4 Aug 2025 | 2,004 | 22.0 | 25.0 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 |
| INSA | 25–28 Jul 2025 | 2,006 | 21.5 | 24.0 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 18–21 Jul 2025 | 2,005 | 21.0 | 24.0 | 14.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 |
| INSA | 11–14 Jul 2025 | 2,004 | 21.0 | 23.5 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Jul 2025 | 2,007 | 22.0 | 23.5 | 14.5 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 27–30 Jun 2025 | 2,008 | 22.5 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| INSA | 20–23 Jun 2025 | 2,002 | 21.5 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 2,006 | 21.5 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 6–10 Jun 2025 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 22.5 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| INSA | 30 May – 2 Jun 2025 | 2,002 | 21.0 | 24.5 | 16.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 23–26 May 2025 | 2,006 | 21.0 | 24.5 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 16–19 May 2025 | 2,008 | 20.5 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| INSA | 9–12 May 2025 | 2,004 | 20.5 | 24.5 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| INSA | 2–5 May 2025 | 2,003 | 19.0 | 24.5 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 2,006 | 19.5 | 25.0 | 15.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 17–22 Apr 2025 | 2,010 | 19.5 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 2,002 | 20.0 | 24.5 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Apr 2025 | 2,008 | 18.5 | 24.5 | 16.0 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| INSA | 28–31 Mar 2025 | 2,006 | 21.0 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 12.0 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 2,004 | 21.0 | 23.5 | 14.5 | 12.0 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 14–17 Mar 2025 | 2,008 | 23.5 | 22.0 | 15.5 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 7–10 Mar 2025 | 2,003 | 22.5 | 22.0 | 16.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| INSA | 28 Feb – 3 Mar 2025 | 2,002 | 23.0 | 22.0 | 15.5 | 11.0 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 22.6 | 20.8 | 16.4 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 5.0[a] | 4.3 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
Scenario polls
Nation-wide CSU
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | CSU | BSW | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 29 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 | 2,004 | 20 | 24 | 12.5 | 11 | 10 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 4 | 4 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 22.6 | 20.8 | 16.4 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 4.98 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
Voting intention after hypothetical AfD ban
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Union | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | BSW | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 5–9 May 2025 | 1,203 | 30 | banned | 19 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 11 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 28.5 | 20.8 | 16.4 | 11.6 | 8.8 | 4.98 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 7.7 |
By state
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CSU | AfD | Grüne | SPD | Linke | Free Voters | FDP | BSW | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 1–10 Sep 2025 | 1,012 | 33 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 37.2 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 18.2 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
AfD | CDU | SPD | Linke | BSW | Grüne | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 21–24 Jan 2026 | 1,145 | 37 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 5 | – | 6 | 19 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 35.0 | 17.8 | 12.4 | 12.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | SPD | AfD | Grüne | Linke | FDP | BSW | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 25 Jun – 2 Jul 2025 | 1,507 | 30 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 30.1 | 20.0 | 16.8 | 12.4 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 11.1 |
By Western and Eastern Germany
Western Germany
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Union | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | BSW | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 6–9 Feb 2026 | 1,278 in West Germany | 26 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| YouGov | 9–12 Jan 2026 | 1,314 in West Germany | 26 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| YouGov | 12–15 Dec 2025 | 1,319 in West Germany | 28 | 23 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 5–8 Dec 2025 | 2,007 in all of Germany | 27 | 23.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 3.5 |
| YouGov | 14–17 Nov 2025 | 1,540 in West Germany | 29 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| INSA | 17–20 Oct 2025 | 2,006 in all of Germany | 26 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| YouGov | 10–13 Oct 2025 | 1,465 in West Germany | 29 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| YouGov | 12–15 Sep 2025 | 1,285 in West Germany | 28 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA | 5–8 Sep 2025 | 2,006 in all of Germany | 27 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| YouGov | 15–18 Aug 2025 | 1,418 in West Germany | 29 | 23 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| INSA | 8–11 Aug 2025 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 29 | 22 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| YouGov | 11–14 Jul 2025 | 1,420 in West Germany | 29 | 22 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| INSA | 27–30 Jun 2025 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 29 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| YouGov | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 1,491 in West Germany | 30 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| YouGov | 9–12 May 2025 | 1,477 in West Germany | 29 | 22 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| YouGov | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 1,520 in West Germany | 28 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 2,002 in all of Germany | 28 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| YouGov | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 1,451 in West Germany | 29 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 30.7 | 17.9 | 17.6 | 12.7 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 12.8 |
Eastern Germany
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
AfD | CDU | Linke | SPD | BSW | Grüne | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 6–9 Feb 2026 | 379 in East Germany | 35 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| YouGov | 9–12 Jan 2026 | 359 in East Germany | 35 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
| YouGov | 12–15 Dec 2025 | 424 in East Germany | 36 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| INSA | 5–8 Dec 2025 | 2,007 in all of Germany | 39.5 | 14 | 12 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 7 | 2.5 | 2 | 25.5 |
| YouGov | 14–17 Nov 2025 | 465 in East Germany | 35 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| INSA | 17–20 Oct 2025 | 2,006 in all of Germany | 40 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| YouGov | 10–13 Oct 2025 | 415 in East Germany | 36 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| YouGov | 12–15 Sep 2025 | 364 in East Germany | 37 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| INSA | 5–8 Sep 2025 | 2,006 in all of Germany | 36 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| YouGov | 15–18 Aug 2025 | 413 in East Germany | 36 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| INSA | 8–11 Aug 2025 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 37 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20 |
| YouGov | 11–14 Jul 2025 | 400 in East Germany | 36 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| INSA | 27–30 Jun 2025 | 2,008 in all of Germany | 34 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| YouGov | 13–16 Jun 2025 | 421 in East Germany | 32 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| YouGov | 9–12 May 2025 | 450 in East Germany | 36 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| YouGov | 25–28 Apr 2025 | 467 in East Germany | 35 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 2,002 in all of Germany | 38 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| YouGov | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 439 in East Germany | 35 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 34.6 | 18.4 | 12.8 | 10.9 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 16.2 |
Chancellor polling
Merz vs. Weidel vs. Klingbeil
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Merz Union |
Weidel AfD |
Klingbeil SPD |
None | Don't know |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 18–19 Dec 2025 | 1,001 | 20 | 26 | 12 | 31 | 11 |
Merz vs. Weidel
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Merz Union |
Weidel AfD |
None | Don't know |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 30 Oct – 3 Nov 2025 | 2,002 | 27 | 29 | 35 | 9 |
| INSA | 19–22 Sep 2025 | 2,002 | 27 | 29 | 34 | 10 |
| INSA | 27–30 Jun 2025 | 2,008 | 36 | 27 | 31 | 6 |
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 2,002 | 34 | 26 | 33 | 7 |
| INSA | 28–31 Mar 2025 | 2,006 | 35 | 27 | 33 | 5 |
| INSA | 21–24 Mar 2025 | 2,004 | 37 | 28 | 29 | 6 |
Preferred coalition
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Union AfD[b] |
Union SPD Grüne |
SPD Grüne Linke |
Union SPD Linke |
Union | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 27–30 Jun 2025 | 2,008 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 9 | |||||||
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2025 | 2,002 | 26 | 19 | – | 15 | 9 | |||||||
| INSA | 4–7 Apr 2025 | 2,008 | 27 | 19 | – | 14 | 10 | |||||||
Constituency projections
With the 2023 electoral reform fixing the number of seats to 630, constituency seats are only awarded if covered by the votes cast for the party in that state. As such, the number of constituency seats won by a party may be lower than that party's number of constituency pluralities.[14] In the 2025 German federal election, 23 constituency winners were left out.
Constituency pluralities
| Polling firm | Release date | Union | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| election.de[15] | 15 Jan 2026 | 180 | 52 | 45 | 15 | 7 |
| election.de[16] | 15 Dec 2025 | 182 | 52 | 43 | 15 | 7 |
| election.de[17] | 15 Nov 2025 | 181 | 52 | 45 | 14 | 7 |
| election.de[18] | 15 Oct 2025 | 183 | 52 | 43 | 13 | 8 |
| election.de[19] | 15 Sep 2025 | 186 | 49 | 43 | 14 | 7 |
| INSA | 15 Sep 2025 | 178 | 61 | 39 | 13 | 8 |
| INSA | 8 Sep 2025 | 172 | 73 | 34 | 12 | 8 |
| INSA | 1 Sep 2025 | 172 | 68 | 39 | 12 | 8 |
| INSA | 25 Aug 2025 | 159 | 73 | 48 | 12 | 7 |
| INSA | 18 Aug 2025 | 177 | 61 | 41 | 12 | 8 |
| election.de | 15 Aug 2025 | 188 | 49 | 41 | 14 | 7 |
| INSA | 11 Aug 2025 | 197 | 55 | 29 | 10 | 8 |
| INSA | 4 Aug 2025 | 194 | 54 | 36 | 10 | 5 |
| INSA | 28 Jul 2025 | 195 | 51 | 38 | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 21 Jul 2025 | 204 | 53 | 26 | 10 | 6 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2025 | 197 | 48 | 36 | 11 | 7 |
| INSA | 14 Jul 2025 | 191 | 49 | 40 | 13 | 6 |
| INSA | 7 Jul 2025 | 205 | 50 | 26 | 13 | 5 |
| INSA | 30 Jun 2025 | 190 | 46 | 43 | 14 | 6 |
| INSA | 23 Jun 2025 | 186 | 47 | 47 | 13 | 6 |
| INSA | 16 Jun 2025 | 184 | 48 | 46 | 16 | 5 |
| election.de | 15 Jun 2025 | 189 | 49 | 41 | 13 | 7 |
| INSA | 10 Jun 2025 | 195 | 47 | 44 | 10 | 3 |
| INSA | 2 Jun 2025 | 182 | 52 | 52 | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 26 May 2025 | 174 | 54 | 52 | 13 | 6 |
| INSA | 19 May 2025 | 180 | 55 | 44 | 15 | 5 |
| election.de | 15 May 2025 | 181 | 51 | 46 | 13 | 8 |
| INSA | 12 May 2025 | 160 | 61 | 60 | 14 | 4 |
| INSA | 5 May 2025 | 157 | 66 | 57 | 14 | 5 |
| INSA | 28 Apr 2025 | 158 | 69 | 51 | 16 | 5 |
| INSA | 22 Apr 2025 | 174 | 58 | 48 | 14 | 5 |
| election.de | 15 Apr 2025 | 181 | 50 | 47 | 14 | 7 |
| INSA | 14 Apr 2025 | 165 | 50 | 59 | 20 | 5 |
| INSA | 7 Apr 2025 | 160 | 65 | 56 | 13 | 5 |
| INSA | 31 Mar 2025 | 178 | 48 | 51 | 16 | 6 |
| INSA | 24 Mar 2025 | 192 | 52 | 35 | 12 | 8 |
| INSA | 17 Mar 2025 | 199 | 44 | 40 | 7 | 9 |
| election.de | 15 Mar 2025 | 192 | 45 | 43 | 11 | 8 |
| INSA | 10 Mar 2025 | 189 | 41 | 55 | 8 | 6 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 190 | 46 | 45 | 12 | 6 |
By probability
| Polling firm | Release date | Union | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | ||
| election.de[15] | 15 Jan 2026 | 32 | 92 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| election.de[16] | 15 Dec 2025 | 34 | 94 | 54 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 15 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| election.de[17] | 15 Nov 2025 | 34 | 96 | 51 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| election.de[18] | 15 Oct 2025 | 34 | 97 | 52 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| election.de[19] | 15 Sep 2025 | 51 | 92 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Aug 2025 | 58 | 85 | 45 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2025 | 80 | 78 | 39 | 31 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| election.de | 15 Jun 2025 | 57 | 87 | 45 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 May 2025 | 38 | 95 | 48 | 35 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| election.de | 15 Apr 2025 | 41 | 93 | 47 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| election.de | 15 Mar 2025 | 82 | 75 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 190 | 46 | 45 | 12 | 6 | ||||||||||
Second place
| Polling firm | Release date | SPD | Union | AfD | Grüne | Linke |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| election.de | 15 Jan 2026 | 67 | 77 | 131 | 20 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 Dec 2025 | 70 | 77 | 129 | 19 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 Nov 2025 | 70 | 77 | 128 | 20 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 Oct 2025 | 71 | 75 | 129 | 21 | 3 |
| election.de | 15 Sep 2025 | 79 | 78 | 117 | 21 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 Aug 2025 | 80 | 80 | 114 | 21 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 Jul 2025 | 89 | 78 | 104 | 24 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 Jun 2025 | 81 | 79 | 113 | 22 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 May 2025 | 72 | 81 | 122 | 21 | 3 |
| election.de | 15 Apr 2025 | 75 | 82 | 117 | 21 | 4 |
| election.de | 15 Mar 2025 | 94 | 82 | 96 | 24 | 3 |
| 2025 federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | 111 | 82 | 79 | 22 | 5 |
Notes
- ^ a b c Rounded from 4.98%, which is below the threshold for parliamentary representation in Germany.
- ^ Coalition would break the cordon sanitaire/firewall against the far-right in Germany with the AfD.
References
- ^ "Truth in Polling". europeelects.eu. Europe Elects. Retrieved 21 January 2025.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu "Sonntagsfrage – INSA (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Verian (Kantar Public, Emnid)". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 28 March 2025.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Sonntagsfrage – YouGov (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 26 March 2025.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av "Sonntagsfrage – Forsa (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de (in German).
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r "Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de (in German).
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Sonntagsfrage – Infratest dimap (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de (in German).
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Allensbach (Institut für Demoskopie)". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 27 March 2025.
- ^ a b c d e "Sonntagsfrage Bundestagswahl (weitere Institute)". Wahlrecht.de (in German).
- ^ "Sonntagsfrage – Ipsos (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 16 January 2026.
- ^ a b c d e f "GMS (Gesellschaft für Markt- und Sozialforschung)". Wahlrecht.de (in German). Retrieved 7 April 2025.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Sonntagsfrage – Ipsos (Wahlumfragen zur Bundestagswahl)". Wahlrecht.de (in German).
- ^ "Trends im Bund". wahlkreisprognose.de. 30 March 2020.
- ^ Kornmeier, Claudia. "Was das neue Wahlrecht vorsieht". tagesschau.de (in German). Retrieved 28 September 2024.
- ^ a b "Erststimmen-Prognose Bundestagswahl - Stand 15.01.2026". election.de (in German).
- ^ a b "Erststimmen-Prognose Bundestagswahl - Stand 15.12.2025". election.de (in German).
- ^ a b "Erststimmen-Prognose Bundestagswahl - Stand 15.11.2025". election.de (in German).
- ^ a b "Erststimmen-Prognose Bundestagswahl - Stand 15.10.2025". election.de (in German).
- ^ a b "Erststimmen-Prognose Bundestagswahl - Stand 15.09.2025". election.de (in German).
External links
- Wahlrecht.de (in German)
- pollytix-Wahltrend (in German)
- DAWUM Wahltrend (in German)
- X: @Wahlen_DE (in German)