Opinion polling for the 2025 Czech parliamentary election

Opinion polling for the 2025 Czech parliamentary election was conducted prior to and in the run-up to the election in October 2025. Polls were conducted up to 29 September 2025, after which election silence applies.

Polling industry

Political polling in Czechia has, compared to the European mean, a medium to high level of polling error. Pollsters with low Absolute Total Raw Error in the past elections include Phoenix, STEM, and SANEP. Higher Absolute Total Raw Error occurred for Ipsos, Kantar, and Median.

The pollster Phoenix has reportedly links to has people close to the party Trikolora and/or former president Václav Klaus. SANEP's Jan Fulín (managing director) received major financial contributions from chairman of the party SPD, Tomio Okamura.[1] Sanep's polls before the election showed SPD consistently stronger than other pollsters.

Polling aggregations

The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations

Vote share

Organisation Last update SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD Stačilo! Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL Piráti Z SPD Tricolour PRO SOCDEM KSČM
/
Mandáty.cz 29 Sep 2025 20 31 11 9 13 3 5 7 11
Politico 29 Sep 2025 19 30 12 10 13 2 7 7 11
Programy do voleb 29 Sep 2025 20.1 30.6 11.4 9.3 12.4 2.4 5.8 6.8 10.5

Seat projections

Organisation Last update SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD Stačilo! Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL Piráti Z SPD Tricolour PRO SOCDEM KSČM
/
Programy do voleb 26 Sep 2025 43 69 23 19 26 0 9 11 26
Mandáty.cz 30 Sep 2025 42 67 24 20 27 0 8 12 25

Party and election coalition polling

The polls in this section are done by individual party, or by the coalitions the parties are a part of for the election.

Graphical summary

Local regression graph of polls conducted since the 2021 election by party

Polls

The party in first has its cell shaded in the party's colour. Polling figures which are in bold indicate the relevant party is above the threshold to gain representation. Single party lists need to pass a 5% threshold, two-party coalitions need to pass an 8% threshold and three or more-party coalitions need to pass an 11% threshold.

From January 2025 until the election, STEM began to post weekly polls for CNN Prima News, which were a rolling sample including over 500 respondents each week, which incorporated the last 3 waves of respondents.[2]

Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD Stačilo! Others Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL Piráti Z SPD Tricolour PRO SOCDEM KSČM
/
2025 legislative election 3–4 Oct 2025 N/A 23.4 34.5 11.2 9.0 7.8 1.1 6.8 4.3 1.9 11.1
30 Sep–4 Oct 2025 Election silence applies and polls cannot be published.[3]
NMS 24–28 Sep 2025 1,497 17.8 29.5 11.8 9.6 13.1 1.6 7.7 7.3 1.6 11.7
Ipsos 22–28 Sep 2025 1,467 21.1 32.6 11.2 8.7 10.1 2.1 5.4 7.7 1.1 11.5
STEM 20–26 Sep 2025 1,434 20.5 29.3 11.7 10.1 13.4 3.2 5.9 5.5 0.4 8.8
Median 1–25 Sep 2025 1,019 21.0 30.5 10.0 10.0 13.0 2.0 4.5 7.0 2.0 9.5
STEM 18–24 Sep 2025 1,200 21.0 28.0 12.2 9.8 13.8 3.4 5.6 5.5 0.7 7
STEM/MARK[a] 16–22 Sep 2025 1,407 18.0 27.5 11.6 11.7 12.3 2.2 7.6 7.9 1.3 9.5
Lord Ashcroft Polls 8–22 Sep 2025 1,429 18.5 34.6 8.6 9.9 11.1 2.5 3.7 7.4 2.5 16.1
Kantar CZ 1–19 Sep 2025 1,042 19.5 33.0 13.0 9.5 9.5 2.0 6.0 6.0 1.5 13.5
STEM 28 Aug–16 Sep 2025 1,500 19.5 30.9 12.2 9.3 12.0 2.0 5.7 7.7 0.7 11.4
Sanep 3–12 Sep 2025 2,500 16.1 33.5 10.9 7.2 13.7 2.2 6.5 8.1 1.8 17.4
STEM 21 Aug–9 Sep 2025 1,547 20.2 31.3 10.0 10.0 12.5 2.2 6.0 7.4 0.5 11.1
NMS 1–7 Sep 2025 1,002 19.9 31.0 12.6 9.0 12.4 2.7 5.4 5.5 1.5 11.1
STEM 14 Aug–Sep 2025 1,550 20.3 30.7 10.5 9.2 12.9 2.9 5.5 7.4 0.7 10.4
Ipsos 27–31 Aug 2025 1,095 21.5 32.2 10.9 7.6 11.5 2.2 5.6 7.1 1.4 10.7
Median 1–31 Aug 2025 1,020 19.5 30.5 11.0 6.5 14.0 1.5 5.0 9.0 3.0 11.0
STEM 7–26 Aug 2025 1,543 20.9 31.2 10.1 8.9 12.8 3.4 5.1 6.5 1.1 10.3
Kantar CZ 4–22 Aug 2025 1,029 20.0 33.0 12.0 9.5 10.5 2.0 5.5 6.0 1.5 11.0
STEM 31 Jul–19 Aug 2025 1,500 21.3 32.7 10.9 8.5 11.0 3.3 3.9 7.0 1.4 12.4
Sanep 7–15 Aug 2025 2,400 15.9 33.1 10.1 8.7 14.8 2.1 4.9 8.5 1.9 17.2
STEM 24 Jul–12 Aug 2025 1,546 20.1 32.5 10.8 9.2 12.1 2.4 4.7 7.1 1.1 12.4
NMS 1–5 Aug 2025 1,014 18.7 29.8 10.7 8.8 14.6 2.6 5.7 8.2 0.9 11.1
STEM 17 Jul–5 Aug 2025 1,551 21.3 31.1 10.5 8.1 13.2 2.2 4.9 8.0 0.6 9.8
Ipsos 28 Jul–2 Aug 2025 1,021 21.9 34.9 10.0 8.6 11.4 2.0 3.9 6.3 1.1 13.0
Median 1–31 Jul 2025 1,015 19.5 33.0 11.0 7.5 14.0 1.5 4.5 3.0 5.0 1.0 13.5
STEM 10–29 Jul 2025 1,558 20.8 31.5 10.3 8.3 13.8 2.8 4.2 7.5 0.8 10.7
STEM 1–22 Jul 2025 1,559 21.2 32.9 12.0 7.6 12.5 1.9 4.1 7.2 0.6 11.7
17 Jul 2025 Stačilo! approved an agreement in which SOCDEM candidates run on their electoral list.[5]
STEM 24 Jun–15 Jul 2025 1,553 19.4 31.5 12.2 8.1 12.8 2.0 3.5 2.7 7.4 0.4 12.1
Sanep 1–10 Jul 2025 2,650 16.6 33.4 12.6 7.2 13.7 2.1 4.3 3.0 6.5 1.1 16.8
STEM 19 Jun–8 Jul 2025 1,553 19.9 30.9 13.2 8.0 12.4 2.2 3.5 3.2 6.3 0.4 11.0
NMS 2–7 Jul 2025 1,002 21.5 28.7 12.0 7.9 13.3 3.2 3.2 2.2 5.8 1.3 7.2
STEM 12 Jun–1 Jul 2025 1,559 20.5 30.9 12.3 7.9 13.9 2.7 4.0 2.4 5.0 0.9 10.4
Median 1–30 Jun 2025 1,022 19.0 32.0 9.0 8.0 – 14.0 2.5 5.5 1.5 5.5 2.5 13.0
Ipsos 24–29 Jun 2025 1,035 21.4 35.1 10.8 6.7 10.5 2.4 4.5 2.3 5.7 0.6 13.5
STEM 5–24 Jun 2025 1,555 20.8 31.9 10.6 7.8 13.0 2.9 4.8 2.9 4.6 0.7 11.1
23 Jun 2025 Zelení announced that its nominees will join the Pirates' list in 8 regions, not contesting the remaining 6.[6]
Kantar CZ 9–20 Jun 2025 1,016 21.0 33.5 11.5 7.5 2.0 11.5 – 4.5 – 4.5 4.0 12.5
STEM 30 May–17 Jun 2025 2,074 20.4 31.2 9.4 7.2 2.2 13.3 3.0 4.4 2.7 5.4 0.8 10.8
STEM 30 May–10 Jun 2025 1,551 21.6 31.2 10.6 6.7 1.8 13.1 1.8 4.4 3.0 5.0 0.7 9.6
Sanep 1–7 Jun 2025 2,730 15.8 33.1 12.2 5.9 14.5 2.0 4.9 3.2 6.6 1.8 17.3
STEM 23 May–4 Jun 2025[b] 1,552 22.3 30.1 10.8 6.2 1.6 13.1 1.9 4.0 3.6 5.5 0.9 7.8
NMS 30 May–3 Jun 2025 1,009 19.7 30.5 11.9 6.2 1.6 16.7 1.3 3.6 2.0 5.2 1.3 10.8
Ipsos 26 May–1 Jun 2025 1,006 20.6 34.1 9.9 6.0 2.7 10.1 2.1 4.6 2.7 6.4 0.8 13.5
Median 1–31 May 2025 1,012 21.0 32.0 10.5 5.5 – 13.5 – 3.0 2.0 6.5 3.5 11.0
30 May 2025 Minister of Justice Pavel Blažek resigns over a money laundering scandal.[7]
Kantar CZ 12–30 May 2025 1,200 21.0 34.5 12.0 6.5 – 10.5 – 5.0 2.0 4.5 4.0 13.5
STEM 9–27 May 2025 1,552 21.8 31.6 11.4 6.1 1.4 12.8 2.1 3.6 3.1 5.4 0.7 9.8
STEM 30 Apr–20 May 2025 1,551 20.7 32.3 11.2 7.3 2.1 12.6 1.7 2.8 2.2 6.7 0.4 11.6
STEM 25 Apr–13 May 2025 1,548 20.9 32.4 10.0 6.7 2.2 12.7 1.9 3.6 2.4 6.6 0.6 11.5
NMS 6–12 May 2025 1,004 21.7 30.3 9.9 6.1 1.8 13.7 2.7 4.9 2.8 4.6 1.5 8.6
Sanep 1–9 May 2025 2,650 18.7 31.9 10.2 7.0 12.8 2.6 4.9 3.8 6.5 1.6 13.2
STEM 18 Apr–6 May 2025 1,568 20.2 30.7 10.0 6.6 2.5 12.6 2.0 4.5 3.5 6.5 0.9 10.5
Ipsos 28 Apr–4 May 2025 1,045 21.7 34.4 9.8 6.1 2.1 10.4 2.4 4.5 1.8 5.8 1.1 12.7
Kantar CZ 14 Apr–2 May 2025 1,025 19.5 35.0 12.5 6.5 2.0 10.0 – 6.0 2.0 4.5 2.0 15.5
Median 1–30 Apr 2025 1,021 20.5 33.0 10.0 5.5 – 11.0 – 7.0 4.5 5.0 3.5 12.5
STEM 11–29 Apr 2025 1,582 19.8 31.5 9.7 6.3 2.0 12.6 2.5 4.8 3.3 6.3 1.2 11.7
STEM 1–22 Apr 2025 1,596 19.5 32.2 10.1 5.9 2.4 11.6 2.6 5.4 3.8 5.8 0.8 12.7
STEM 24 Mar–15 Apr 2025 2,103 19.8 33.0 10.8 6.5 2.0 11.1 2.5 5.0 3.4 5.2 0.7 13.2
NMS 2–9 Apr 2025 1,000 20.9 28.1 12.2 5.9 2.0 12.5 2.8 6.0 2.5 5.2 1.9 7.2
Sanep 1–8 Apr 2025 2,500 19.2 33.4 11.3 5.0 1.7 10.4 2.0 6.2 3.0 5.9 1.9 14.2
STEM 21 Mar–8 Apr 2025 2,096 19.9 31.6 11.9 6.4 2.0 10.5 2.4 6.0 3.0 5.4 0.9 11.7
Kantar CZ 17 Mar–4 Apr 2025 1,035 19.0 35.5 12.0 6.0 2.0 7.0 – – – 2.0 6.5 2.0 4.5 3.5 16.5
STEM 14 Mar–1 Apr 2025 1,567 19.9 31.4 11.3 6.8 2.2 10.7 1.8 6.2 3.6 5.7 0.4 11.5
Median 1–31 Mar 2025 1,025 18.5 32.5 13.0 8.0 – 7.5 – – – – 6.0 2.5 5.5 6.5 14.0
Ipsos 24–28 Mar 2025 1,059 20.9 35.8 10.3 5.8 1.0 9.8 1.4 5.0 3.5 5.1 1.4 14.9
STEM 7–25 Mar 2025 1,550 20.0 31.1 11.8 5.8 1.8 8.9 – 1.6 – 1.9 6.7 2.6 6.3 1.5 11.1
21 Mar 2025 The leaders of Tricolour, SVO and PRO agree to stand candidates on the SPD's list in the next election.[8]
STEM 28 Feb–18 Mar 2025 1,560 18.7 32.7 11.1 6.3 1.5 7.8 – 2.3 – 2.8 6.4 2.1 6.5 1.8 14.0
STEM 21 Feb–11 Mar 2025 1,579 17.3 33.7 10.6 6.9 1.6 8.9 – 1.8 – 2.9 5.3 2.7 5.9 2.4 16.4
Sanep 1–8 Mar 2025 2,300 18.1 34.2 11.1 4.8 1.7 7.6 0.8 1.7 1.9 2.5 4.9 2.2 5.8 2.7 16.1
NMS 28 Feb–5 Mar 2025 1,013 19.0 31.3 13.8 5.4 1.6 7.2 1.6 1.6 1.0 2.5 6.9 2.3 5.5 0.3 12.3
STEM 14 Feb–4 Mar 2025 1,579 17.1 35.6 10.9 7.3 1.9 7.5 – 2.7 – 2.6 4.5 2.6 5.4 1.9 18.5
Ipsos 24–28 Feb 2025 1,035 20.6 36.4 10.6 5.1 1.3 7.5 0.6 2.1 1.1 2.0 4.8 2.6 4.8 0.3 15.8
Kantar CZ 10–28 Feb 2025 1,200 17.5 37.5 12.5 6.5 2.0 6.5 – – – – 6.0 – 3.5 8.0 20.0
Median 1–28 Feb 2025 1,019 18.5 33.5 10.0 6.0 – 7.0 2.0 – – – 8.0 3.5 6.5 5.0 15.0
STEM 7–25 Feb 2025 1,571 16.2 33.6 12.9 6.8 2.1 8.1 – 2.9 – 2.5 5.0 2.5 5.7 1.7 17.4
STEM 31 Jan–18 Feb 2025 ? 18.5 34.7 11.4 5.9 2.0 8.1 – 2.1 – 2.9 4.5 2.3 5.7 1.9 16.2
STEM 24 Jan–11 Feb 2025 1,548 19.0 34.1 11.1 5.3 2.3 8.2 – 1.3 – 2.9 4.2 3.0 6.9 1.7 15.1
NMS 4–9 Feb 2025 1,003 18.7 34.5 12.2 4.8 1.9 7.8 0.5 1.9 0.5 3.6 4.8 2.8 5.2 0.8 15.8
Sanep 3–8 Feb 2025 2,450 17.7 35.6 11.5 5.5 1.4 7.8 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.4 4.3 2.1 5.6 2.2 17.9
STEM 17 Jan–4 Feb 2025 1,538 19.8 35.3 10.3 5.3 2.6 8.1 – 1.5 – 2.1 4.5 2.5 6.7 1.3 15.5
Kantar CZ 13–31 Jan 2025 1,019 19.0 33.5 12.5 7.5 – 6.5 – – – 2.0 7.5 – 3.5 8.0 14.5
Median 7–31 Jan 2025 1,041 17.0 33.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 8.0 2.5 – – 2.0 8.0 3.5 6.0 3.0 16.0
Ipsos 24–29 Jan 2025 1,006 20.5 36.7 12.0 5.0 1.5 5.7 0.7 0.9 1.6 1.9 5.4 1.6 5.5 0.9 16.2
STEM 10–28 Jan 2025 1,549 18.8 35.1 10.6 6.4 2.1 8.7 – 1.6 1.0 2.1 4.1 2.8 5.8 0.9 16.3
STEM 3–21 Jan 2025 2,573 18.2 34.9 11.1 6.7 1.8 8.5 – 1.8 1.2 2.3 3.9 3.3 5.0 1.3 16.7
16 Jan 2025 Přísaha and Motorists dissolves.
STEM 3–14 Jan 2025 2,056 18.1 34.4 9.9 7.3 1.9 8.2 – 1.5 1.7 2.8 4.9 3.0 4.9 1.3 16.3
NMS 9–13 Jan 2025 1,002 17.1 32.3 12.4 6.1 2.2 6.9 1.1 1.7 1.7 4.0 5.9 2.5 5.1 1.0 15.2
STEM 3–7 Jan 2025 1,533 18.4 33.9 9.4 6.8 1.9 8.1 – 1.5 1.9 3.0 5.0 2.9 5.3 1.9 15.5
NMS 3–9 Dec 2024 1,001 18.3 33.6 11.2 5.9 1.7 7.9 1.6 0.9 1.3 2.3 5.3 3.7 5.2 1.1 15.3
16 Nov 2024 Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia announces it will lead the Stačilo! list.[9]
STEM 31 Oct–8 Nov 2024 1,081 21.1 33.7 8.4 5.9 2.4 8.9 0.6 2.1 1.1 2.6 4.1 3.0 5.5 0.6 12.6
Kantar CZ 21 Oct–8 Nov 2024 1,200 21.0 37.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 7.0 – – – – 2.5 2.0 3.5 6.0 16.0
15.0 4.0 3.0 37.0 11.5 7.0 2.0 7.0 – – – – 2.5 2.0 3.5 5.5 22.0
Median 1–31 Oct 2024 1,018 12.0 3.5 4.0 33.5 11.0 6.5 – 5.0 – – 2.0 3.5 6.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 21.5
28 Oct 2024 The leaders of ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 sign an agreement to run in the next election as SPOLU again.[10]
STEM 2–11 Oct 2024 1,093 14.2 2.7 3.7 32.1 10.6 5.9 1.1 9.4 1.1 1.6 – 4.6 3.2 2.6 5.3 1.9 17.9
Kantar CZ 30 Sep–11 Oct 2024 1,019 14.5 3.5 4.5 35.5 13.0 5.0 – 6.5 – 2.0 – 3.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 4.5 21.0
NMS 4–9 Oct 2024 1,301 12.2 2.7 3.8 32.9 12.0 6.8 2.0 7.5 – – – 4.3 3.6 2.9 4.6 4.7 20.7
1 Oct 2024 Czech Pirate Party leaves the Government.
Median 1–30 Sep 2024 1,020 11.5 2.0 4.5 33.0 11.0 8.5 2.0 7.0 – – 2.0 4.5 3.5 4.0 4.5 2.0 21.5
NMS 3–10 Sep 2024 1,297 11.3 1.9 4.5 32.1 9.2 7.8 2.2 7.7 1.1 2.3 1.1 5.2 5.5 2.5 4.5 5.2 20.8
STEM 29 Aug–8 Sep 2024 1,095 14.9 3.5 5.6 33.4 6.8 7.8 2.7 7.4 1.0 1.8 1.0 3.3 2.6 2.8 4.6 0.9 18.5
Phoenix Research[c] 1–8 Sep 2024 1,005 14.8 5.4 4.2 26.5 6.4 8.3 – 7.0 – – 1.0 5.1 – 1.4 5.1 14.8 11.7
Median 1–31 Aug 2024 1,011 13.0 3.5 4.5 32.5 9.5 9.5 2.0 11.0 – – 2.0 3.5 – 2.0 3.5 2.5 19.5
NMS 1–8 Aug 2024 1,291 14.3 2.4 4.7 29.3 9.6 8.0 2.3 6.0 1.0 1.7 1.5 4.6 4.1 2.8 5.7 2.0 15.0
Median 1–31 July 2024 1,013 14.0 2.5 4.0 33.0 9.0 8.0 2.5 8.0 2.0 – 2.0 5.0 – 3.5 4.0 2.5 19.0
Phoenix Research[c] Jul 2024 ? 14.5 3.8 5.5 26.9 7.2 7.7 – 5.8 – – – – – – 4.1 24.5 12.4
NMS 4–12 Jul 2024 1,307 11.3 3.2 5.2 28.2 10.1 9.1 1.6 6.9 1.2 3.2 1.4 7.2 – 3.2 5.6 2.6 16.9
Median 1–30 Jun 2024 1,003 12.0 4.5 5.0 30.5 9.0 10.5 2.0 8.5 – – 1.5 5.0 – 2.5 4.5 4.5 18.5
Kantar CZ 10–21 Jun 2024 1,035 16.0 3.0 4.0 34.0 8.5 9.0 2.5 6.0 – 2.5 – 4.5 – 2.5 3.0 4.5 18.0
2024 European Parliament Election 7–8 Jun 2024 N/A 22.3 26.1 8.7 6.2 1.6 5.7 1.8 2.2 10.3 1.9 9.6 2.9 3.8
STEM Jun 2024 1,609 14.8 2.5 4.5 32.9 6.8 8.7 2.0 7.3 1.7 2.0 1.9 3.7 2.7 2.5 5.1 0.9 18.1
Median 6–31 May 2024 1,031 14.5 2.0 5.5 33.0 8.5 10.0 1.5 7.5 1.5 – 3.0 3.0 – 3.5 4.0 2.0 18.5
Sanep 15–23 May 2024 2,300 10.4 2.2 3.9 32.1 6.5 11.1 – 10.1 – 4.0 6.1 3.8 – 3.7 3.3 2.8 21.0
Kantar CZ 22 Apr–10 May 2024 1,008 15.5 3.5 5.0 32.0 7.5 11.0 2.5 9.0 – – – 3.5 – 3.0 2.5 5.0 16.5
Sanep 18–24 Apr 2024 1,900 12.1 1.8 4.1 32.6 5.8 10.7 – 10.3 – 3.6 5.8 3.2 – 3.1 3.8 3.1 20.5
Median 5 Mar–3 Apr 2024 1,041 14.0 3.5 3.5 32.0 6.0 10.5 3.0 7.0 2.0 – 4.0 3.5 – 4.5 4.5 2.0 18.0
Kantar CZ 18 Mar–5 Apr 2024 1,015 16.0 3.0 4.5 34.5 6.5 10.5 2.0 8.0 – 2.5 2.0 2.5 – 3.0 3.0 2.0 18.5
Sanep 25–31 Mar 2024 1,700 10.1 1.5 4.2 33.5 7.1 11.3 – 11.1 – 3.5 5.3 3.4 – 2.3 3.5 3.2 21.6
STEM 15–25 Mar 2024 1,096 14.5 3.1 5.2 32.9 6.6 10.5 2.1 9.3 0.8 1.9 1.9 2.8 – 3.6 4.5 0.4 18.4
Median 1 Feb–4 Mar 2024 1006 12.5 3.0 5.5 31.0 9.0 11.0 2.0 9.5 – – 2.0 3.0 – 4.5 4.0 3.0 18.5
Kantar CZ 12 Feb–1 Mar 2024 1,015 14.5 2.0 5.0 38.5 7.0 9.5 – 9.0 – – – – – 2.5 2.5 9.5 24.0
Sanep 22–28 Feb 2024 1,560 10.3 1.6 4.4 33.1 6.4 11.2 – 11.5 – 3.7 5.5 3.5 – 2.5 3.2 3.1 21.6
Kantar CZ 15 Jan–2 Feb 2024 1,013 15.5 3.5 5.0 35.0 6.5 9.5 – 9.5 – 2.5 – 3.5 – 4.0 3.0 2.5 19.5
Median 15 Jan–1 Feb 2024 1019 12.0 3.0 5.5 31.5 7.0 13.0 1.5 10.5 – – 3.0 3.0 – 4.0 4.5 1.5 18.5
Sanep 22–29 Jan 2024 1,427 10.5 1.7 4.3 33.4 6.1 10.5 – 11.7 – 2.7 5.3 3.6 – 2.4 2.9 4.9 21.7
29 Jan 2024 The leaders of Přísaha and Motorists for Themselves sign an agreement to run in the next election as Přísaha and Motorists.
STEM 18–27 Jan 2024 1,092 13.2 2.7 5.0 33.4 7.0 11.3 2.5 10.0 1.4 1.7 0.7 2.6 – 3.1 4.8 0.5 20.2
Median 29 Nov–30 Dec 2023 988 13.0 2.5 6.0 35.0 6.5 10.5 1.5 9.0 – – 2.5 2.5 – 4.5 4.5 2.0 22.0
Sanep 23–29 Nov 2023 1,756 11.3 2.6 4.7 33.0 5.8 9.9 – 11.2 – 2.7 5.8 2.6 – 2.8 3.1 5.1 21.7
STEM Nov 2023 1,097 11.6 3.5 5.2 33.2 6.4 10.2 1.6 12.0 1.2 2.3 1.9 2.9 – 4.5 3.0 0.4 21.2
Sanep 19–25 Oct 2023 1,826 11.6 3.6 4.7 33.1 5.6 8.9 – 10.3 – 2.4 5.2 2.7 – 3.1 2.9 5.3 21.5
Kantar CZ 16 Oct–3 Nov 2023 1,200 15.5 2.5 4.5 32.5 7.0 10.5 – 10.5 – – 2.0 2.5 – 3.5 3.5 5.5 17.0
Median 3–31 Oct 2023 1,016 13.5 3.5 6.0 35.0 6.0 9.0 1.5 10.5 – – 2.5 3.0 – 3.5 3.0 3.0 21.5
Median 5 Sep–2 Oct 2023 1,017 13.0 4.0 5.5 34.0 6.5 11.5 2.0 9.5 – – 2.5 – – 4.0 4.5 3.0 21.0
Sanep 21–27 Sep 2023 1,632 11.8 3.7 4.6 32.9 5.2 9.1 – 10.2 – 2.2 5.7 2.8 – 2.7 3.2 5.9 21.1
Kantar CZ 11–29 Sep 2023 982 12.0 3.5 5.0 33.5 7.5 8.5 2.0 9.5 – 3.0 3.0 4.0 – 3.5 3.0 2.0 21.5
STEM 7–17 Sep 2023 1,123 13.1 5.0 5.4 30.8 5.3 9.6 2.7 10.9 1.1 2.8 1.2 3.2 – 4.0 4.3 0.6 17.7
Median 1 Jul–8 Aug 2023 1,019 15.0 4.0 5.5 33.0 6.5 12.0 1.5 8.0 – – 1.5 3.0 – 5.0 3.0 1.5 18.0
Median 12–30 Jun 2023 1,007 14.0 2.0 5.0 35.5 5.5 11.0 2.5 10.0 2.5 – 1.5 2.5 – 4.0 2.5 1.5 21.5
Kantar CZ 15 May–2 Jun 2023 962 17.0 4.0 3.5 33.5 6.5 11.5 2.0 8.0 – – 2.0 2.5 – 3.0 3.5 3.0 16.5
Median 1 May–2 Jun 2023 1,012 15.0 4.0 5.5 34.5 6.0 10.5 – 8.5 2.5 – – 2.0 – 4.0 3.5 4.0 19.5
STEM 18–29 May 2023 1,141 14.6 3.4 4.7 33.5 5.8 10.8 2.3 9.3 1.4 2.2 1.2 2.9 – 4.1 3.8 0.2 18.9
Kantar CZ 17 Apr–5 May 2023 981 17.0 5.0 5.0 30.5 6.0 11.0 2.0 9.0 – – 2.0 2.5 – 5.5 2.5 2.0 13.5
Median 1 Apr–2 May 2023 1,015 15.0 5.5 4.5 31.0 7.5 10.5 2.0 8.5 1.5 – – 2.0 – 4.0 4.0 4.0 16.0
Sanep 20–26 Apr 2023 1,543 13.2 3.8 4.2 33.5 4.7 10.1 – 9.4 – – 6.7 – – – – 14.4 20.3
Phoenix Research[c] Apr 2023 – 14.2 3.1 5.3 31.5 7.8 8.9 – 9.6 – – 5.2 – – 1.6 – 12.8 17.3
Kantar CZ 20 Mar–6 Apr 2023 970 20.0 3.0 4.0 29.5 5.5 11.0 – 8.0 – – 3.0 3.5 – 5.0 2.5 5.0 9.5
Median 2 Mar–3 Apr 2023 1,006 15.5 4.0 5.0 34.5 8.0 8.5 2.0 10.0 3.0 – – 2.0 – 4.0 3.0 1.5 19.0
Sanep 23–29 Mar 2023 1,432 13.3 4.1 3.4 33.1 4.3 9.9 – 9.6 – – 6.4 – – – – 15.9 19.8
Median 12 Feb–7 Mar 2023 1,011 14.5 3.5 5.0 32.0 7.0 11.5 2.0 9.5 1.5 – – 2.5 – 5.0 3.5 2.5 17.5
Kantar CZ 13 Feb–3 Mar 2023 951 21.5 4.0 5.0 29.5 7.0 9.0 – 8.5 – – – 2.5 – 4.5 2.0 6.5 8.0
Phoenix[c] Feb–Mar 2023 1,022 14.1 5.8 6.5 27.6 5.6 8.9 – 9.5 – – 4.3 – – 2.2 1.2 14.3 13.5
Sanep 9–12 Feb 2023 1,536 13.5 3.1 3.9 32.7 4.6 7.9 – 9.3 – – 6.1 – – 3.0 – 15.9 19.2
STEM 29 Nov–5 Dec 2022 2,005 13.9 4.9 4.6 30.8 6.4 9.4 – 12.4 – – – – – 4.0 4.2 9.5 16.9
Kantar CZ 17 Oct–4 Nov 2022 1,200 21.5 3.5 5.5 26.5 6.0 11.5 – 11.0 2.0 – – 2.5 – 3.5 2.5 4.0 5.0
Median 1–31 Oct 2022 1,005 13.5 6.0 5.0 31.5 5.5 11.0 2.0 12.0 1.5 – – 2.0 – 5.5 2.0 2.5 18.0
Kantar CZ 12–30 Sep 2022 997 18.0 6.0 4.0 29.5 7.5 9.0 2.0 11.5 – – – 4.0 – 2.5 2.0 4.0 11.5
Median 1–30 Sep 2022 1,010 16.0 2.5 6.0 30.5 5.5 11.0 2.0 11.5 2.0 – – 3.0 – 4.5 2.5 2.5 14.5
Sanep 8–14 Sep 2022 1,678 13.1 3.4 3.9 29.9 4.5 7.4 – 12.6 – – 5.3 – – – 3.5 16.4 15.7
STEM 1–8 Sep 2022 2,003 14.2 4.5 5.0 30.0 5.0 9.4 – 14.3 – – – 3.5 – 4.0 – 10.1 15.7
Kantar CZ 15 Aug–2 Sep 2022 893 19.5 4.0 4.5 30.5 6.5 8.5 – 11.0 – 2.0 – 3.0 – 3.0 3.5 4.0 11.0
Median 1–31 Aug 2022 1,005 16.0 3.5 3.5 29.0 4.0 11.5 2.0 14.0 2.0 – – 3.5 – 5.0 3.5 2.5 13.0
Sanep 25–30 Aug 2022 1,632 13.9 3.6 3.4 31.1 4.2 7.2 – 13.1 – – 3.9 – – 3.1 – 16.5 17.2
STEM 4–11 Aug 2022 2,093 15.5 3.4 5.6 31.1 5.5 9.3 – 11.9 – – – – – 4.8 3.4 9.6 15.6
Median 8 Jul–2 Aug 2022 1,005 15.5 4.5 5.0 30.0 5.5 10.5 2.0 12.5 2.5 – – 3.0 – 5.0 2.5 1.5 14.5
Median 20 Jun–4 Jul 2022 1,543 16.1 4.6 5.2 29.0 4.8 11.8 1.8 12.5 1.6 – 2.2 – 5.6 2.8 1.8 12.9
Sanep 23–27 Jun 2022 1,543 16.1 4.1 3.1 29.2 4.9 5.7 – 13.7 – 3.5 – – – 3.0 – 16.7 13.1
Kantar CZ 16 May–2 Jun 2022 962 22.5 3.5 4.0 28.0 6.5 8.5 2.0 11.0 – – – 2.0 – 4.5 2.5 5.0 5.5
Median 1 May–2 Jun 2022 1,018 16.5 4.5 4.5 28.5 8.5 9.0 – 11.5 2.5 – – 3.0 – 5.5 3.0 3.0 12.0
Sanep 26–30 May 2022 1,429 19.6 4.0 3.3 30.1 7.8 4.6 1.0 14.3 – 3.6 – – – 2.3 – 9.4 10.5
Kantar CZ 8–29 Apr 2022 1,200 26.0 4.5 3.0 27.5 10.0 5.0 2.0 11.0 – – – 3.0 – 2.5 2.0 3.5 1.0
Sanep 13–20 Apr 2022 1,631 19.8 3.9 6.2 28.1 8.7 4.8 0.8 12.9 – 3.3 – – – 2.6 – 8.9 8.3
Kantar CZ 14 Mar–1 Apr 2022 1,200 22.5 4.0 5.0 27.5 10.0 7.5 – 9.5 2.0 – – 3.5 – 2.5 2.5 3.5 5.0
Sanep 10–16 Mar 2022 1,673 19.1 4.8 6.5 27.9 9.8 5.1 0.9 12.7 – 3.4 – – – 3.0 – 6.8 8.8
Kantar CZ 14 Feb–4 Mar 2022 1,200 21.0 5.5 6.5 25.0 11.0 7.5 – 11.5 – – – 3.0 – 3.0 2.0 4.0 4.0
Sanep 24–28 Feb 2022 1,673 17.3 4.6 6.4 28.7 9.5 5.2 1.2 11.2 – 2.1 – – – 3.7 2.4 7.7 11.4
Phoenix[d] Feb 2022 1,066 15.4 6.5 5.1 26.4 10.3 7.1 – 7.5 – – – – – – – – 11.0
Sanep 20–26 Jan 2022 1,839 14.7 4.1 6.0 29.1 9.2 5.4 1.2 11.3 – 1.8 – – – 4.2 3.2 6.9 14.4
Sanep 18–24 Nov 2021 1,912 14.1 4.3 6.2 27.6 10.7 7.6 1.0 9.9 – – – 3.2 – 5.1 3.8 6.5 13.5
Kantar CZ 1–19 Nov 2021 935 15.5 3.5 7.0 27.0 13.0 8.0 – 9.5 2.5 – – 2.5 – 4.0 3.5 4.0 11.5
6 Nov 2021 Pirates and Mayors dissolves.
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 1.0 9.6 2.8 N/A 4.7 N/A 4.7 3.6 2.9 0.7

Seat projections

The Czech Chamber of Deputies has 200 seats, 101 seats are needed for a majority.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD Stačilo! Lead Gov. Opp.
ODS KDU–ČSL Piráti Z SPD Tricolour PRO SOCDEM KSČM
/
2025 legislative election 3–4 Oct 2025 52 80 22 18 15 0 13 0 28 74 126
27[e] 16 9 80[f] 22[g] 18[h] 15[i] 0 13[j] 0 53
NMS 24–28 Sep 2025 38 66 23 19 26 0 15 13 28 61 139
STEM 20–26 Sep 2025 44 66 24 21 27 0 10 8 22 68 132
Median 1–25 Sep 2025 46 67 22 22 28 0 0 15 21 68 132
STEM 18–24 Sep 2025 46 63 25 20 29 0 9 8 17 71 129
STEM 28 Aug–16 Sep 2025 41 68 24 19 24 0 9 15 27 65 135
Sanep 3–12 Sep 2025 35 76 22 13 30 0 10 14 41 57 143
STEM 21 Aug–9 Sep 2025 42 69 20 20 26 0 10 13 27 62 138
NMS 1 Sep–7 Sep 2025 43 71 26 18 25 0 8 9 28 69 131
STEM 14 Aug–2 Sep 2025 43 68 21 19 27 0 8 14 25 64 136
STEM 7–26 Aug 2025 46 69 20 19 27 0 7 12 23 66 134
STEM 31 Jul–19 Aug 2025 47 77 22 18 23 0 0 13 30 69 131
STEM 24 Jul–12 Aug 2025 45 75 22 19 25 0 0 14 30 67 133
NMS 1–5 Aug 2025 41 66 21 17 30 0 8 17 25 62 138
STEM 17 Jul–5 Aug 2025 47 73 21 16 27 0 0 16 26 68 132
Median 1 Jul–31 Jul 2025 44 73 25 16 31 0 0 0 11 29 69 131
STEM 10 Jul–29 Jul 2025 46 73 21 16 28 0 0 16 27 67 133
STEM 1 Jul–22 Jul 2025 47 75 24 14 26 0 0 14 28 71 129
STEM 24 Jun–15 Jul 2025 43 73 25 16 27 0 0 0 16 30 68 132
STEM 19 Jun–8 Jul 2025 47 74 26 17 29 0 0 0 10 27 73 127
NMS 2–7 Jul 2025 50 69 25 17 29 0 0 0 10 19 75 125
STEM 12 Jun–1 Jul 2025 47 74 26 17 29 0 0 0 7 27 73 127
STEM 5–24 Jun 2025 52 81 21 18 28 0 0 0 0 29 73 127
STEM 30 May–17 Jun 2025 48 78 21 15 0 29 0 0 0 9 30 69 131
STEM 30 May–10 Jun 2025 52 77 23 12 0 28 0 0 0 8 25 75 125
STEM 23 May–4 Jun 2025 55 74 23 10 0 29 0 0 0 9 19 78 122
NMS 30 May–3 Jun 2025 45 74 25 10 0 38 0 0 0 8 29 70 130
Median 1–31 May 2025 47 72 24 12 0 30 0 0 0 15 25 71 129
Kantar CZ 12–30 May 2025 53 84 27 13 0 23 0 0 0 0 31 80 120
STEM 9–27 May 2025 52 77 25 10 0 28 0 0 0 8 25 77 123
STEM 30 Apr–20 May 2025 47 77 23 14 0 27 0 0 0 12 30 70 130
STEM 25 Apr–13 May 2025 47 77 23 14 0 27 0 0 0 12 30 70 130
NMS 6–12 May 2025 55 80 21 10 0 34 0 0 0 0 25 76 124
STEM 18 Apr–6 May 2025 48 76 23 12 0 28 0 0 0 13 28 71 129
Median 1–30 Apr 2025 44 70 20 14 0 24 0 15 0 13 26 64 136
STEM 11–29 Apr 2025 48 80 22 10 0 28 0 0 0 12 32 70 130
STEM 1–22 Apr 2025 46 77 22 10 0 26 0 9 0 10 31 68 132
STEM 24 Mar–15 Apr 2025 46 79 23 11 0 25 0 8 0 8 33 69 131
NMS 2–9 Apr 2025 48 68 27 10 0 28 0 10 0 9 20 75 125
STEM 21 Mar–8 Apr 2025 46 75 25 11 0 23 0 11 0 9 29 71 129
STEM 14 Mar–1 Apr 2025 46 75 24 11 0 23 0 12 0 9 29 70 130
STEM 7–25 Mar 2025 46 75 25 10 0 19 0 0 0 0 13 0 12 29 71 129
STEM 28 Feb–18 Mar 2025 43 80 24 11 0 16 0 0 0 0 13 0 13 37 67 133
STEM 21 Feb–11 Mar 41 83 24 13 0 19 0 0 0 0 9 0 11 42 65 135
NMS 28 Feb–5 Mar 2025 44 77 32 9 0 15 0 0 0 0 14 0 9 33 72 128
STEM 14 Feb–4 Mar 2025 41 93 24 16 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 52 65 135
STEM 31 Jan–27 Feb 2025 38 83 28 13 0 18 0 0 0 0 9 0 11 45 66 134
NMS 4–9 Feb 2025 50 94 30 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 44 80 120
STEM 17 Jan–4 Feb 2025 47 88 23 9 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 41 70 130
STEM 10–28 Jan 2025 46 89 24 10 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 43 70 130
STEM 3–21 Jan 2025 46 89 25 13 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 43 71 129
STEM 3–14 Jan 2025 46 95 22 19 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 68 132
NMS 9–13 Jan 2025 42 83 29 11 0 15 0 0 0 0 11 0 9 41 71 129
STEM 7–9 Jan 2025 44 85 22 13 0 18 0 0 0 0 9 0 9 41 66 134
Median 21 Nov–31 Dec 2024 30 0 0 88 34 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 0 14 58 64 136
NMS 3–9 Dec 2024 44 84 25 11 0 18 0 0 0 0 9 0 9 40 69 131
Median 1–30 Nov 2024 29 0 0 82 25 16 0 16 0 0 0 0 16 0 16 53 54 146
Median 1–31 Oct 2024 30 0 0 85 27 16 0 13 0 0 0 0 16 0 13 55 57 143
Median 1–30 Sep 2024 34 0 0 86 30 25 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 89 111
Median 1–31 Aug 2024 34 0 0 86 25 25 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 84 116
Median 1–31 July 2024 35 0 0 85 24 21 0 21 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 50 80 120
Median 1–30 Jun 2024 30 0 13 74 22 26 0 22 0 0 0 13 0 0 0 44 91 109
Kantar CZ 10–21 Jun 2024 43 0 0 95 18 25 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 86 114
Median 6–31 May 2024 31 0 15 79 24 29 0 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 99 101
Kantar CZ 22 Apr–10 May 2024 41 0 0 96 15 26 0 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 55 82 118
Median 5 Apr–2 May 2024 35 0 0 89 22 27 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 84 116
Median 5 Mar–3 Apr 2024 41 0 0 92 17 30 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 51 88 112
Median 1 Feb–4 Mar 2024 31 0 15 79 22 29 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 97 103
Kantar CZ 12 Feb–1 Mar 2024 35 0 9 95 15 24 0 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 83 117
Median 15 Jan–1 Feb 2024 30 0 14 79 17 33 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 94 106
Median 29 Nov–30 Dec 2023 33 0 15 87 15 27 0 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 90 110
Median 3–31 Oct 2023 35 0 15 87 15 23 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 86 114
Median 5 Sep–2 Oct 2023 35 0 13 85 16 29 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 91 109
Median 1 Jul–8 Aug 2023 35 0 12 77 16 29 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 12 0 42 92 108
Median 12–30 Jun 2023 37 0 14 87 15 26 0 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 92 108
Median 1 May–2 Jun 2023 37 0 14 87 15 26 0 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 92 108
Kantar CZ 17 Apr–5 May 2023 49 0 0 81 14 25 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 32 88 112
Median 2 Mar–3 Apr 2023 38 0 12 85 20 21 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 91 109
STEM 1–18 Sep 2022 37 0 11 82 11 22 0 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 81 119
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 71 72 37 0 20 0 N/A 0 N/A 0 0 1 108 92
34 23 14 72 33 4 0 20 0 0 0 0 0 38

Hypothetical scenarios

European Parliament election coalitions

The polls in this section took place following the 2024 European Parliament elections. The SPOLU coalition was reformed; Přísaha joined with the Motorists; KSČM created the Stačilo! coalition; SPD and Tricolour formed a joint list.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti PRO SPD Tricolour SOC DEM KSČM
/ 		Z Others Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL
SANEP 5–11 Sep 2024 2,250 19.5 30.2 8.4 7.1 – 13.8 1.5 6.5 2.5 5.9 2.0 2.6 10.5
NMS 1–8 Aug 2024 1,291 21.4 29.3 9.6 8.0 8.5 1.7 8.7 2.8 5.7 2.3 2.0 7.9
2024 European Parliament Election 7–8 Jun 2024 N/A 22.3 26.1 8.7 6.2 2.2 5.7 1.8 10.3 1.9 9.6 1.6 2.9 3.8
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 N/A 9.6 2.8 4.7 N/A 4.7 3.6 1.0 2.9 0.7

Polls including SPOLU

The polls in this section took place after the Pirates and Mayors alliance, which ran in the 2021 election, ruled out working together at the next election.[11] They show the polls if the ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 join to continue the SPOLU alliance that contested the 2021 election and came in first place, over ANO. These polls took place prior to the announcement SPOLU would be recreated in the next election.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD SOCDEM KSČM
/ 		Tricolour–S–S Z PRO Others Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL Tricolour
Kantar CZ 30 Sep–11 Oct 2024 1,019 20.0 36.5 14.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 – 2.0 – – 2.5 4.5 16.5
Kantar CZ 10–21 Jun 2024 1,035 22.5 34.5 8.5 9.0 6.0 4.5 2.5 3.0 – 2.5 2.5 – – 4.5 12.0
Kantar CZ 22 Apr–10 May 2024 1,008 22.5 32.5 7.5 11.0 9.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 – – 2.5 – – 6.0 10.0
Kantar CZ 18 Mar–5 Apr 2024 1,015 21.5 35.5 6.5 11.0 8.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 – 2.5 2.0 2.0 – 2.5 14.0
Kantar CZ 12 Feb–1 Mar 2024 1,015 20.0 39.0 7.5 10.0 9.0 – 2.5 2.5 – 2.0 2.0 – – 5.5 19.0
Kantar CZ 15 Jan–2 Feb 2024 1,013 22.5 35.5 7.0 10.0 10.0 3.5 4.0 3.0 – 2.5 – – – 2.0 13.0
Kantar CZ 16 Oct–3 Nov 2023 1,200 21.5 33.0 7.0 10.5 10.5 2.5 3.5 3.5 – – – 2.0 – 6.0 11.5
Kantar CZ 11–29 Sep 2023 982 19.5 33.5 7.5 8.5 9.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 – 3.0 2.0 3.0 – 3.0 14.0
Kantar CZ 15 May–2 Jun 2023 955 24.0 33.5 6.0 11.5 8.0 2.5 3.5 3.5 – 2.5 2.0 – 3.0 9.5
Kantar CZ 17 Apr–5 May 2023 964 25.0 31.0 6.5 11.5 9.5 2.5 5.5 2.5 – 2.0 2.0 – 2.0 6.0
Kantar CZ 20 Mar–6 Apr 2023 951 27.5 29.5 5.5 10.5 8.0 3.5 5.0 2.5 – – 3.0 – 5.0 2.0
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 4.7 4.7 3.6 2.8 1.0 N/A N/A 2.9 0.7

Polls without alliances

The polls in this section took place after various coalitions formed, but polled the results by party, rather than by electoral coalition. The coalitions not included are SPOLU, Stačilo! and SPD's alliance.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		ODS KDU–ČSL ANO STAN Piráti SPD SOCDEM KSČM Tricolour Z PRO Others Lead
Kantar CZ 9–20 Jun 2025 1,016 14.5 3.0 4.5 33.5 11.5 7.0 10.0 – – 3.5 – – 2.0 4.5 – 6.0 19.5
Kantar CZ 12–30 May 2025 1,200 15.0 3.0 3.5 34.5 12.0 6.5 9.0 – 2.0 3.5 – – – 4.5 – 6.5 19.5
Kantar CZ 14 Apr–2 May 2025 1,025 14.0 3.0 3.0 35.0 12.5 6.0 8.0 – 2.0 4.0 – – – 6.0 – 6.5 21.0
Kantar CZ 17 Mar–4 Apr 2025 1,035 13.5 3.0 3.0 35.5 12.0 5.5 7.0 2.0 2.0 4.5 – – 2.0 6.5 – 3.5 22.0
Kantar CZ 10–28 Feb 2025 1,200 12.5 3.5 3.0 37.0 12.5 6.5 6.5 – – 3.5 – – 2.0 6.0 – 7.0 24.5
Kantar CZ 13–31 Jan 2025 1,019 13.0 3.0 4.0 33.5 12.5 7.5 6.5 2.0 – 3.0 – – – 7.5 – 7.5 20.5
Median 21 Nov–31 Dec 2024 1,015 11.5 2.5 4.0 33.5 13.0 6.0 4.5 2.5 3.0 5.0 – – 2.0 7.0 1.5 3.0 20.5
Phoenix Research[c] 1–13 Dec 2024 1,052 12.8 3.3 3.9 28.5 9.0 4.1 9.1 4.2 2.1 5.0 – – – 1.6 1.0 15.4 15.7
Median 1–30 Nov 2024 1023 11.5 2.5 4.5 33.5 10.0 6.5 6.5 2.0 4.0 6.5 – – 2.5 6.5 – 3.0 22.0
NMS 5–12 Nov 2024 1,306 10.0 2.8 3.8 35.3 11.1 5.7 7.0 3.0 3.3 5.8 0.7 2.4 1.8 4.4 1.8 1.1 24.2
Phoenix Research 1–10 Nov 2024 1,078 16.0 4.4 4.3 32.4 9.9 4.7 10.6 4.5 1.8 6.2 – – – – 1.0 4.2 16.4

Polls including SPOLU and PirSTAN

The polls in this section include both the SPOLU alliance and the Pirates and Mayors alliance.

Graphical summary

Local regression graph of polls conducted since the 2021 election by coalition, with SPOLU and PirSTAN

Polls

Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		SPOLU ANO Pirates and Mayors SPD ČSSD KSČM Tricolour–S–S Z PRO Others Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL STAN Piráti Tricolour
Kantar CZ 13 Feb–3 Mar 2023 951 31.0 30.5 13.0 9.0 2.5 5.0 2.0 – – – 7.0 0.5
Kantar CZ 17 Oct–4 Nov 2022 1,200 31.5 28.0 14.0 11.5 2.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 – – 3.5 3.5
Kantar CZ 12–30 Sep 2022 997 28.5 31.5 12.0 12.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 – 2.0 – 5.0 3.0
Kantar CZ 15 Aug–2 Sep 2022 893 29.0 32.0 10.0 11.0 3.5 3.5 4.0 – – – 7.0 3.0
Kantar CZ 16 May–2 Jun 2022 962 28.5 29.5 12.5 11.5 2.5 5.0 2.5 – 2.5 – 5.5 1.0
Kantar CZ 8–29 Apr 2022 1,200 33.5 28.5 11.5 11.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 – 2.0 – 4.5 5.0
Kantar CZ 14 Mar–4 Apr 2022 1,200 31.5 29.0 15.5 9.5 4.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 – – 2.5 2.5
Median 1 Mar–1 Apr 2022 1,159 26.5 27.5 16.5 10.0 3.0 5.5 4.0 3.0 – – 4.0 1.0
Kantar CZ 14 Feb–4 Mar 2022 1,200 32.5 27.5 14.5 12.0 3.5 3.0 2.0 3.0 – – 2.0 5.0
Median 1 Nov–2 Dec 2021 1,073 26.0 29.5 16.5 8.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 3.0 – – 3.5 3.5
Kantar CZ 1–19 Nov 2021 935 28.0 28.0 17.0 9.5 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 – – 3.0 Tie
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 4.7 4.7 3.6 2.8 1.0 N/A 2.9 0.7

Seat projections

Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		SPOLU ANO Pirates and Mayors SPD ČSSD KSČM Tricolour–S–S Z Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL STAN Piráti Tricolour
Kantar CZ 12 Feb–1 Mar 2024 49 93 14 23 21 0 9 0 0 0 0 44
Kantar CZ 17 Apr–5 May 2023 63 75 13 22 18 0 9 0 0 0 0 12
Kantar CZ 1–19 Nov 2021 71 71 38 20 0 0 0 0 0 Tie
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 71 72 37 20 0 0 0 0 0 1
34 23 14 72 33 4 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 38

Notes

  1. ^ The STEM/MARK agency objected to the publication of this electoral model, claiming that the poll was primarily to be used to tes the D21 electoral system.[4]
  2. ^ Using two waves of polling rather than three, in order to try and measure the impact of the Bitcoin scandal.
  3. ^ a b c d e 'Don't know' responses have been merged with 'Others' in this poll
  4. ^ Reporting of this poll is incomplete
  5. ^ Civil Democratic Party: 26 seats
    Independent: 1 seat
  6. ^ ANO: 76 seats
    Independent: 4 seats
  7. ^ Mayors and Independents: 20 seats
    Mayors for the Liberec Region: 2 seats
  8. ^ Czech Pirate Party: 16 seats
    Green Party: 2 seats
  9. ^ Freedom and Direct Democracy: 10 seats
    Svobodní: 2 seats
    Tricolour: 1 seat
    Law, Respect, Expertise: 1 seat
    Independent: 1 seat
  10. ^ Motorists for Themselves: 6 seats
    Independent: 7 seats

References

  1. ^ Europe Elects. "Europe Elects. Truth in Polling". Europe Elects. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  2. ^ "Týdenní model pro CNN Prima News 2025 - STEM". www.stem.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 22 May 2025.
  3. ^ "Vyšel poslední průzkum před volbami. Posílilo ANO, STAN, Piráti i Stačilo! - Seznam Zprávy". www.seznamzpravy.cz (in Czech). 29 September 2025. Retrieved 30 September 2025.
  4. ^ s.r.o, DFMG; Černá, Veronika (26 September 2025). "Vyjádření k dnešnímu předvolebnímu „modelu"". STEM/MARK (in Czech). Retrieved 30 September 2025.
  5. ^ ""Alternativa k Fialově asociální vládě." Stačilo! schválilo dohodu se SOCDEM - Seznam Zprávy". www.seznamzpravy.cz (in Czech). 17 July 2025. Retrieved 17 July 2025.
  6. ^ "Piráty ve volbách na kandidátkách doplní Zelení. Dovolí jim "kroužkovat" - Seznam Zprávy". www.seznamzpravy.cz (in Czech). 23 June 2025. Retrieved 23 June 2025.
  7. ^ "Czech justice minister resigns over a Bitcoin scandal". Pavel Blažek (in Czech). 30 May 2025. Retrieved 12 May 2025.
  8. ^ "SPD bude ve sněmovních volbách kandidovat se Svobodnými, Trikolorou a PRO". ČT24 (in Czech). Czech Television. 21 March 2025. Retrieved 21 March 2025.
  9. ^ "Je rozhodnuto: komunisté podpoří STAČILO!". Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (in Czech). 16 November 2024. Retrieved 19 November 2024.
  10. ^ Svorník, Petr (28 October 2024). "Fiala, Pekarová a Výborný stvrdili společnou kandidátku, chtějí porazit "levicový populismus"". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Borgis. Retrieved 28 October 2024.
  11. ^ "Rakušan: Příště půjdeme do voleb bez Pirátů". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Borgis. 6 November 2021. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
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