Opinion polling for the next Japanese general election

In the run up to the next Japanese general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2026 Japanese general election, held on 8 February, to the present day.

Pollsters

The following table shows the pollsters who conduct opinion polls in Japan.

Pollster Method Database
ANN RDD https://www.tv-asahi.co.jp/hst/poll/
Asahi RDD https://www.asahi.com/yoron/database/
Jiji Press Personal interview https://www.jiji.com/jc/v7?id=2025jijiyoron
JNN RDD https://newsdig.tbs.co.jp/list/search?fulltext=JNN世論調査
Kyodo News[a] RDD https://www.chunichi.co.jp/digican/shuin2024_yoron
Mainichi D-survey[b] https://mainichi.jp/opinion-research
SSRC https://ssrc.jp/research/
NHK RDD https://www.nhk.or.jp/senkyo/shijiritsu/
Nikkei RDD https://vdata.nikkei.com/newsgraphics/cabinet-approval-rating/
TV Tokyo https://txbiz.tv-tokyo.co.jp/search/detail?search_word=テレ東･日経世論調査
Sankei RDD https://www.sankei.com/politics/poll/
FNN https://www.fnn.jp/subcategory/opinion_poll
Senkyo.com RDD/Online[c] https://go2senkyo.com/research/
Yomiuri RDD https://www.yomiuri.co.jp/election/yoron-chosa/
NNN https://www.ntv.co.jp/yoron/

Party identification

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CRA Ishin DPFP Sansei Mirai JCP Reiwa CPJ SDP Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
18 Feb The Second Takaichi cabinet is formed.
13–16 Feb Jiji Press[1] 1,140 30.1 7.9[d] 2.4 3.6 2.6 2.2 2 0.8 0.8 0.3 – 45.4 1.9 15.3
14–15 Feb Asahi[2] 1,226 35 8[e] 4 5 4 3 3 1 0 1 1 31 4 4
14–15 Feb Sankei/FNN[3][4] 1,008 39.4 9[f] 3.8 5.3 4.3 4.9 2.2 0.9 1.4 0.9 – 24.7 3.2 14.7
14–15 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[5] 1,038 28.5 10 5.2 6.1 5.2 3.3 3.7 1.1 2 2.7 2 30.3 – 1.8
13–15 Feb NHK[6] 1,188 39.9 10.1[g] 3.2 3.3 2.6 2.8 2.9 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.3[h] 27.5 4.5 12.4
13–15 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo[7][8] 946 41 11[i] 5 7 6 6 3 2 1 – – 17 1 24
9–10 Feb Kyodo News[9] 1,049 40.8 8.3[j] 7.2 8.3 6.6 5.8 3.4 2.2 1.9 0.3 0.5 12.8 1.9 28
9–10 Feb Yomiuri/NNN[10][11] 1,037 40 8[k] 4 5 5 4 2 2 1 0 1 23 3 17
8 Feb Election results 55.7%[l] 36.7 18.2 8.6 9.7 7.4 6.7 4.4 2.9 2.5 1.3 1.4[m] – 18.5

Preferred coalition

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP LDP–Ishin–led coalition LDP–Ishin with other parties Others Und./
no ans.
14–15 Feb Sankei/FNN[3][4] 1,008 9 34.8 26.5[n] 24.1 5.6

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Sanae Takaichi

Approval Polling for the Takaichi Cabinet.
Approval Polling for the Takaichi Cabinet.

2026

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead
18 Feb The Second Takaichi cabinet is formed.
13–16 Feb Jiji Press[12] 1,140 63.8 18.4 17.8 45.4
14–15 Feb Asahi[2] 1,226 63 24 13 39
14–15 Feb Sankei/FNN[3][4] 1,008 72 22.8 5.2 50.8
14–15 Feb Senkyo.com/JX[5] 1,038 63.6[o] 23.3[p] 13.2 40.3
13–15 Feb NHK[6] 1,188 65.2 20.1 14.6 45.1
13–15 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo[7][8] 946 69 26 5 43
9–10 Feb Kyodo News[9] 1,049 67.3 23.9 8.8 43.4
9–10 Feb Yomiuri/NNN[10][11] 1,037 67 22 10 45

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Database from Chunichi Shimbun.
  2. ^ Online (smartphone based)
  3. ^ Not included in this article.
  4. ^ CRA: 6.3%; CDP: 0.7%; Komeito: 0.9%
  5. ^ CRA: 7%; CDP: 1%; Komeito: 0%
  6. ^ CRA: 7.6%; CDP: 0.8%; Komeito: 0.6%
  7. ^ CRA: 8.1%; CDP: 0.8%; Komeito: 1.2%
  8. ^ Genyu: 0.3%
  9. ^ CRA: 8%; CDP: 2%; Komeito: 1%
  10. ^ CRA: 6.5%; CDP: 1.2%; Komeito: 0.6%
  11. ^ CRA: 7%; CDP: 0%; Komeito: 1%
  12. ^ Election turnout.
  13. ^ Genyu: 1.42%; Others: 0.02%
  14. ^ LDP-Ishin-DPFP: 26.5%
  15. ^ Strongly approve: 35.2%; Approve on balance: 28.4%
  16. ^ Disapprove on balance: 9.5%; Strongly disapprove: 13.8%

References

  1. ^ 自民支持、４年ぶり３割回復　高市内閣は微増６３．８％―時事世論調査 [LDP support recovers to 30% for the first time in four years, Takaichi Cabinet sees slight increase to 63.8% - Jiji Public Opinion Poll]. Jiji Press (in Japanese). 19 February 2026. Retrieved 19 February 2026.
  2. ^ a b 質問と回答〈02月14、15日〉　朝日新聞世論調査 [Questions and Answers (February 14th and 15th) Asahi Shimbun Public Opinion Poll]. The Asahi Shimbun (in Japanese). 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  3. ^ a b c 中道「立民と公明に分かれたほうがよい」51・8％　世論調査の設問と回答（2月14～15日） [51.8% of centrists think CDP and Komeito should split: Questions and answers in opinion poll (February 14-15)]. Sankei Shimbun (in Japanese). 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  4. ^ a b c 中道新代表就任も「イメージ変わらず」8割超…飲食料品消費税ゼロは「実行すべき」52.5％　高市政権支持は7割超【FNN世論調査】 [Over 80% say CRA's image has not changed despite the appointment of a new leader; 52.5% say zero consumption tax on food and beverages should be implemented; over 70% support Takaichi administration [FNN poll]]. Fuji News Network (in Japanese). 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  5. ^ a b 【速報】衆院選後初の調査で、各政党と高市内閣の支持率はどう変動した？2026年2月電話×ネット意識調査 [[Breaking News] How did the approval ratings for each political party and the Takaichi Cabinet change in the first survey after the House of Representatives election? February 2026 Telephone and Online Survey]. Senkyo.com (in Japanese). 17 February 2026. Retrieved 17 February 2026.
  6. ^ a b 2026年02月　 政治意識月例電話調査 [February 2026 Monthly telephone survey on political awareness] (PDF). NHK (in Japanese). 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  7. ^ a b 現役世代の政党支持、国民・参政→みらいにシフト　自民も大幅回復 [Support for political parties among working generations shifts from DPFP and Sanseito to Mirai, with the LDP also seeing a significant recovery – Nikkei opinion poll]. The Nikkei (in Japanese). 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  8. ^ a b 高市内閣 支持率69％　先月調査から2ポイント上昇 テレ東・日経　2月世論調査 [Takaichi Cabinet approval rating at 69%, up 2 points from last month's survey – TV Tokyo/Nikkei February opinion poll]. TV Tokyo (in Japanese). 16 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
  9. ^ a b 2026年2月世論調査（緊急）（共同通信データ） [February 2026 Public Opinion Poll (Urgent) (Kyodo News data)]. Chunichi Shimbun (in Japanese). 12 February 2026. Retrieved 12 February 2026.
  10. ^ a b ２０２６年２月　電話全国世論調査（衆院選後）　質問と回答 [February 2026 National Telephone Opinion Poll (After the House of Representatives Election) Questions and Answers]. Yomiuri Shimbun (in Japanese). 11 February 2026. Retrieved 11 February 2026.
  11. ^ a b 与党が3分の2超の議席を獲得「よかった」55％【NNN・読売新聞　緊急世論調査】 [55% of respondents said it was good that the ruling party won more than two-thirds of the seats [NNN/Yomiuri Shimbun emergency opinion poll]]. Nippon News Network (in Japanese). 10 February 2026. Retrieved 11 February 2026.
  12. ^ Cite error: The named reference Jiji Press 2026-02 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
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